Monday, April 24, 2017

Scouting the 2017 Draft: Logan Warmoth; Brian Miller

Logan Warmoth, SS, College(North Carolina).  B-R, T-R.  6'0", 190 lbs.

2017:  .345/.425/.560, 11 2B, 2 3B, 7 HR, 15 SB, 20 BB, 25 K, 168 AB.
2016:  .337/.402/.481, 14 2B, 2 3B, 4 HR, 8 SB, 21 BB, 24 K, 208 AB.
2015(Cal Ripken):  .330/.419/.359, 21 SB, 17 BB, 13 K, 103 AB.
2016(Cape Cod):  .270/.330/.450, 6 2B, 4 HR, 7 BB, 15 K, 100 AB.

As preseason favorite college hitters largely struggled, Warmoth's stock rose with consistent hitting and a nice power/speed combo from a major college program and conference.  He is now being projected into the mid-late first round by multiple analysts.  He's a very similar player to Christian Arroyo and a RH hitting version of Joe Panik, so the Giants could be interested at #19.  He's a college SS but may not quite have the arm to stick there.  More likely he's a 2B in the pros.  While he is a fairly safe pick in that range, I see his ceiling as quite limited and would prefer the Giants look at pitching or a high-ceiling HS hitter.

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Brian Miller, OF, College(North Carolina).  B-R, T-R.  6'1", 186 lbs.

2017:  .315/.397/.497, 11 2B, 3 3B, 5 HR, 16 SB, 24 BB, 26 K, 173 AB.
2016:  .345/.440/.469, 12 2B, 5 3B, 2 HR, 21 SB, 34 BB, 29 K, 226 AB.
2015(Coastal Plain):  .389/.476/.429, 6 2B, 3B, 38 SB, 30 BB, 21 K, 198 AB.
2016(Cape Cod):  .327/.369/.387, 7 2B, HR, 15 SB, 10 BB, 31 K, 168 AB.

Miller was a walk-on at North Carolina who stuck as a freshman and has battled his way into late first round consideration for the 2017 draft.  He has more speed than power but is a true CF and has shown excellent plate discipline except for the 2016 CCL but he performed well there in every other way.

Sunday, April 23, 2017

Down on the Farm: 4/23/2017

AAA  Sacramento River Cats walked off a 7-6 win over the Las Vegas 51's in 10 innings:

Christian Arroyo SS- 4 for 6, 2B, SB(2).  BA= .446.
Michael Morse LF- 1 for 4, 2B.  BA= .250.
Jae-Gyun Hwang 3B- 2 for 5, SB(1).  BA= .295.
Austin Slater PH-LF- 1 for 1, BB.  BA= .273.
Dan Slania RHP- 5 IP, 8 H, 4 R, 1 BB, 5 K's.  ERA= 7.36.

Arroyo had the walk-off hit.  He continues to be red hot, but the beats seem to think the Giants have no intention of calling him up anytime soon or of moving him to LF.  Sounds like they are aiming for him to be their starting 3B in 2018.  Alex P speculated that Morse could be called up soon to play 1B with Brando Belt playing more games in LF.

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AA  Reading Fightin' Phils blanked the Richmond Flying Squirrels 8-0:

Cory Taylor RHP- 5 IP, 4 H, 1 R, 3 BB, 8 K's.  ERA= 6.75.

Taylor was a relative bright spot in a dismal game for the Squirrels.

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High A  San Jose Giants outslugged the Stockton Ports 12-8:

Jalen Miller SS-2B- 3 for 4, HR(2), BB.  BA= .306.
Bryan Reynolds CF- 3 for 5, 3B, HR(1).  BA= .300.
Daniel Carbonell LF- 2 for 5.  BA= .273.
Heath Slatton RHP- 2 IP, 4 H, 5 R, 3 BB, 2 K's.  ERA= 16.20.
David Owen RHP- 3 IP, 5 H, 2 R, 1 BB, 4 K's.  ERA= 3.00.
Conner Kaden RHP- 1.1 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 2 BB, 1 K.  ERA= 0.00.
Dusten Knight RHP- 2.2 IP, 4 H, 1 R, 0 BB, 4 K's.  ERA= 1.35.

Don't know if he can keep up this pace, but Miller looks like he may be breaking out.  Slatton looked great in a few starts at the end of last season for Augusta.  He seems a bit overmatched in the Cal League so far.

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Low A Augusta Greenjackets vs Greensboro Grasshoppers cancelled.

Game Wrap 4/23/2017: Rockies 8 Giants 0

The Giants suffered their second lopsided defeat in as many days and return from a 5 game road trip with their tails as far between their legs as I can recall.  If they are looking for rock bottom, the last 2 games would definitely qualify.  The Giants were never in this game as Jeff Samardzija got pummeled early and often and lefty Kyle Freeland scattered 6 hits, 5 singles and Nick Hundley's double.  Even moving Brandon Belt to LF and putting Buster Posey at 1B did not energize this offense.  Key Lines:

Jeff Samardzija RHP- 5.1 IP, 7 H, 7 R, 3 BB, 6 K's.  ERA= 7.40.  The starting rotation was supposed to be the strength of the team.  They rank dead last in MLB with a combined ERA of 5.02.

