We'll review the first pro season performances of the Giants 2015 draftees. Just for fun, we'll assign a letter grade to the performance. Keep in mind the letter grade is for the current performance only and does not necessarily predict the future nor does it grade their overall value as a prospect. Once again, it's just for fun.
Round 1 Pick #18 Phil Bickford, RHP. Rookie AZL: 0-1, 2.01, 22.1 IP, 6 BB, 32 K's, GO/AO= 1.29. Over his last 3 starts, Bickford struck out 18 batters against just 2 BB's in just 8.1 IP. These numbers at a higher level would merit a solid A, but the Giants were cautious with their prized first rounder. Grade B+.
Round 1 Pick #31(Compensatory) Chris Shaw, 1B. Short Season: .287/.360/.551, 12 HR. Can't ask for a better pro debut than this. Shaw led the NWL in HR's by 2 and in SLG% by almost .050. Already the arguably the premier power hitting prospect in the organization although Mac Willamson might have something to say about that. Grade A!
Round 2 Pick #61 Andrew Suarez, LHP. Rookie AZL: 0-0, 1.80, 5 IP, 1 BB, 6 K's. Short Season: 1-0, 1.40, 19.1 IP, 2 BB, 15 K's. High A: 1-0, 1.80, 15 IP, 2 BB, 16 K's. The High A numbers are for the regular season only. Suarez also pitched 9 innings in the Cal League postseason with 7 K's against 1 BB. For a pitcher to make high A in his pro debut and then dominate a hitter's league like the Cal League plus get postseason experience is quite the accomplishment. Grade A!
Round 3 Pick #95 Jalen Miller, SS. Rookie AZL: .218/.292/.259, 11 SB in 174 AB. Started off hot at the plate then cooled off. Got high marks for his fielding and athleticism. Grade C.
Round 4 Pick #126 Mac Marshall, LHP. Rookie AZL: 0-0, 2.57, 7 IP, 5 BB, 11 K's. Short Season: 0-0, 6.59, 13.2 IP, 10 BB, 18 K's. 29 K's in 20.2 IP show a high ceiling. The walks are something he will have to overcome to get there. Grade C.
Round 5 Pick #156 Ronnie Jebavy, OF. Short Season: .263/303/.419, 8 HR, 23 SB in 270 AB. Started slow out of the gate, but hit .281 in the second half of the short season. Very nice combo of power and speed. Gotta worry just a bit about how the BA plays at higher levels. Grade B.
Round 6 Pick #186 Steven Duggar, OF. Short Season: .293/.390/.367, 1 HR, 6 SB in 229 AB. Hit .333 over his final 10 games. Love the BA and OBP. What else does he give you? Grade B.
Round 7 Pick #216 Jose Vizcaino, Jr. 3B. Short Season: .288/.351/.457, 6 HR, 5 SB in 184 AB. Big college SS immediately moved to 3B. Had to fight for PT with Miguel Gomez. That's a problem going forward with Jonah Arenado in the 3B mix for the lower minors too. Otherwise nice numbers for a pro debut. Grade B.
Round 8 Pick #246 Cory Taylor, RHP. Short Season: 2-0, 2.45, 33 IP, 12 BB, 50 K's, GO/AO= 1.87. Dominant numbers out of the bullpen for Salem-Keizer for this jumbo sized RHP. Grade B+.
Round 9 Pick #276. David Graybill, RHP. Rookie AZL: 0-0, 18.00, 3 IP, 4 BB, 2 K's. Big RHP who did not pitch a lot in college or in his debut. His relatively high draft position tells me the Giants think they can develop him along the lines of Big Joe Biagini. Grade F*.(asterisk means he is a project with upside).
Round 10 Pick #306. Tyler Cyr, RHP. Rookie AZL: 0-1, 2.25, 4 IP, 1 BB, 7 K's. Low A: 2-1, 5.60, 17.2 P, 18 BB, 20 K's. A bit on the wild side after aggressive early promotion to Augusta. Grade C-.
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I think Duggar can break out big time next season if he will simplify his swing in the offseason. Just a little too much moving parts for my taste.
ReplyDeleteAssuming Chris Shaw goes to San Jose would it be unreasonable to say that he will hit 20 or more HR? I will take the over on that one.
ReplyDeleteI say he hits 25 in SJ before getting moved up to Richmond and hitting 4 more. Question is, can the kid hit near .290 while doing it?
DeleteWith that kind of power you can sacrifice some of the BA. If he could hit 25HR+ and hit around .270-.275 I think that would be pretty exciting. In the MLB this year 40 players hit 25HR or more. Out of those 40 players only 16 of them hit .270 or better. Only 8 players hit .290 or better.
DeleteWhat's a good comp for Shaw? In my untrained mind can I say poor man's Goldschmidt?
ReplyDeletePoor man's Rizzo.
DeleteHow about a rich man's Rizzo? Seriously, Rizzo is one name that comes to mind. Justin Morneau before the injuries. How about Adrian Gonzalez? Just as a rough estimate, I'll say his absolute ceiling is .280-.300 with 40 HR's. Median ceiling: .260- .280 with 30.
DeleteOh yeah forgot about Rizzo. Lefty batters
ReplyDeleteDoes fielding factor in your evaluation? Vizcaino had 14 errors in 111 chances (SS & 3rd), Shaw had 8 errors in 295 chances and Gomez had 12 errors in 86 chances at 3rd and 5 errors in 142 chances at catcher. It appears this was Gomez's first time playing 3rd as it shows him playing catcher and some first base in the DSL. APGiants fan
ReplyDeleteErrors and fielding percentage are terrible measurements of true defensive ability at best and these are magnified in the lower minors due to bad fields, bad lighting and inexperienced players. Since advanced fielding metrics are not available for minor leaguers, you would need to look at scouting reports that account for things like range, arm strength and athleticism which are sometimes available and sometimes accurate.
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