Friday, February 13, 2026

DrB's 2026 Giants Top 50 Prospects: #2 Josuar Gonzalez

2.  Josuar Gonzalez SS.  DOB:  10/16/2007.  B-S, T-R.  6' 0", 167 lbs.  Rule 5 Eligible Dec.  2029.

2025(DSL):  .288/.404/.455, 10 2B, 5 3B, 4 HR, 33 SB, 16.2 BB%, 15.8 K%, 1.56 GB/FB.  

Josuar Gonzalez was widely considered one of the top 2 or 3 prospects in the 2025 international signing period and he didn't disappoint.  He showed off excellent combination of contact and plate discipline with projectable power and game-changing speed.  The 33 SB's project to almost 90 over 600 PA's.  Comps to Jose Reyes put him in rarified air.  Has the tools to stick at shortstop.  He should start out 2026 in the ACL but if he does well there I would expect to see him in A San Jose by the end of the season a la Jhonny Level.  Seems more likely to be the Giants SS of the future while Luis Hernandez bat looks like it will play anywhere so I don't see harm in keeping both in the organization.  I am extremely excited by what the Giants are doing in the international market which is a big reason I think they are as well positioned for the future as any organization in baseball.

Thursday, February 12, 2026

Hot Stove League Update: DrB's Final Grades

 Hey team!  I really appreciate the comments and grades for the Giants offseason.  I specifically asked for grades for Buster Posey(and by extension his assistants in the front office).  In this post I will give you my grade for Buster Posey et al and also for the organization which I think had a better Hot Stove League than Buster did personally((I will explain although maybe Buster gets all the credit by virtue of sitting in the hot seat where he gets blamed for bad luck and therefore maybe should get credit for good luck?).  Here are the grades:

Buster Posey B: Buster came into the 2025/2026 Hot Stove League with multiple holes to fill and one big limitation.  We can argue endlessly about whether Giants ownership can or should be spending money to match the Dodgers.  I do believe that if Buster went to ownership with a player he felt he needed to give them a serious shot at not just the postseason but a championship, ownership would give him the green light even if it put them over the CBT threshold.  I also believe there were no players on this year's market he would do that for.  I also agree with Buster and Greg Johnson that too many simultaneous 5 and 6 year contracts are asking for disaster down the road.  So for all practical purposes, the CBT threshold was the upper limit of the payroll he would end up with and there were not going to be any long term contracts handed out.  So with that situation as the starting point, let's look at the holes he filled:

Manager:  Wow!  Buster gets extra points just for the publicity the Tony Vitello hiring generated.  Might actually be the biggest story of the Hot Stove League.  He backed that up by bringing in a team of diverse but highly respected coaches who are expected to do what FZ and Gabe Kapler claimed they would do with their coaching staff.  Now if all this turns out to be the right Manager and right coaching staff, he looks like a genius.  If it fails, it may take Buster down with it so he may have bet his entire tenure on this one move.

Starting Pitching Depth:  With Justin Verlander RHP a free agent, he needed to be replaced.  Beyond replacing Verlander, He needed additional starting depth.  He had a bevy of young starting pitchers who might step up but he had that last year and came up short.  He needed at least 2 veteran arms more than he needed one top-end SP.  On top of all that, the price of pitching was insane.  Buster ended up with Adrian Houser RHP and Tyler Mahle RHP two veteran SP's coming off strong seasons but with injury histories.  Signing pitchers with injury histories to discounted short term contracts is a Moneyball GM's wet dream.

Right Field/Outfield DefenseBuster faced a two-headed monster in the outfield with a hole to fill in RF and a CF coming off one of the worst defensive performances in MLB.  He solved both problems with one move signing Harrison Bader CF, one of the best defensive CF's in baseball, to 2 year contract.  That basically forced Jung Hoo Lee OF to move to RF where his more range limitations and strong arm should be a better fit.  

Second Base:  A lot of us would be happy if Casey Schmitt IF was the presumptive starting 2B but Buster has been clear on his desire to increase contact and decrease strikeouts.  When the opportunity arose to snag the top contact hitter in all of MLB at a discounted price and just one year to boot, he did not hesitate.  Luis Arraez is the Giants new 2B on 1 yr/$11 M.  Buster is counting on Arraez work ethic and IF coach Ron Washington to make him at least playable at 2B.

DH:  Whether Bryce Eldridge starts the season in AAA or in the Opening Day Lineup, it's clear Buster and the Giants intend for him to get his big shot at MLB stardom this season.  He may be shagging fly balls in the outfield but the bulk of his PA's will come as either DH, 1B or both, splitting the positions with Rafael Devers.  There is some risk in this move but I love the commitment and if it works out, Buster comes out of it looking like a genius.

Bullpen/Closer:  This is where I knock Buster down by a letter grade.  I don't see how Ryan Walker RHP can come to camp as the presumptive Closer but here we are.  I get that Moneyball dogma says you don't spend top dollars on Closers or bullpen arms and somebody will alway step up, it didn't last season and it looks like there are fewer options this year.  Prices for Closer-quality bullpen arms were insane and signing one would have made it difficult to fill the other holes and remain under the CBT threshold but if the season ends up imploding, the Closer role is the most likely to be ground-zero.  

Giants sign Top international free agent Luis Hernandez for $5 M.  The groundwork was laid for this long before Buster took over as POBO so he does not get complete credit, but for the second year in a row, the Giants under his leadership traded for international bonus pool money, something they almost never did in the past.  This enabled the Giants to not only meet Hernandez' asking price but also sign other international players.  Based on review of the Giants transaction log, that extra money has already been spend on new signings.  So Buster gets at least partial credit for continued tangible commitment to the international market.  

