#28 Kendry Flores, RHP. 6'2", 175 lbs. BD: 11/24/1991.
Short Season: 4-3, 5.06, 48 IP, 14 BB, 47 K, GO/AO=0.90.
Flores' ERA doesn't look good here, but his K and BB ratios remained excellent. He's a classic power/flyball pitcher that the Giants have become known for developing. I don't have a scouting report on him but I have the impression from somewhere that he throws in the low-mid 90's. I've seen a few pics over on azgiants.com and he looks stockier than than his listed weight. I would think he'll move up to low A Augusta for 2012 where he will be age appropriate for the level. He's a solid prospect.
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
Starting to get hard to get comments on these prospects.
ReplyDeleteNice numbers, just turned 20, looks like a solid prospect, yes.
Yeah, you notice my writeups are getting shorter on these lower level guys too. You are always welcome to bring up off-topic issues in the comments, as long as it's Giants or baseball oriented stuff, that is.
DeleteThoughts on Stephen Piscotty?
DeleteRanked #9 in College Baseball Daily's Top 100 College Players. Stats look good. I could see the Giants being interested in him.
DeleteNo, I meant by commenters, I just figure this was short because you did not have a scouting report.
DeleteThe roster is complete and all the contracts have been done except for Lincecum needing a physical and signing his. Does everybody think this roster can be #1 in the NL West. I really don't think LA, COL, or SD presents much challenge. ARI looks pretty tough. I am hoping we can win this division but I have my reservations. Maybe we will acquire someone at the deadline to put us over the top. Maybe we have enough now with everyone getting healthy. Only time will tell. I think we just need to worry about ourselves and win as many as possible. I think it will take 93-94 wins to win this division. Any thoughts.
ReplyDeleteContracts are set, there is a bit of confusion on minor points which might determine how much wiggle room for additions there is. Cots got bought out by BP, here's the new link:
Deletehttp://www.baseballprospectus.com/compensation/cots/?page_id=152
If you click the link on 2012-17 obligations you get knocked into a spreadsheet overview. I think they sometimes roll bonuses into the paid salary averaged out for the length of the contract. In this case Timmy's bonus, Cain's bonus, and Rowand's lousy bonus are included when they might not count against the salary for the year. Rowand's is always a confusion. It is my understanding it has been paid already, they owe him 12MM. I'm not sure if they get the money if he makes the Marlins (league minimum) or if it goes to some general fund.
If you take those 3 bonuses off, the Gints are at $122,525,000. That does not include 7 players who will make somewhere around the minimum - Posey and MadBum may get bumps, Burriss is supposed to get 600K, Runzler, Belt, Crawford and Pill should make the minimum. If you go 600K to the first 3 (1.8MM) and 500K for the next 4 (2.0MM) you get an additional 3.8MM, for a total of 126.325MM, with those bonuses subtracted. Also Whiteside is on there for 600K but also has a minor league portion of his contract, my understanding is its 150K. Not sure what the situation is with him. Stewart will challenge him, and its my theory Hector Sanchez is well liked and is one raking spring training to send both of those guys to Fresno.
So according to my not-to-be-quoted calculations, the Gints have 3.675MM to go til they tap out at the magic 130MM limit. Rich Harden on a minor league deal? Conor Jackson? My preferred backup plan to Freddy/Crawford in Ryan The Riot? A big time gamble with Brandon Webb or Scott Kazmir? Maybe the Gints just sit on the extra, able to take on salary. I have to say going a little above and grabbing Paul Maholm or Marco Scutaro are moves not made that might bite the Giants later. Maholm did get a 2nd year, so maybe that was too much, and Scutaro was 6MM, but I'd say the Manny Burriss backup plan is my biggest fear of the offseason. Yes, the Hobbit can help out a bunch. I'd feel a bit better with more, because Manny has not shown the ability to hit. 25th player? Yup. Nitpicking? A little.
I am most scared of the Dodgers. They have 2 superstars, they will always be dangerous. Coletti made poor moves for sure, but they have a pretty good potential closer, Dee Gordon looks very legit, and their pitching is always pretty good. Arizona will be good as well, I do expect some regression from certain key players. Colorado is a wild card. They've got guys people expected on the Giants, it should be an interesting comparison - Cuddyer and Scutaro. Pitching as always is their problem.
All it takes is for everybody to stay healthy and for everybody to AVERAGE their projections and the Giants should contend for the NL West title. Projections are usually pretty conservative, so that's not that tall an order.
DeletePotential pitfalls: 1. SP is very thin. If one of the top 3 SP's goes out with a prolonged injury it will be very tough, but you can say that about most teams. 2. I think they are very thin at middle infield.
I'm not particularly scared about any of the competition in the NL West. AZ finished 6 wins above Pythagorean and +12 games in 1 run games. Unless Kirk Gibson is the second coming of Bruce Bochy, there will be regression to the mean in both those regards.
DeleteNow, Trevor Cahill is a nice addition, but his K/BB is nothing to brag about, and his 2010 was driven totally by a very low BABIP, which he paid for in regression in 2011. Either way, he's still below league mean BABIP for his career, implying further regression unless he's like Cain or Zito. Still, provides improvement over the motley crew they have going in the #5 spot last season.
