Saturday, January 7, 2012

Down on the Farm: #12 Ricky Oropesa

#12 Ricky Oropesa, 1B. 6'3", 225 lbs. BD: 12/15/1989. B-L, T-R.

2011 College(USC): .322/.402/.481, 7 HR, 29 BB, 46 K in 208 AB.

2010 College(USC): .353/.434/.711, 20 HR, 7 SB, 33 BB, 51 K in 235 AB.

2009 College(USC): .314/.385/.578, 13 HR, 23 BB, 46 K in 185 AB.a

2010 Cape Cod League: .222 with 7 HR's, 24 BB, 52 K's in 153 AB's.

I've said it several times before, but I'll say it again here. I work with Ricky's mom and have been a huge fan since he was a junior in HS, so I am definitely not unbiased here. Ricky comes from an athletic family. His dad stands 6'5" and played some football at UCLA. His paternal grandfather ran track in Cuba. His maternal grandfather was a boxer in the Philippines.

I don't remember exactly how I first learned of Ricky's baseball prowess. Somehow I got to talking to his mom about local HS baseball and mentioned that I had read about Isaac Galloway as a highly rated local player. She told me she knew Isaac and his family and told me about her son who played in the same HS league. I looked up Ricky's stats and was immediately impressed by his combination of BA/OBP and power. I told his mom that the scouts might be in love with Isaac's speed but I though Ricky looked like a better prospect based on his stats. She seemed to know the families of quite a few southern California prospects, Galloway, Matt Dominguez, Mike Moustakas, Gerrit Cole, Aaron Hicks. We started comparing scouting reports and other bits of information we picked up as Ricky's career progressed.

Ricky chose to accept his scholarship to USC rather than signing with the Red Sox as a 24'th round pick back in 2008. He almost immediately became the best hitter on a rather weak SC team. He had a huge breakout his sophomore campaign hitting 20 HR's. He then led the Cape Cod League in HR's although he struggled to a .222 BA and struck out at about a 30% clip. He was poised to be a late first round draft pick and it was not unthinkable that he might break Mark McGwire's USC career HR record going into his junior year.

It's easy to dismiss Ricky's dropoff in power his junior year to the BBCOR bats. There is more to the story though. There was no BBCOR bat available in Ricky's preferred size of 35" for the first several weeks of the season. In addition, USC had a new head coach who wanted Ricky to take more of a level, line drive swing than the uppercut he was used to. The result was some decent numbers, but disappointing in light of his huge junior season.

Ricky and his family knew the Giants were interested. I am told that the Giants Scouting Director(I assume John Barr, although I haven't heard his name specifically) was in attendance when Ricky took Gerrit Cole deep late in the season. Ricky was alerted by Scott Boras that he might get a call from the Giants in the second round. The Giants went with Andrew Susac when he became available in round 2, but then Ricky was still on the board in round 3 and the Giants grabbed him. The pick continued the Giants trend of using the single digit non-first round picks on formerly highly ranked players whose stock dropped for whatever reason.

Ricky has a strong throwing arm and pitched some in HS and as a freshman in college. He is not going to steal bases but neither is he a slow runner. There have been several half-hearted attempts to move him to 3B and even the OF, but he's always ended up back at 1B. I think he has to tools to be a 3B or corner OF, but we need to consider him a first baseman for now. I am so darn excited to see him start his professional career in the Giants organization. I'm hoping they start him out in San Jose where he would be part of a "murderer's row" lineup with Panik, Susac and Duvall.

14 comments:

  1. I am excited to see where Ricky will be placed and how well he will do. The only thing that concerns me is the position he plays. Hopefully he can play a corner outfield spot as well because 1B is getting crowded. Belt, Pill, Posey, and the wildcard Villalona. Who knows if Angel will bounce back or not. If Ricky could play in the OF then maybe he will have a chance to stick. He probably wouldn't be ready until 2014 so who knows what will happen by then. I have heard he might have the highest power potential in the system so lets sit back and see what happens with him. I would love to see anyone in our org to hit 25+ homers. We were spoiled for so long with Bonds. Fielder would have perfect for AT&T but that does not seem to be in our financial future. He is too young for Sabean and if he was 35 we might have signed him.

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  2. Can't wait to see the SJ team this year! Ricky and Susac should be a whole lot of fun to read about and hopefully watch. I think Ricky's BB/K numbers were much better than Chris D's during college which is all we have to compare right now.

    I appreciate the story you laid out. It is pretty exciting for a family to watch a child develop like that.

    I read about Ricky O in Baseball Beginnings last year a bit before I knew your connection. Klima is very big on letting players be themselves, not picking them apart. He actually said something about not touching the uppercut, even though he did point out it could be seen as a flaw. Kind of interesting. Ricky's bat speed is obviously one of his best aspects as a player.

