Sean Manaea, LHP. DOB: 2/1/1992. 6'5", 215 lbs. Organization: A's.
2014 A+: 7-8, 3.11, 121.2 IP, 10.80 K/9, 3.99 BB/9.
2015 Rookie: 0-0, 1.80, 5 IP, 10.80 K/9, 1.80 BB/9.
2015 A+: 1-0, 3.66, 19.2 IP, 10.07 K/9, 1.83 BB/9.
2015 AA(Royals): 0-1, 8.14, 7 IP, 14.14 K/9, 7.71 BB/9.
2015 AA(A's): 6-0, 1.90, 42.2 IP, 10.76 K/9, 3.16 BB/9.
2015 AFL: 0-2, 3.86, 25.2 IP, 11.57 K/9, 2.10 BB/9.
Sean Manaea was the early favorite to go #1 overall in the 2013 draft after exploding on the scene in the Cape Cod League in the summer of 2012 with a FB that topped out at 97 MPH. His junior season at Indiana St was marred by cold weather and a hip injury and his stock dropped. The KC Royals made him the 34'th overall selection in the compensation round. He recuperated from his injuries the rest of the summer and made his pro debut in high A ball in 2014. There were more minor injuries to begin 2015 and he was traded to the A's for Ben Zobrist at the deadline. He kicked his game up a notch after the trade an got additional work in the AFL.
He continues to sport a mid-90's FB and a couple of solid secondary pitches. He will likely start 2016 in AAA, but will also likely make his MLB debut sometime this season. He'll warrant consideration if you need some help in your fantasy starting rotation.
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I always like to keep my eyes on certain teams like the A's, Miami, and Houston because it seems like every year you can expect them to have at least 2-3 rookies come up and get a chance to get real playing time and also do well. They aren't necessarily the highest ranked prospects every time either yet in fantasy they can be very impactful like Billy Burns last year. These teams are in a constant rebuilding phase with little blocking any of their prospects so it seems like a no brainer to follow their systems.
ReplyDeleteThey also seem to have consistently more intriguing prospects every year probably because of their high draft picks but also because their scouts and strategy. St. Louis, the Cubbies, and Texas are a few more teams that have done well scouting and I guess what I'm wondering is if anyone has tried to rank prospects based on their big league clubs instead as well as their individual talent. The personality of the big league club I believe has a lot to do with whether some of these kids make it or not. Some would have never been drafted like Piazza and there have to be hundreds over the years that probably just never got their chance but could have ended up being good big leaguers if they were in a different system.
Would it make sense to put together a prospect ranking not based just on individual talent but based on opportunity to make an impact this year? If Sean Manaea were in some other organization he may be 1-2 years away still but since he is with the A's it is almost a certainty that he will be up this year. That to me means his value is higher than maybe someone like Glasnow because the Pirates are more concerned about arb years and development. Justin Bour last year was on nobodies radar and he didn't light the world on fire but he certainly showed he belonged and is getting another shot this year. Randal Gricheck, Addison Russell, and Rougned Odor all got their shots early while Corey Seager sat and rotted away in AAA because the Dodgers didn't want to send JRol to the bench. Would you be able to come up with a top 25 prospects list for this year that heavily weighs these factors along with the talent of the individual player?
One of my biggest weaknesses each year in fantasy baseball has been reaching for someone who is a great prospect but doesn't have a great chance of actually getting called up soon enough and I end up wasting a roster spot on my bench to hold onto them. I've done this with Bryce Harper, Javier Baez, Byron Buxton, and Seager last year and it kills the production of a fantasy team in standard 5X5 where you need the cumulitive stats. Thanks!
Shankbone has done quite a bit of comparisons of the success rates of different organizations in drafting and developing prospects over on his blog, You Gotta Like These Kids.
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