Monday, December 18, 2017

Hot Stove Update: Red Sox Move On From Hos; Giants Quiet

There was a lot of open speculation after the Stanton trade to the Yankees that Dave Dombrowski and the Red Sox braintrust would overreact and make at least 1 and may 2 ill-advised signings to try to keep up.  At least one of those possible signings did not happen today and apparently won't, which Red Sox fans should breath a big sigh of relief over.  The Red Sox re-signed 1B Mitch Moreland to a 2 year/$13 M contract with an additional $1 M in incentives.  That's about 10 times less in total cost than Eric Hosmer's MLBTR projected FA contract and if you are going by AAV, about 3 times less.  Here are their respective stat lines for 2017:

Eric Hosmer:  .318/.385/.498, 31 2B, 25 HR, 9.8 BB%, 15.5 K%, BABIP= .351, ISO= .179, Def= -12.3, 671 PA.

Mitch Moreland:  .246/.326/.443, 34 2B, 22 HR, 9.9 BB%, 20.8 K%, BABIP= .278, ISO= .197, Def= -7.0, 576 PA.

Yes, Hosmer has that shiny BABIP fueled BA, but Moreland had a higher ISO and is a better defender at 1B.  Is Hosmer a better player?  Probably.  Is he 3 times better or 10 times better?  You see how the Red Sox voted.

Hosmer's bargaining power just took a huge hit as there are not that many teams in the market for a 1B let alone an expensive one.  The Padres might be his only remaining option.  Will the Red Sox not go full throttle after JD Martinez?  Stay tuned.

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RHP Yovani Gallardo returns to his original team signing a MLB contract with the BrewCrew.  Terms of the deal are not yet known, but it is not believed to be for a large amount.  This is the type of under-the-radar move that could pay big dividends for the Brewers and is the type of signing the Giants should be considering for a veteran to compete with the kids for one of the last 2 rotation slots now that Matt Moore is no longer in the picture.  Gallardo has been terrible for the past 2 seasons, but his velocity took a major surge to 92.2 average MPH, which is his highest since 2011.  It isn't that hard to imagine a tweak or two could have him close to his peak form when he was a quality SP.

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Christian Yelich and JT Realmuto are understandably not at all happy with Marlins management or the direction(or lack thereof) of the organization.  Yelich has requested a meeting with management and Realmuto has requested a trade.  Realmuto's request was met by a rather surly response from management that he would be traded when management is ready to trade him and not before.  My gosh!  What a Mess in Miami!

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The Yankees re-signed CC Sabathia, ending speculation about a return to the Bay Area, specifically Oakland for CC.

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The latest player the Giants are rumored to be inquiring about is Rays 3B Evan Longoria.  Longoria is another players who is owed a large amount of money in the future who has probably passed the peak years of his career.  Giants are rumored to be asking the Rays to take a contract or two in return. The Rays reportedly are not thrilled with that idea.  My sense is the Rays do not feel under pressure to trade Longoria and are in the driver's seat on this one.  Giants need to move on.

2 comments:

  1. And the Padres are the rumored landing spot for A-Gon after the Braves DFA him after the Kemp trade with LA. I think they would take a chance on a vet minimum A-Gon over the big money Hosmer at this point.

    Yeah, after the Moore trade, I don't think the Rays would be that interested in dealing with SF. They are trading to get prospects, not to get returned bad contracts.

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  2. Eno Sarris in today’s The Athletic has an analysis of Longoria acquisition by the Giants, which projects that bythe end of his $87M contract the Giants will have overspent $23M in terms of WAR production. He suggests that Nunez or Neil Walker would be more sensible targets. Myself, I don’t like to see the Giants choosing to get older.

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