First base is where some of the biggest boppers in the game play. You probably want to roster at least two using 1 or 2 in IF and/or UT positions. Here are the first basemen ranked by Steamer PROJECTED SLG% for 2015 with Projected PA's:
1. Miguel Cabrera: .557, 648 PA
2. Jose Abreu: .530, 611 PA
3. Paul Goldschmidt: .523, 649 PA
4. Edwin Encarnacion: .515, 636 PA
5. Anthony Rizzo: .503, 625 PA
6. Brandon Moss: .485, 516 PA
7. Justin Morneau: .484, 527 PA
8. Prince Fielder: .483, 599 PA
9. Freddie Freeman: .480, 650 PA
10. Chris Davis: .477, 551 PA
11. Joey Votto: .473, 601 PA
12. Steven Pearce: .467, 586 PA
13. Albert Pujols: .466, 614 PA
14. Mark Trumbo: .463, 577 PA
15. Adrian Gonzalez: 461, 642 PA
16. Matt Adams: .455, 509 PA
17. Brandon Belt: .454, 592 PA
18. Chris Carter: .453, 598 PA
19. Adam Lind: .451, 560 PA
20. Mike Napoli: .444, 547 PA
21. Eric Hosmer: .440, 573 PA
22. Adam LaRoche: .434, 592 PA
23. Logan Morrison: .430, 578 PA
24. Lucas Duda: .419, 534 PA
25. Joe Mauer: .403, 534 PA
There are just 5 players projected by Steamer to have SLG% .500 or above. You want at least 1 of those players on your team! You will have to pay. Rizzo is a guy who your league might be sleeping on, but I would not count on it.
In the second tier, I like Morneau, Pujols and AGone in case you are lucky enough to snag a Mike Trout or Giancarlo Stanton, or prefer a 20/20 threat like McCutchen or a pitcher like Kershaw in round 1.
If Brandon Belt ever plays a full season, I think he has a legitimate chance to hit 30 HR's, but Steamer is skeptical, as we should probably be too, and projects him for just 20.
Adam Lind is a guy who just might benefit from a change of scenery in Milwaukee.
Steamer obviously thinks Duda is going to regress from the 30 dingers he hit last year, but I would take a chance on him over Morrison, LaRoche and Napoli. In fact, I just might rank him #16 behind AGone.
There are a few players who will play 1B as their primary position who you may prefer to roster at other positions: Carlos Santana, SLG% ,433; Pedro Alvarez, SLG% 448 and don't forget Michael Morse will probably be the full time 1B for the Miami Marlins with a projected SLG% of .438.
Saturday, January 17, 2015
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