However, Saunders had a lucky year with the BABIP, so he should revert back to his usual mid-4 ERA, so that will bring the rotation down a bit. Also, Collmenter had a .260 BABIP, so he will need to prove he's capable of keeping BABIP down, else regression to .300 will be a bear for him in 2012.
And Goldschmidt, while striking out in a third of his at-bats, probably shouldn't even maintain a .250 BA, dropping him further. Plus, his BABIP was .323, which usually only good hitters (again, he's striking out a lot) can do or speed guys (4 SB suggests little speed, plus 3B) or both. I would bet he does worse in 2012 than 2011.
But still, it is not like all will suck. Somebody will get a good performance unexpectedly and be contending with us, the question is who. AZ has enough good parts to do that, probably best chance out of the motley crew.
I don't see LA though. They have two superstars? We had Barry Lamar Bonds, who was like two superstars in one with all the walks and homers, but that didn't help us enough to win. And even with their stars, they still average below league average in RS. I don't see how their rotation is improved losing Kuroda's production and getting Aaron Harang. Harang had a 3.05 ERA in pitcher's park Petco, 4.70 ERA elsewhere.
Nice analysis about the inclusion of bonuses. For sure Rowand's should not be included, the contract states explicitly when they were to be paid, in the first two seasons. I would assume likewise for the others, but wow, there was that much bonuses paid?
I think Stewart is well liked too, and he hits OK against LHP as a strong defensive catcher (despite playing part-time, he was among leaders in DRS for catchers with 9, one win by his defense alone in part time), so I have to think that no matter how well Hector does in spring, he ends up in Fresno to work on his defense and hitting, and further develop, and get really good, since the Giants noted that they were rushing guys too much.
I think missing out on Maholm or Scutaro was good for the Giants, neither are really necessary. Zito is most likely going to make the rotation, the Giants are going to give him that chance no matter what, because if he pitches like 2009-10, that is great in the
#5 spot. And if he sucks, he can eat innings to mid-year and either Surkamp is ready or the Giants pick up a big salary guy to replace Zito and finally DFA him.
Crawford, I feel, will surprise people. He did well in Sept and in AFL, his batting discipline was very good, he just need to do more when he makes contact and that takes some time, but I think with his great defense, that offense will be a bonus.
I highly doubt the cap of $130MM is that set in stone. If we are in contention at the trade deadline I believe we could go over it a few million and the brass would not mind. I just think they do not want to turn $130MM to $140MM.
ReplyDeleteI am not sure why we are not interested in Cespedes. Even if he tops Chapman's salary of $31MM over 6 years and gets $35MM - $40MM over 6 years, that is only $6MM - $7MM over 6 years. This kid is supposed to be a beast. That is a small risk considering we just paid an aging Renteria close to $20MM and an injured DeRosa $12MM. I think the Giants need to be much more aggressive in the International market and in the Draft if we are not going to be a player in Free Agency. It seems that after Villalona, they are staying away from any major prospects. However, let it be known that posting fees for Japanese players is absolutely absurd. Plus, more often then not they are busts.
There was a report over on Fangraphs today that Cespedes has been "cultivating mass." He has also had a rough Dominican Winter League and looks like strictly a corner OF. I'm not sure he's worth the risk. What I do hope the Giants do is spend their full $2.9 M cap on 11 or 12 international prospects each in the $100-$400 K range.
DeleteWord is they just signed a tall lanky RHP who was voted the top pitcher in the Dominican Prospect League playoffs or something like that. That's where they got Simon Mercedes and Adalberto Mejia last year.
From my observations of the past, the Giants MO is to cap preseason, but leave some money to do moves mid season.
DeleteReally, you are OK with blowing $40M on an untested amateur? Isn't he Cuban? Most of them have turned out very poorly, not worth the hype. Many Latin American prospects have rarely turned out o be good.
I like the volume approach to international signings.
Schulman just upped his game a bunch, check out his blog for the post on Steve Decker. Hitting philosophy, organization chart moves, the reason why Decker got the job switch (hint to Bacci - its not his girl's volleyball team), its a great post. And Steve Kline got the bump from Augusta to SJ pitching coach.
ReplyDeleteI think it was OGC who picked up on Decker's daughter's volleyball connection. Bacci was suspicious there was something more sinister going on. I'll go check out Schulman now.
DeleteHmmm.....after reading Schulman's report, I'm thinking a lot of the MCC crowd is going to be none too happy about Decker's philosophy of hitting.
DeleteCongrats to Derin McMains on landing the AZL Giants managing job. I think McMains could have been a MLB 2B if not for a series of crippling injuries.
None too happy. Made me laugh. The Giants had a major problem crushing mistakes last year. Actually a lot of years. That's what the yanks do - they wait for the mistake pitches and crush them. I see nothing wrong with that philosophy, if you're talented enough, like, say one Barry Lamar, it works great. Lawyerball on the other hand... I'm pleased that CJ Wilson didn't leave the AL West and will still be around to talk smack often to the A's.