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The Loss dropped the Giants season record to 6-13, tied for the worse start in franchise history.  It's happened several times in the past, the most recent being 1983.  Most of those teams were not good, but one of them was the 1951 team that went on to win the pennant on Bobby Thomson's famous HR.  The last place Giants record mirrors the first place Rockies who are 13-6 which puts the Giants 7 games off the pace.  The Dodgers topped the D'Backs 6-2 to drop Arizona 1.5 games behind the Raging Rockies while the Dodgers are in 3'rd place, 4 games back at 9-10.  The Padres lost to the Marlins 7-3 and are in 4'th place, 5.5 games behind the leaders.

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The Giants return home to AT&T Park to tace the Dodgers in a 4-gamer with Matt Cain taking the hill tomorrow night against Hyun-Jin Ryu.

Down on the Farm: 4/22/2017

AAA  Las Vegas 51's edged out the Sacramento River Cats 3-2:

Drew Stubbs CF- 1 for 3, HR(2), BB.  BA= .265.
Christian Arroyo SS- 1 for 3, 2B, HBP.  BA= .424.
Michael Roth LHP- 4.2 IP, 8 H, 2 R, 1 ER, 1 BB, 2 K's.  ERA= 4.26.
Tyler Rogers RHP- 2.1 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 2 K's.  ERA= 2.70.

At the rate OF injuries are piling up, wouldn't be shocked to see Drew Stubbs starting in CF for the Giants one of these days.

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AA  Richmond Flying Squirrels vs Reading Fightin' Phils postponed.

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High A  Stockton Ports blanked the San Jose Giants 7-0:

Michael Connolly RHP- 4 IP, 5 H, 2 R, 0 ER, 1 BB, 6 K's.  ERA= 1.26.
Carlos Diaz LHP- 2 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 2 K's.  ERA= 3.00.

Sonny Gray made a rehab start for the Ports and allowed just 1 hit in 5 IP.  Giants mustered just 2 hits in the game.

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Low A  Greensboro Grasshoppers defeated the Augusta Greenjackets 4-1:

Sandro Fabian RF- 1 for 2, 2B.  BA= .246.
Caleb Baragar LHP- 5 IP, 5 H, 3 R, 2 BB, 1 K.  ERA= 3.21.

The game was called after 6 innings due to rain.

Saturday, April 22, 2017

Game Wrap 4/22/2017: Rockies 12 Giants 3

This one got away early as Matt Moore was pummeled by the Rockies for 3 runs in the first inning and 4 more in the 4'th and that was pretty much the ballgame.  Key Lines:

Brandon Belt- 2 for 4, 2 2B.  BA= .254.  Belt continues to thrive in the 2-hole.  He played pepper with the RF wall for 2 doubles in this one.

Joe Panik 2B- 2 for 4, HR(1).  BA= .333.  Bochy moved Panik into the 3'rd spot in the lineup behind Belt and he hit like a third hitter in the lineup should.

Matt Moore LHP- 4 IP, 9 H, 6 R, 1 BB, 4 K's.  ERA= 5.87.  Matt Moore hasn't figured out Coors Field as his ERA in 2 starts there is over 11.

Chris Stratton RHP- 3 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 3 K's.  ERA= 0.00.  I didn't see Stratton pitch, but Kruk and Kuip were impressed and said he hit 96 on the FB.  I think Stratton's MLB calling is multi-inning reliever where the FB can play up.

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With the Loss, the Giants fell 6 games behind the first place Rockies in the NL West.  The D'Backs beat up the Dodgers again, 11-5 to remain 0.5 games behind the Rocks.  The Dodgers fell 4 games off the pace in 3'rd place while the Padres lost to the Marlins 6-3 and dropped 4.5 games behind the leaders.

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Jeff Samardzija tries to salvage a win in the series tomorrow afternoon facing LHP Kyle Freeland.

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Stratton was called up to replace Madison Bumgarner on the active roster.  Hunter Pence did not start the game after slipping on wet OF grass Friday night.  He did appear as a PH and drew a walk.  He then ran from first to home on Belt's second double, but appeared to be limping a bit as he crossed home plate.  The list of Giants wounded players kept expanding as Denard Span hurt his shoulder crashing into the CF wall after making a catch.  He left the game.  No word on the seriousness of the injury.

Down on the Farm: 4/21/2017

AAA  Salt Lake City Bees swarmed the Sacramento River Cats 9-5:

Ryder Jones 1B- 3 for 3, HR(1), BB.  BA= .391.
Jae-Gyun Hwang LF- 2 for 3, BB.  BA= .286.
Ricky Romero LHP- 4.2 IP, 4 H, 2 R, 4 BB, 6 K's.  ERA= 4.85.

