I found Tyler Mahle while researching the post on Nick Senzel. Mahle is a 23 yo, 6'3", 210 lb RHP in the Reds organization who reached the major leagues near the end of last season and had some success before being shut down midway through September. Here are his lines from 3 levels last year:
AA: 7-3, 1.59, 85 IP, 17 BB, 87 K, GO/AO= 0.74.
AAA: 3-4, 2.73, 59.1 IP, 13 BB, 51 K, GO/AO= 0.95.
MLB: 1-2, 2.70, 20 IP, 11 BB, 14 K, GO/AO= 1.10.
The AA line comes with an 88 pitch perfect game. He had a 4.96 ERA in AA in 2016 after a midseason promotion, so he did show he could make the adjustment.
Mahle's calling card, which you can see from the lines, is FB command. He usually works in the low 90's but can hit 96 when he needs to reach back. He has 2 breaking balls and a changeup that grade out as average. A minor red flag is his K/BB in the majors so he will need to make another adjustment to sustain his success. A bigger one is he is a flyball pitcher who thrived in the minors by sustaining a low HR/FB. Whether he can sustain that in the majors, especially pitching half his games in a bandbox ballpark is a huge question.
Cheap pitching became very hard to find in fantasy baseball last year. Mahle could be a SP who sustains a low WHIP and can give you some W's and K's, which is a nice combo if you are running SP's in and out on a daily basis. The Reds rotation is a bit crowded but none of them are all that good, so Mahle has a decent shot at a MLB rotation spot to start the season. If not, he'll hone his game a bit more in AAA with a high probability of a callup within the first 2 months.
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