Thursday, August 5, 2010

Down on the Farm: 08-05-2010

AAA Fresno Grizzlies trounced the Round Rock Express 8-1:

Tyler Graham- 3 for 5, 2B. 2 SB(28). BA= .355.
Jesus Guzman- 1 for 5, HR(15). BA= .307.
Brett Pill- 2 for 5, 2B, HR(14). BA=.276.
Joe Borchard- 2 for 4, 2B, HR(13), BB. BA= .271.
Jackson Williams- 3 for 5, 2B. BA= .250.
Eric Hacker- 8.1 IP, 5 H, 1 R, 1 BB, 2 K's. ERA= 4.30.

Is Tyler Graham someone we should be paying more attention to? I didn't have him in my top 50 before this season. Jackson Williams is hitting .324/.368/.559 over his last 10 games. I guess everyone hits in Fresno!

AA Richmond Flying Squirrels soared over the New Hampshire Fisher Cats 10-0:

Nick Noonan- 3 for 4, 3B, S. BA= .268.
Brandon Belt- 3 for 5, HR(6), SB(2). BA= .345.
Conor Gillaspie- 2 for 3, HR(6), 2 BB. BA= .289.
Michael MacDonald- 9 IP, 5 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 5 K's. ERA= 4.29.

Noonan is hitting .386 over his last 10 games. So far, I think you have to view this season as a plus for Nick given the toughness of the league on hitters and his age vs league. Gillaspie has probably put himself back on the prospect map too! Belt just keeps adding to his legend.

High A San Jose Giants dropped the Stockton Ports 6-3:

Juan Perez- 2 for 5, 2B. BA= .299.
Michael Sandoval- 3 for 4, 2B. BA= .333.
Drew Biery- 2 for 4, 2B. BA= .263.
James Simmons- 2 for 4, HR(8). BA= .242.
Jorge Bucardo- 4.1 IP, 3 H, 3 R, 2 ER, 7 BB, 2 K's. ERA= 2.61.

An uncharacteristically wild night for Bucardo, who also had 2 balks and a HBP.

Low A Augusta Greenjackets edged the Charleston River Dogs 2-1:

Ryan Cavan- 2 for 5, HR(11). BA= .280.
Wilmin Rodriguez- 3.2 IP, 5 H, 1 R, 1 BB, 2 K's. ERA= 3.50.
Jose Valdez- 2.2 IP, 2 H, 0 R, 3 BB, 4 K's. ERA= 3.56.
Chris Wilson- 1.2 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 4 K's. ERA= 0.00.

I believe this is Wilmin Rodriquez' first professional start. Valdez has a 1.98 ERA over his last 10 appearances. Chris Wilson moves up from his rehab assignment in Arizona.

Short Season Spokane Indians blasted the Salem-Keizer Volcanoes 11-2:

Adam Duvall- 2 for 4, HR(3). BA= .286.
Raynor Campbell- 2 for 4, 2B. BA= .263.
Edward Concepcion- 4 IP, 5 H, 9 R, 4 BB, 4 K's. ERA= 7.42.

Concepcion is a high ceiling pitcher who is struggling to adjust to this level.

Rookie AZL Giants were idle.

DSL Giants edged the Nats 5-4(game 1, 8 innings):

Jesus Galindo- 2 for 4, 2B. BA= .237.

Nats pounded the Giants 16-3(game 2, 7 innings):

Christian Paulino- 3 for 4, 2B. BA= .255.
Jesus Galindo- 1 for 2, BB, 2 SB(40). BA= .241.

3 comments:

  1. Shack got called up to short season Salem. I am pretty sure this guy will dominate short season. Besides his first ever game he started he has been dominate out of the pen.

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  2. I don't see any reason to think that much more about Tyler Graham yet. He has never hit before, so this season is new territory for him. He's fast and thus always done well in BABIP, but even this season is way too high to be sustainable, .427 BABIP. His strikeouts, while not wildly high, is not in the low area you want to see players be, and he's not that big on walking either, which would be another sign that he's changed in some fundamental way. His ISO is basically the same too. This season is a product solely of his .427 BABIP in Fresno.

    The nice thing is that he has had a higher BABIP each month this season, but it has been falling, .458 in May, .424 in June, and .385 in July. Career: .345 (which includes this season, so before, he was roughly in the low .300's). It will be interesting to see how he does in August (where he is high but it's still very early, very small samples).

    Plus, he's not that good a basestealer.

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  3. Graham has been wildly inconsistent over the course of his pro career. This is, by far, his longest "good" stretch, but I think it is not entirely accurate to say he has never hit before. I keep waiting for him to hit a cold stretch this year, and he hasn't, so far. I'm just a bit uncomfortably with the notion that BABIP can't ever change and the only true difference between hitters is BB's, K's and HR's. Since BB's are not counted in BA, that leaves HR's and K's as being the only factors that account for differences in BA. I'm not buying it just yet. I can accept that almost all players are going to have ups and downs in their careers, and in the end there will be a regression toward the mean, but I'm not ready to say that those ups and downs are solely due to the luck of the BABIP.

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