Friday, February 27, 2015

Fantasy Focus: 2015 Fantasy Prospects- Joc Pederson

Joc Pederson, OF.  DOB:  4/21/1992.  B-L, T-L.  6'1", 185 lbs.

2012 High A:  .313/.396/.516, 18 HR, 26 SB, 10.2 BB%, 16.2 K%, 499 PA.
2013 AA:        .278/.381/.497, 22 HR, 31 SB, 13.5 BB%, 22.0 K%, 519 PA.
2014 AAA:     .303/.435/.582, 33 HR, 30 SB, 18.1 BB%, 26.9 K%, 553 PA.
2014 MLB:     .143/.351/.143, 23.7 BB%, 28.9 K%, 38 PA.
2915 Steamer: .224/.310/.391, 20 HR, 17 SB, 10.3 BB%, 25.7 K%, 542 PA.

Joc Pederson is THE heir apparent in LA.  The Dodgers traded Matt Kemp to make room for him.  There is still Andre Ethier squawking about playing time, but Pederson is going to be the CF in LA in 2015 come hell or high water.  He's the only guy on the team who can handle CF defensively and he's an elite prospect whose time has come.  So, you should aggressively target him in your fantasy baseball draft, right?  Well, not so fast there!  Yes, that 30/30 season he put up in AAA is impressive even in the rarified air of Albuquerque, but take a look at the K% and look at the trends of his BB% and K% over the last 3 seasons.  Man, I don't know what's going on with that, but it does not look good to me!  There is a reason why Steamer is projecting a BA of .224, and even they are giving him a slightly lower K rate than he put up in AAA last year.  There are not a lot of prospects who are able to lower their K rate in their first year in the majors.  Pederson may well be the next Dodger superstar and beat on the Giants like a drum for the next 15 years, but I'm thinking there may be some lessons to learn in his first full MLB season.

1 comment:

  1. I just have a feeling the guy is never going to be a player at the MLB level. If he was on the Giants the comparisons to Todd Linden would be thrown around right now. Not concerned about him.

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