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  3. Ah, what the hell, here's Klima's quote, I love his slang: if it works for him, I wouldn’t touch it. I’m not writing him off because you don’t want to write off raw left-handed power. The bat speed is there. I can’t give a guy bat speed and raw power. He might be one tweak away from being a dude.

    Klima changes his site around and then gives up writing? This is not good, I really enjoy that guy. What gives?

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  4. I enjoyed watching Ricky's power display in a 3 game series here in Hawaii during his sophmore year. I thought he'd be a guaranteed 1st round pick, so the Giants getting him in the 3rd round is a steal.. His falloff as a junior is hard to believe. I think Ricky and Susac will do well if assigned to San Jose. I've heard that Class A pitching is equal to good College Baseball Division I pitching.

    LG

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  5. Should we rename this place Ricky's Fan Club Blog? Power on! Very excited to follow Ricky's path to the Bigs. Thanks for the insight DocB, personal stories are always the best.

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  6. As a USC homer I was beyond happy to see the g's steal Ricky in the 3rd round. Bombs away.

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  7. Well, I am happy to hear all this good stuff about Ricky. We can use another power guy. Sounds like he can be an OK corner OF if necessary, but it would be great if he could prove playable at 3B, as I do not expect Sandoval to be there forever, and we do not have any strong depth there, unless Villalona somehow proves critics wrong and can play there.

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  8. Here is how I see SJ roster:
    C: Andrew Susac
    1B: Ricky Oropesa
    2B: Carlos Willonboughy
    3B: Adam Duvall
    SS: Joe Panik
    LF: Jesus Galindo
    CF: Shawn Payne
    RF: Rafael Rodriguez
    SP: Shawn Sanford, Mike Kickham, Taylor Rogers, Seth Rosin, Josh Osich
    RP: Clayton Blackburn, Edward Concepion
    CL: Brett Bochy

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  9. If they don't win the championship with that roster, I don't even know what.

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  10. That's not a bad guess for the SJ roster. I'm gonna say Blackburn is a starter in Augusta. Galindo might be in Augusta too. Other than that, looks good to me.

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  11. Between SJ and Fresno we're going to win some championships. I hope they go slow and hold Blackburn back and make him a starter. Where does Mejia go? I'd love for them to be a 1-2 punch.

    And assuming visa issues go OK in the next 8 weeks, where does AnVil start? I don't think they're throwing him into the eastern.

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  12. There's a website "Mack's Mets" - its pretty chaotic but it has some interesting things here and there. (I got the info on my Pagan/Torres throw in prediction from there) One thing that caught my eye was a post about general management, effective scouting and drafting talent. The guy writes: Below, I have compiled a list of all draft picks from 1999 (when Billy Beane took over as GM of the Oakland Athletics and began using statistical analytic methods) to 2005 who developed into good every-day players. Anything after 2005, and the players either haven't made it to the majors or haven't had time to show off in the majors. Basically, a good every-day player has accumulated a WAR of about five. In this list below, anyone who was close (about 4.6 or above), I allowed: 99: Angel Pagan (4th round) 10.3 WAR, 01: David Wright (1st) 32.6 WAR, 02: Scott Kazmir (1st): 16.7 WAR and 05: Mike Pelfrey (1st) 4.5 WAR.

    So the Mets, in a six year frame produced 4 home grown players through the draft, traded off 1 of them famously and just traded another one to us. It'd be fun to get Kazmir as a reclamation.

    For comparison, here's the Giants:
    01: (1st round) Noah Lowry 8.3 WAR, 02: (1st) Matt Cain 24.7 WAR, (Fred Lewis 2nd round has 4.0 WAR missing the cutoff), 03: (24th) Brian Wilson 6.4 WAR (Nate Schierholz 3rd round has 2.3 WAR), 04: Dirty Sanchez barely misses the cutoff 27th round 4.4 WAR, 05: Sergio Romo (28th) with 4.5 WAR.

    If you allow the small cutoff, you get 5 homegrown pitchers. That just demonstrates how hard it is to draft and develop, when you're competing as the Giants and Mets were at the time.

    2006: Timmy with 22.5 WAR
    2007: MadBum with 5.6 WAR
    2008: Posey with 4.4 WAR

    We'll see how that story continues to develop, but I have a huge appreciation for just how hard it is to grab 3 guys in a row like we did.

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  13. To say nothing of the fact that the dude didn't even look at 2006 or beyond because it's too early to tell and Timmy already has 22.5 WAR and MadBum 5.6! Posey having 4.4 despite missing the bulk of last year is pretty astounding too.

    Giants have gotten excellent value out of later round picks too.

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  14. Shank, great perspective.

    I like to rifle through past years drafts on Baseball Reference to remind myself that ALL organizations make bad picks, run into bad luck, etc.

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