Thairo Estrada hit a walk-off 2-run HR to give the Giants the win in a see-saw game and sweep the 3-game series against one of the weaker teams in the league.
Thairo Estrada 2B- 2 for 5, HR(11), SB(16). BA= .268. Estrada has a shot at a 15/20 season and played himself into an essential piece of next year's team. Is he the frontrunner for the Wilie Mac Award? Gotta think it's down to him or Wilmer Flores from the position players. Logan Webb has to be a consideration on the pitching side.
Wilmer Flores 3B/1B- 3 for 4, 2B, BB. BA= .258. Speaking of Wilmer Flores, he says hot with 3 hits. He's hitting .381 over his last 7 games, .240 over his last 15 and .307 over his last 30.
Lamonte Wade Jr RF/LF- 1 for 5, HR(7). BA= .200. The Giants need to pay for Lamonte's family to attend every game because he sure knows how to make their day when they come to the park. He may be hitting just .200 but is at .333 over his last 7 games with 4 HR's. I really need to see what Lamonte can go if he's healthy for a full season.
With the win, the Giants even their record @ 57-57. After 114 games in 2021, the record was 73-41. Where did the 16 extra wins come from?
ReplyDeleteThe readers of this blog all have their explanations including the inestimable Doc. Here’s a bottoms up look at how many wins were lost by player:
2021 Posey is replaced by rookie Bart -3 (games)
2021 Belt is replaced by 2022 Belt -1
2021 Solano is replaced by 2022 Estrada +/-
2021 Crawford is replaced by 2022 Crawford -4
2021 Longoria is replaced by 2022 Longoria +/-
2021 Dickerson is upgraded by 2022 Pederson +1
2021 Slater is replaced by a comparable Slater composite with less power – 1/2
2021 Yastrzemski is replaced by a similar Yastrzemski with less power – 1/2
2021 Bryant is replaced by LaStella –1
2021 Flores is replaced by comparable Flores +/-
2021 Ruf is replaced by 2022 Ruf –1/2
2021 Wade is replaced by a composite Wade –1/2
Gausman is replaced by Rodón +/-
Webb is replaced by himself +/-
DeSclafani is replaced by Cobb --2
Wood is replaced by himself +/-
Cueto is replaced by Junis +/-
McGee is replaced by Doval -1
Rogers is replaced by Rogers -2
Garcia is replaced by Garcia +/-
Leone is replaced by Leone –1
Littell is replaced by Brebbia +1
Rest of 2022 RP v 2021 RP -1
Admittingly, this is a somewhat contrived, but most would agree that not going after replacements for Posey and Bryant plus recognition that nearly everyone in 2021 had a career high in one offensive category or another and age attrition was inevitable, repeating 2021 was never going to happen.
Strong work there, Theseus. Not much of a mystery when you analyze the numbers like that. My only possible correction is if you look at fWAR, Cobb is at +2.1 this season whereas DeSclafani was 0.0 last year. The disparity between Cobb's ERA and FIP is astounding for this late in the season. He has actually pitched like a near-ace. He has had a historic level of bad luck. Shoddy D spread out over most of the team may account for some of some of that "unluckiness."
DeleteThanks for your remarks.
DeleteThe downgrading of Cobb wasn't so much connected to his contribution in 2022, but a comparison of DeScafani's 31 starts last year and the likelihood of 25 +/- for Cobb this year.
DeSclafani did throw 2 CG shutouts in 2021 - the only such the Giants had.