Friday, December 1, 2017

Scouting the 2018 Draft: Logan Gilbert

Logan Gilbert is college RHP for Stetson with classic pitcher size listed at 6'6", 207 lbs. on the Stetson website.  He backed up a terrific sophomore college season with a strong effort in the Cape Cod League and has joined the conversation about who might be the top college pitcher in the 2018 draft.  First, the stat lines:

2016(College):  2-1, 2.74, 49.1 IP, 27 BB, 43 K.
2017(College):  10-0, 2.02, 89 IP, 27 BB, 107 K.
2017(CCL):  2-2, 1.93, 31.1 IP, 4 BB, 24 K.

Scouting reports have Gilbert's 3-pitch mix fronted by a FB that goes 93-96 MPH.  On Video, he gets great extension on his delivery reminiscent of Madison Bumgarner with long and loose arm action.  The FB explodes in the top of the strike zone and on the the armside corner with running action.  I can't say I saw any secondary pitches on video.  His drop and drive delivery with a long stride combined with his length allows him to release the ball significantly closer to home plate than the average pitcher.

I can see a reasonable debate, Gilbert vs Brady Singer for top college pitcher in the draft.  I think Singer has better present stuff and has pitched against stronger competition and on bigger stages.  He's the guy who is most likely to make the quickest impact a the MLB level.  Gilbert is more of a project with a need to develop his secondary stuff, but may ultimately have a higher ceiling than Singer. The risk with Gilbert is he does not take then next steps in development.  The risk with Singer is he ends up a reliever.

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DrB's Updated 2018 Draft Board:

1.  Seth Beer, OF/1B, College(Clemson).
2.  Jarred Kelenic, OF, HS.
3.  Nander De Sedas, SS, HS.
4.  Kumar Rocker, RHP, HS.
5.  Ethan Hankins, RHP, HS.
6.  Brady Singer, RHP, College(Florida).
7.  Logan Gilbert, RHP, College(Stetson).
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8.  Matthew Liberatore, LHP, HS.
9.  Nolan Gorman, 3B, HS.
10.  Greyson Jenista, OF/1B, College(Wichita St.).
11.  Casey Mize, RHP, College(Auburn).
12.  Nick Madrigal, 2B, College(Oregon St.).
13.  Shane McClanahan, LHP, College(Univ. of South Florida).
14.  Ryan Rolison, LHP, College(Mississippi).
15.  Griffin Conine, OF, College(Duke).
16.  Brice Turang, SS, HS.

3 comments:

  1. If you don't stick someone in between 2 & 3, might as well draw the line there, or down a couple.

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    Replies
    1. Well, since it is my blog, I'll put the line where I please, but the reason for where it is now is I believe you could make a serious case for any of those 7 being the #1 overall pick if the draft were held tomorrow. That can, and likely will, change before next June, but right now those are in my top tier without an significant separation.

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    2. You win a technical knockout!
      I guess Giants will make the college/HS decision depending on what happens between now and June, deciding sooner or later.
      The next 6 months beginning with the BIG decisions that will be made this month will impact the decision greatly.

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