DeleteIts a pretty funny transition in that rookie video on sfgiants - they go from Dunston telling everybody to be themselves to Barry talking about the strike zone. The biggest hacker possibly in Giants history to the best OBP. Awesome high comedy.
That was what I saw reported. And sometimes we have to take what is said with a grain of salt.
DeleteI totally agree, when I read that post, I thought the same thing, Hank had upped his game. Good for him, good for us.
I'm a Giants fan to my core, but I admit I went to see this Dee Gordon play. The kid needs a tennis racket to bat, but....... ......on the field, he is as Beethoven to music. Phenom of gloves. Problem is that there might be some pony leaguers out there that can hit better. At times it is like he forgets to take his brain when he goes to bat. If he conquers the mental aspect, it wouldn't be nice for Giants fans. Fun to watch.
ReplyDeleteThin midfielders? For the Giants it is more like dire straits. Culberson reminds me (I don't just mean in hair looks) of Crawford from the right side. Giants can't afford to have a weak bat at #7 if Crawford follows. Is Freddie going to be ready? When? Panik is how close?
As for a SP injury to the top four - major problem! Major! If Wheeler does St Lucie the rest of the way up the short chain, Sabean is going to take heat in the range of the Nathan/AJ debacle. Doc, other than Surkamp, (who I feel has got to do a lot of work) who is even close that you believe could pitch .500 ball, like 4.50 ERA? Under the radar is the only hope they have for the coming year and pray for divine help in the draft...
If Melky and Pagan are it for the off season, Sabean is rubbing his rabbit's paw on Huff and Belt. I remember how Sabean stated that the organization would not put pressure on Belt like they did on Posey. It seemed to me that Belt might have gotten a bigger build up than Buster. Having Huff there was a contributing factor also... By the way, does Aubrey have one of those Dominican birth certificates? It was like his bat speed went on life support. It almost looks as if his days for turning on fastballs are gone.
I still believe that the D'Backs got better and the Giants will have their hands full even if they do play like the 2010 team.
Just an opinion...
I think Justin Fitzgerald could hold his own after a couple of months in Fresno. Hector Correa was pitching 4 inning stints in AA late last year. He could be extended to starting. I think Seth Rosin is a lot closer than he's being given credit for.
DeleteWord on Freddie is he's going to be read out of the gate. Hope that's true. I don't have a ton of confidence that he plays even one inning next year.
Dee Gordon hits .250 for a full season and he steals at least 60 bases, maybe 80. I'm not so sure he hits .220 though. His speed should allow him to beat out enough IF hits to keep the BA above .220 I would think.
Oh, and Crawford had better fielding stats than Gordon last year but the sample size is admittedly very small.
DeleteI think the D-backs will get better very soon. That pitching coming is awesome. They were comfortable enough to trade for Cahill to get better in the interim and sacrifice future gains. We'll see if Kennedy is for real. I think Goldschmidt and Tattoo guy will get severely tested. Upton might rise up to another level a la Matt Kemp. They are going to be formidable. They have a bunch of depth in the middle infield now. None outstanding though.
DeleteJeff Francis is off the board, minor league deal to the Reds. As soon as Oswalt and Edwin Jackson get locked up, the minor league deals will thunder in. I hope the Giants get at least 2.
what would be your list of the worst 10 players in the minor leagues of the giants?.i mean 10 players that you easily could put out of your system for the fact of not seeing anything good at the time that they have in the organization or players who simply have lost the tools that in a moment showed.And what they need to do to return to the plane that they were, or to turn into something interesting inside the system?
ReplyDeleteWell, we try to keep it positive here, but off the top of my head I would say that Wendell Fairley and Nick Noonan are getting very close to being classified as failed prospects. Noonan might still have a chance if he can put together a full healthy season playing shortstop at one of the levels, but even at SS, he's going to have to hit better.
DeleteEvery organization has some "organizational" players who know they have no chance of making it to the majors, but are satisifed to continue to draw a small paycheck to continue playing the game in the minor leagues.
Also, remember even the worst player in Low A ball is still a very good baseball player. He's only bad in comparison to the elite of the elites.
I really like Noonan's production in SJ in the second half, his first time there, so that keeps hope alive for me. He was so much younger yet hit really well. Given how badly the EL treats our position prospects, in hindsight, it might have been better to keep Noonan in San Jose another season to consolidate his gains and cement his confidence, instead of throwing him into the EL and have it crush his confidence. SSS, but I like that he did well in his short stint in AAA, so hopefully he's healthy and ready to tackle AAA in 2012.
Deletewe always talks about top 10 prospect,and i think coud be interesting talks about those players too and then see what happens
ReplyDeleteThat's why we take it all the way down to #50 plus another 40+ honorable mentions. I remember several years ago Pablo Sandoval had a terrible season in low A and looked about as far from being a prospect as you could get. I stuck him at #50 just because I though it was too early to give up on him. Look where he is now!
DeleteI agree totally with you, inside the players that you mention I can mention also to aaron king,he was a left-handed with tremendous potential and could cause great impact and now he is lost in the space
ReplyDelete