Wednesday, December 10, 2014

Scouting the 2015 Draft: Trenton Clark

We'll try to recover from the Jon Lester hangover with another draft profile.

Trenton Clark is a 6'0", 200 lb HS CF from Texas who made quite a name for himself leading Team USA 18U in all 3 components of the triple slash, .565/.694/.1.043.  In the process he showed power(3 HR), Speed(5 SB/0 CS), and a better arm than he's been credited with(2 assists, home and 1B).  Probably the best part was his strike zone management as he drew 13 BB's and struck out only 3 times in the tournament.  BA's comment was that he has a "quick, compact, direct stroke, exceptional feel for the barrel and a discerning eye at the plate."  He also showed plus leadership skills in the clubhouse and dugout.

The rap on him is that he profiles as a "tweener" with only above average power, arm and running tools.  One video has his OF throw at 78 mph on the radar gun which is way below ideal.  The bat seems real though.  The comp that comes to my mind is Lenny Dykstra, hopefully with a better personality.

BA has him as the #12 ranked draft prospect for 2015 while Kiley McDaniel has him at #23 because the tools are not top notch.  I could see him being the type of hitter/player John Barr and the Giants might go for if he is there when they draft.

15 comments:

  1. so lester picked the cubs because of a lower state tax rate?

    thank god the giants didnt get him

    anyone too stupid to hire a good accountant and money manager, is too stupid to play for the giants

    bacci

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  2. Interesting guy. There are a lot of HS OFs in this class worth looking at.

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  3. DrB, my opinion is that if you are in a good window like we are especially coming off a World Series that the first few rounds you go college student as opposed to high school student because you would think they could help the team in a few years. Obviously that would change if you think you could be drafting the next Mike Trout or Bryce Harper out of high school. What are your thoughts? Do you always go best player available even if your best chance of winning more championships is now?

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    1. IMO, you should never draft to the immediate needs of the MLB team. In general, you should always take the best player available, especially in the first round. If there is more than on approximately equal talent available the next question in the algorithm should be where is the organization thin in the minor leagues. In other words, if you already have several strong prospects at 2B, but only 1 or none in the OF, then you might want to favor an OF for equal talent, but only for equal talent. If the 2B prospect is clearly the better prospect, you draft him and sort it out later.

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    2. As for college vs HS, it may depend on how quickly you need help at the MLB level for approximately equal talent, but I think you still go with the BPA.

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    3. I was conflicted but I think BPA makes sense. Maybe use the International free agency for more immediate needs. I think with Lester out of the picture we will probably go heavy on Yoan Moncada.

      Any thought on trading for Cole Hamels. Heard the Giants might have interest in him. Huge contract to take on. Ton of prospects involved. I bet they would want Susac too. I am not sure if that is something we should go after. Might be better to pay the extra money on a guy like Scherzer and keep all of the prospects. I think prospects are more valuable that $$$. Any thoughts?

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    4. If I was the Phillies, Crick would be the starting point, but I would definitely insist on Susac as being part of the package and also either Crawford or Adrianza. Then I'd ask for a couple of high ceiling kids from the lower minors like Mella and Fargas or Mella and Santos.

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    5. Rogers, the way you are approaching, I think the question is not 'prospects valuable or not than $$$,' because keeping prospects and going after Sherzer requires $$$, and trading prospects for Hamels still requires $$$.

      It's more like 'are prospects more valuable than the difference between Sherzer's $$$ and Hamels' $$$?' In that case, I believe prospects are more valuable (and hopefully we get to keep some good ones, assuming we pursue Sherzer).

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    6. I meant since we had a strong pursuit of Lester we had already earmarked money for around $25M a year. So Hamels would require a lot of prospects vs Scherzer would require just a draft pick who may or may not turn into anybody. So if it is Hamels vs Scherzer I tend to lean towards Scherzer because I think he is the better pitcher but we get to keep prospects we already know their value.

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  4. Is it just me or does anyone else have a mental picture of the Giants delegation to the Winter Meetings literally sitting around a hot stove with their heads down waiting for Lester to make his decision and when he finally does, getting up and milling about, wringing their hands and saying "what do we do now?"?

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    1. I imagine Sabean dated one girl at a time. He was no two-timer.

      No Panda. OK Lester. No Lester, OK, let's ask Hamels. Maybe he's learning. Ask Sue, Mary and other girls out and see which one will stick.

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    2. LOL! You just won the award for funniest comment of the year!

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    3. It's the material I am given to work with.

      Sabean really is like that, kind of old-fashioned. We like him, because not too many like him are left in baseball.

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  5. Dee Gordon and Dan Haren traded to Marlins for Andrew Heaney and a few other players. Heaney is the top prospect of this trade but after looking at his numbers I am not too impressed. I used to hate seeing Dee Gordon on the bases because of his speed. So, initially I am liking this trade. Who knows if the other players will turn out to be anything.

    Dodgers are close to acquiring Jimmy Rollins from the Phillies. Rollins is still a good player but he is definitely in decline.

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    1. Yeah, I will do a full post on the Gordon trade, but my initial reaction is I'm relieved Gordon is no longer a Dodger.

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