The A's surprisingly jumped into the free agent market with a big....well, a modest splash signing Luis Severino RHP to a 3 year/$67 M contract. Severino has an opt out clause after the second season. MLBTR projected him to get 3 yr's/$51 M so it looks like the free agent market, at least for starting pitchers is up significantly this year and the Montas and Boyd signings were not flukes. This one hurts a little as some analysts saw a fit for Severino with the Giants so their list of SP options continues to shrink. That it's the lowly A's who got him and went past projections makes it a little more concerning.
Severino was one of the best pitchers in baseball for the Yankees in 2017 and 2018, but then suffered a lont string of injuries which severely limited his appearances and effectiveness for the next 5 seasons including no appearances in 2020. He had a pretty good comeback seasons for the postseason-bound Mets with a line of 11-7, 3.91, 182 IP, 7.96 K/9, 2.97 BB/9. His FIP was a bit higher at 4.21. He had a modestly positive ground ball rate. Although his FB velocity remained equal to his early career, he was significantly more hittable.
This contract continues the trend that one healthy season gets SP's a multi-year contract.
Doc, for the fun of it give me your 3 player signing/acquistions the Giants will make this week. I know i kind of asking you to give me the numbers I use to make when I purchase a lottery ticket, but I respect your views. That said I would be happy with Adames and anything after that > but again your top 3.
ReplyDeleteRichard in Winnipeg
As you say, almost anything is possible but OK, let's see if we can break it down. I am going make two assumptions: 1. When Buster speaks, and he is a man of few words, he tells the truth. 2. Buster really really wants to start his tenure as POBO with an improved team. Here's where I'll go with that:
Delete1. Willy Adames SS. Buster said he's going to go get a shortstop. There is really only one significant upgrade at shortstop available, Willy Adames. I think Buster is going to make an all-out effort to sign him.
2. Paul Goldschmidt 1B. First Base is the other position clearly in need of an upgrade but it's also Bryce Eldridge's position and Buster does not want to block Eldridge. Just a guess but I'll say I think there is a lot of mutual respect between Buster and Goldy.
3. Cal Quantrill RHP. I think J. T. Snow sent the signal when he went on the radio and said he would not bring Snell back and instead would bring in a couple of innings eating starting pitchers. Quantrill is affordable, gives you innings and his numbers should look a lot better with home games in Oracle Park instead of Coors Field.
Thanks Doc > I like your choices > that said maybe I will get a quik pick lotto ticket! :)
ReplyDeleteRichard in Winnipeg
Lots of speculation about Adames going around. Highly regarded hitter, of course, but query whether he is a defensive upgrade over Fitz. I doubt it. And his Milwaukee numbers won’t translate to SF. Nice player but honestly don’t understand the fit. I suspect Buster goes for defensive upgrade to Kim.
ReplyDeleteFully agree about Goldschmidt and Quantrill.
Defensive numbers are mixed on Adames. Kim is slightly better. I just can't get past the shoulder injury/surgery thing on Kim. Seems like signing players coming off injuries is just too FZ. That approach sometimes worked out but mostly disappointed.
DeleteI wonder if they are low key looking to trade for a shortstop. Maybe a promising rookie with plus D blocked by an established shortstop.
DeleteWow Doc looks like your 1st prediction Adames came thru! I'm excited! Heard speculation yesterday that Kim might not be ready till 2025 mid season and Chspman was willing to move to SS temporarily if they signed Kim. Didn't like that idea.
DeleteWelp. It's Adames. I swear I did not have any inside info nor saw any social media messaging on it. Just figured if Buster was serious, which I believe he is, he had to make an all-out effort to get Adames.
DeleteHow ‘bout that! Said yo be a leader type as well. Look forward to rooting for him!
ReplyDelete