Lucious Fox, SS. B-B, T-R. DOB: 7/2/1997. 6'2", 170 lbs.
Fox attended HS in the USA, but moved to his native Bahamas before his senior season to avoid the Rule 4 Draft and give himself a chance to make more money as an international signee. Fangraphs had him ranked as the #3 international prospect while mlb.com had him at #4. His best tool, according to all scouting reports I've read is his speed which Kiley McDaniel called a "70" on a scale of 20-80. Most scouts also think he will hit with gap power. Scouts are split on his future power potential and whether he has the arm to stay at SS. Based on Video I've looked at, he has a lean, athletic frame that appears to have significant room to fill out with a high probability that it will. In other words, he is not skinny like Matt Duffy or say Johneshwy Fargas.
Based on the Giants willingness to forgo a top international signing for the next 2 years in order to sign him, I would say their scouts think highly of him. In terms of absolute ceiling, he may have the highest of any current Giants position prospect. I would say a probable ceiling is a .300 BA with 15-20 HRs and oodles of XBH's including double digit triples with 40 SB's. He is probably a future CF.
Earliest ETA is 2020. More likely 2021.
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I'm going to take some space to say many, many thanks for these reports, and for plowing through them during the holiday season. It's really very much appreciated.
ReplyDeleteOne item: as a casual follower of developing prospects, it seems the two questions that come up a lot about a hot prospect are: Will he stick as a SS and will he stick as a SP (or become a reliever). I don't think I fully appreciated the difficulty in finding players for these positions until I started following sites such as yours.
-e
Thank you. Appreciate your reading the blog and comments.
DeleteI do not know much about Fox but if the Giants are willing to give that type of bonus then I am thinking he is pretty special. Speed, defense, gap power and HR around 15-20. That sounds amazing! Sounds like a leaner Lorenzo Cain which would be great to have.
ReplyDeleteAnd pay a big penalty on top of everything.
DeleteIf Fox can be a consistent 20=20 guy that would be great.
ReplyDeleteAlways enjoy your prospect reports. Fox sounds like a player where it would be great if he just puts the ball in play mostly on the ground and doesn't strike out much to take advantage of his great speed.
ReplyDeleteLG