Jones started the season a couple of weeks late, but is off to a great AAA start.  Hwang is showing why he needed some adjustment to American baseball.  Hopefully he starts to get some traction.

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AA  Reading Fightin' Phils downed the Richmond Flying Squirrels 6-2:

Slade Heathcott CF- 1 for 3, HR(2), BB.  BA= .327.
Sam Coonrod RHP- 2 IP, 2 H, 1 R, 0 BB, 3 K's.  ERA= 3.21.
Carlos Alvarado RHP- 1 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 2 K's.  ERA= 1.29.

Coonrod's start was cut short by a rain delay.  Is there hope for Heathcott?  He's a tremendous athlete but was never able to put it all together in the Yankees organization.

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High A  San Jose Giants topped the Stockton Ports 4-2:

Ali Castillo 2B- 2 for 5, 2B.  BA= .400.
Ryan Howard SS- 3 for 5, 2 2B.  BA= .328.
Daniel Carbonell RF- 1 for 3, 2B, BB.  BA= .278.
Conner Menez LHP- 5 IP, 7 H, 2 R, 1 BB, 1 K.  ERA= 2.70.
Conner Kaden RHP- 2 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 1 K.  ERA= 0.00.
Ryan Halstead RHP- 2 IP, 2 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 2 K's, Save(2).  ERA= 0.96.

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Low A  Greensboro Grasshoppers devoured the Augusta Greenjackets 7-2:

Sandro Fabian RF- 1 for 2, 2B, SF.  BA= .236.
Kelvin Beltre 2B- 2 for 4, 2B.  BA= .300.
Brandon Van Horn SS- 2 for 4, 2B.  BA= .188.
Kevin Rivera 3B- 2 for 4, 2B.  BA= .270.
Melvin Adon RHP- 4.2 IP, 3 H, 1 R, 0 ER, 2 BB, 7 K's.  ERA= 3.09.

This could be a breakout season for Beltre if he can just stay healthy.  He reaches the .300 BA mark.  I don't know about you, but I still think a .300 BA means something.

Game Wrap 4/21/2017: Rockies 6 Giants 5

If you already had an uneasy feeling that this season was headed south for the Giants, that feeling likely mushroomed into a full-scale panic attack after the day started with Madison Bumgarner injuring his throwing shoulder in a dirt biking accident of all things, and ended with the Giants blowing yet another lead in an awful 6-run 4'th inning and falling short in yet another comeback attempt.  Key Lines:

Brandon Belt 1B- 2 for 4, HR(4), BB.  BA= .238.  Belt leads the team in HR's and his OBP is .351.  He's helping my OBP/SLG% fantasy baseball league.

Eduardo Nunez 3B- 2 for 4, 2B, SB(6).  BA= .300.  Nunez and 3B are not why this team is struggling.

Joe Panik 2B- 2 for 3, 2B.  BA= .321.  Joe Panik and 2B are not why this team is struggling.

Chris Marrero LF- 1 for 3, BB.  BA= .152.  If the Giants don't have someone ready to plug into LF, they might as well put Marrero out there every day for awhile and see if consistent AB's can light a fire under his bat.  The 8-hole is kind of a tough place for a struggling hitter to get it going, though.

Johnny Cueto RHP- 5 IP, 8 H, 6 R. 2 BB, 1 K, GO/AO= 9/2.  ERA= 5.25.  You live by contact, you die by contact.  Cueto sailed into the 4'th inning and got Arenado on a groundout for the first out.  Then, single, single, single, dinger, single, sac, inside-the-park HR.   6 hits and a sac in 6 batters.  Not that Blackmon's tour of the bases was weak contact or anything, but it should have been out #3.  Hunter Pence lost it in the lights and lost his base in the wet grass as the ball screamed past him into no-man's land.  That was the ultimate difference in the game as the Giants rally fell short.

Ty Blach LHP- 1 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 1 K.  ERA= 4.76.  Blach is Bumgarner's replacement in the rotation.  He gave up 3 runs in 1 IP on 4/6 in Arizona.  He's had 4 scoreless appearances since with a 4/1 K/BB.  He'll face the Dodgers in Bummy's spot on Thursday, 4/27.

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The Loss dropped the Giants 5 games off the pace of the Roaring Rockies in the NL West.  The D'Backs crushed the Dodgers 13-5 to remain 0.5 games behind the Rockies in 2'nd place.  The Dodgers are 3 back in 3'rd place.  The Pesky Padres topped the Marlins 5-3 to remain 3.5 games behind in 4'th place.

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Matt Moore faces the red hot Antonio Senzatela in Game 2.

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As previously mentioned, the Giants lost their ace pitcher, Madison Bumgarner for an indefinite period of time after a dirt bike accident in which he suffered bruised ribs and a "grade 1-2" separation of his left shoulder acromioclavicular joint.  Initial estimates are a minimum of 6-8 weeks.  Ty Blach is going to get is big chance to step up and shine.