#10. Aeverson Arteaga SS. A: .279/.339/.447, 7 HR, 5 SB, 6.6 BB%, 26.9 K%, 286 PA. Elite SS glove. Had surprising offensive breakout in Arizona last summer. Backing that up with a solid campaign in SJ. Stock Up.
#9. Hunter Bishop OF. A+: .231/.323/.412, 9 HR, 16 SB, 9.9 BB%, 33.6 K%, 253 PA. Bishop was seriously flirting with bust territory but after a reported swing adjustment(his 4'th since turning pro) his bat has heated up in June: .279/.392/.535. Still very true outcomes with alarmingly high K rates but maybe a sliver of hope? Stock Stable(Looked like Way Down a month ago).
#8. Patrick Bailey C. A+: .204/.323/.372, 6 HR, 15.2 BB%, 24.4 K%, 164 PA. The slash line looks terrible but a BABIP of .237 should positively regress and the K/BB rates look solid. Stock Stable.
#7. Jairo Pomares OF. A+: .222/.293/.415, 8 HR, 8.4 BB%, 30.9 K%. Got off to slow start but bat seems to be warming up with weather. Weather very tough in Pacific Northwest this spring. Stock Stable.
#6. Will Bednar RHP. A: 1-3, 4.19, 43 IP, 4.60 BB/9, 10.67 K/9. Those numbers are not good for a first round draft pick out of a major college program with a conservative assignment. The FIP and xFIP are even worse! Not sure I remember a more disappointing pro debut for a first round draft pick unless it was Hunter Bishop or Patrick Bailey(sorry, I couldn't resist). Bednar has disappeared from the SJ rotation since his last disaster start. No word of an IL stint so he may just be working on some things in the bullpen. Stock Way Down.
#5. Kyle Harrison LHP. A+: 0-1, 1.55, 29 IP, 3.10 BB/9, 18.31 K/9. AA: 2-1, 4.02, 31.1 IP, 4.60 BB/9, 14.36 K/9. Harrison dominated A ball last year and backed that up with an even more dominating start in A+. Took a couple of games to adjust to AA but dominant in last two starts. This kid is on a rocket ship to the majors and could get there by late this season. Stock Way Up.
#4. Heliot Ramos OF. AAA: .208/.301/.319, 6 HR, 2 SB, 9.4 BB%, 21.4 K%, 256 PA. MLB: .154/.214/.154, 7.1 BB%, 21.4 K%, 14 PA. The slash line looks terrible but his BB% is up and K% is down from last season. BABIP is way down which should positively regress. Stock Stable.
#3. Joey Bart C. MLB: .156/.296/.300, 4 HR, 13.9 BB%, 45.4 K%, 108 PA. AAA: .364/.462/.364, 15.4 BB%, 15.4 K%, 13 PA. Not sure what to make of Bart's struggles. The most disturbing thing to me is it looked like he was swinging at good pitches to hit and whiffing...over and over! Not sure that's fixable. Hopefully he and the Giants braintrust can figure something out during a breather in AAA. Stock Down.
#2. Luis Matos OF. A+: .181/.253/.232, HR, 3 SB, 7.8 BB%, 20.1 K%, 154 PA. High hopes after a breakout season in SJ last year faceplanted so far in A+ ball. Weather has been terrible in Pacific Northwest so maybe that's part of the problem. Peripherals are not that bad and a .222 BABIP should positively regress(but it seems like every batter in the entire organization is having terrible BABIP luck). Stock Down(not a hopeless situation but we're obviously off the fast track to the major leagues).
#1. Marco Luciano SS. A+: .288/.360/.507, 8 HR, 9.1 BB%, 23.2 K%, 164 PA. Strong start in fairly aggressive placement. Currently on IL with a back issue. Stock Stable(which is a good thing when you start out as the #1 prospect in the system).
Pretty depressing mid-season report overall. Here is hoping the team starts drafting better and finds some long-term prospects.
ReplyDeleteThanks for these updates. These are my favorite type of articles. A couple of questions:
ReplyDelete1. Who jump into the top ten if you were to do a revised list? Doval (not accounting for graduation)?, Hjelle?, Villar? Does Schmitt jump all the way from 49 (For me, yes)?
2. Who would be included in a revised list? Vaun Brown would be obvious. Aldrete? Carter Williams? Marciano? Pitchers in San Jose?
Thanks again for continuing with the Blog. Must read for me since day 1.
You missed on two prospects who based on their performance this year deserve to be considered a top prospect. Frankie Tostado at Richmond is batting 298 with 10 home runs, 34 rbi's and an ops of 838. Casie Schmitt is at Eugene is hitting 299 with 12 home runs 39 rbi's and an ops of 887. Giant beat writers are starting to talk about Schmitt but have totally ignored Tostada's accomplishments at this point. Based on their seasons and consistent performances deserve to be the top 210-12 prospects
ReplyDeleteSchmitt was #49 on my preseason list. Yes, his stock is way up!
DeleteThanks for your updates midseason report!. Great read! Pav's mentioned Harrison might end up being their best prospect in a decade. We may be on a Harrison watch once he reaches AAA. Most concerned about Bart and Ramos, since they are at the last step before the bigs. Agree that the path to the big leagues is not always a straight line. Another pitcher who I thought his stock is up is Mason Black, 3rd round pick. He must not have made your preseason top 50 but he's having a good year in San Jose//Eugene. Might surpass Bedner as a top pitching prospect?
ReplyDeleteOf course most of a Top 50 are never going to see a major league pitch. Or throw one.
ReplyDeleteIt looks like there is enough promise and even some left for dead seem to be pulling themselves up.
It's sad if Bart can't get wood on major league pitches. Backup is not good for a #2 pick, but that would be something if he can halve his K% but that might be too much. It doesn't look good there.
You don't have to squint hard to see a half of dozen or so of these prospects being significant contributors, not including relief pitchers.
Can you see a Posey, a Belt, a Crawford, a Sandoval, and a Cain, a Lincecum, a Bumgarner in those 50+? Without squinting? How many of those 7 looked as good coming up as they became?
It's not bleak.
You have 14 with "Stock Up" and 4 more with "Stock Way Up".
ReplyDeleteThere are others that will sneak in.
It's not a linear progression.
With FZ's cunning, he'll find more.
Some will disappoint, others will surprise.
OTOH, the starting point is not great: as few as 6 or 7 on the 40-man roster now will be part of the next winner — the Giants are old.