Giants Win the Draft Lottery:  Well, they didn't exactly win it in terms of grabbing the #1 overall pick but they moved all the way up from #15 to #4 which should yield another top prospect and give another shot in the arm to a farm system that has serious Helium.  So, this is pure luck and Buster gets no credit.  Maybe Randy Winn gets credit for being the Giants representative in the room, or may Buster does get credit for choosing Randy Winn to be there.  In any event, I would bet a lot of money that Randy Winn is the rep at the next Draft Lottery.

Organizational Grade: B+(higher grade due to adding Luis Hernandez and moving up 11 spots in the 2026 draft).  

DrB's 2026 Giants Top 50 Prospects: #3 Luis Hernandez


3.  Luis Hernandez SS.   DOB:  12/13/2008.  B-R, T-R.  5' 10", 172 lbs.  

Consensus top international prospect from the 2026 cycleMLB Pipeline rates his tools 60 across the board except possibly arm which is a 50.  Considered advanced for his age.  Projectable frame.  Trained at the Carlos Guillen Academy in Venezuela.  Played in the Venezuela Major League at age 15 and hit .346 in 104 AB's.  Projects to a 30/30 player who can stick at short but the bat could play at any position.  Giants reportedly considering bringing him to the states for his first pro experience.  If he and Josuar Gonzalez are both playing in Arizona this spring, I might need to find a way to get over there and see what the fuss is about for myself, depending on my situation.

Wednesday, February 11, 2026

DrB's 2026 Giants Top 50 Prospects: #4 Bo Davidson

 4.  Bo Davidson OF.  DOB:  7/5/2002.  B-L, T- R.  6' 1", 205 lbs.  Rule 5 Eligible Dec. 2026.

2025(A+):  .309/.412/.507, 10 HR, 12 SB, 14.6 BB%, 22.1 K%, 335 PA.
2025(AA):  .234/.312/.401, 8 HR, 7 SB, 10.2 BB%, 24.1 K%, 187 PA.

Undrafted free agent from 2023 draft cycle Davidson gained national buzz has he raked his way through the Giants system.  While his BA took a step back after a late-season promotion to AA, his HR/PA went up It appears that result is due to a change in approach as his GB/FB went from 1.70 to 0.75 giving him more of a 3-true outcomes stat line.  I expect him to start 2026 back in AA and he'll try to break the Richmond/EL curse on hitting prospects.  I saw him play with A San Jose in 2024 and he certainly looks the part.  Impressive size and athleticism and barreled up everything.

Tuesday, February 10, 2026

Hot Stove League Update: Grading Buster

 Sup Dawgs!?  Amid a last minute flurry of Hot Stove League activity, including the announcement of Luis Arraez 2B signing a free agent contract with the Giants, Buster Posey commented to the beat writers that he is more on "listening" mode at this point than in pursuit mode.  Now, to his credit, Buster has not exactly been transparent about his Hot Stove League game plan so another under-the-radar move could happen if a last minute bargain presented itself but that can always happen. It seems like between Buster's comments and report day for pitchers and catchers we are reasonably safe to declare the 2025/2026 Hot Stove League complete and open it up to to snap grades.

Q:  What is your grade for Buster Posey and the Giants front office on the 2025/2026 Hot Stove League season?  

Monday, February 9, 2026

DrB's 2026 Giants Top 50 Prospects: #5 Jhonny Level

5.  Jhonny Level SS.  DOB:  3/29/2007.  B-S, T-R.  5' 10", 154 lbs.  Rule 5 Eligible Dec. 2028.

2025(ACL):  .288/.375/.493, 10 2B, 4 3B, 9 HR, 17 SB, 12.6 BB%, 15.3 K%, 261 PA.
2025(A):  .236/.333/.339, 3 HR, 4 SB, 11.6 BB%, 20.4 K%, 147 PA.

Jhonny Level did something top Giants international prospects have had trouble with:  He stayed healthy for his first two pro seasons.  Don't discount the importance of that.  Level is not big.  I have not seen him play in person but from videos, he does not look like he is 5' 10" or even close to it.  He does have a wiry strength and some quick-twitch athleticism which may overcome the size deficit.  It's his stat lines that have drawn attention from the scouting community showing a nice balance of contact, power, speed and plate discipline.  While his numbers slipped a bit after a late season promotion to A San Jose, he wasn't overmatched and now has a head start on his age 19 season.  I hope to see him play on an early road trip to SoCal.  

DrB's 2026 Giants Top 50 Prospects: #6 Gavin Kilen


6.  Gavin Kilen 2B.   DOB:  3/28/2004.  B-L, T-R.  5' 11", 187 lbs.  Rule 5 Eligible Dec. 2028.  
2025(College- Tennessee):  .357/.441/.671, 15 HR, 6 SB, 12.2 BB%, 11.0 K%, 245 PA.
2025(A):  .205/.279/.282, 7.0 BB%, 11.6 K%, 43 PA.

We have to accept this ranking for Kilen on some faith in his college record and draft position.  The numbers at A level are not good but it's a small sample and he was shut down early due to a nagging hammy injury.  Based on everything I've read, he's expected to be fully healthy this spring and that will be the true test whether he is at risk of becoming another in a long string of Giants disappointing first round draft picks.  I don't have any stats to back this up but if my memory serves me, the history of prospects who start their pro experience hurt and underperform is not encouraging.  Kilen's calling card is contact and hit tool. He basically has to hit close to .300 to have significant value.  He's been comped to Gavin Lux which would not be a terrible outcome.