Wednesday, August 7, 2013

Down on the Farm: 8/6/2013

AAA  Albuquerque Isotopes beat the Fresno Grizzlies 4-1:

Eh, nothing to see here.

AA  Richmond Flying Squirrels ran away from the Portland Sea Dogs 8-2:

Ryan Lollis(CF)- 2 for 5, 2 HR(7).  BA= .276.
Mark Minicozzi(1B)- 3 for 5, 2B.  BA= .334.
Adam Duvall(3B)- 2 for 4, 2 2B, BB.  BA= .334.
Jarrett Parker(RF)- 2 for 5, 3B, HR(13).  BA= .244.
Joe Panik(2B)- 1 for 3, 2 BB.  BA= .261.
Jack Snodgrass(LHP)- 5.1 IP, 5 H, 1 R, 2 BB, 3 K's.  ERA= 3.61.

High A  Visalia Rawhide defeated the San Jose Giants 7-3:

Matt Duffy(SS)- 2 for 4, 2 2B.  BA= .355.

Matt Duffy!!

Low A  Augusta Greenjackets topped the Rome Braves 6-3 in 12 innings:

Mitch Delfino(3B)- 2 for 6.  BA= .257.
Joey Rapp(1B)- 3 for 6.  BA= .240.
Chuckie Jones(RF)- 2 for 4, BB.  BA= .228.
Andrew Cain(CF)- 1 for 4, BB, 2 SB(17).  ERA= .252.
Kendry Flores(RHP)- 8.1 IP, 6 H, 3 R, 1 BB, 6 K's.  ERA= 2.81.
Mason McVay(LHP)- 1.2 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 3 K's.  ERA= 4.45.
Steven Okert(LHP)- 2 IP, 2 H, 0 R, 2 BB, 2 K's  ERA= 3.16.

Chuckie Jones hit .275 in July and is hitting .320 so far in August.

Short Season  Salem-Keizer Volcanoes were idle.

Rookie AZL  Giants edged the Padres 2-1:

Cristian Paulino(CF)- 3 for 5, 2B, 2 SB(12).  BA= .360.
Luis Ysla(LHP)- 4 IP, 2 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 4 K's.  ERA= 3.50.

Paulino moves into the leadoff spot and has a big game.  I think I said he looked like a dynamic player when he was back in the DSL.

DSL  Giants won over the D'Backs 4-3:

Jean Angomas(LF, 18 yo)- 2 for 3, 3B, BB, SB(5).  BA= .276.
Eusebio Encarnacion(RHP, 19 yo)- 7 IP, 6 H, 2 R, 0 BB, 6 K's.  ERA= 2.00.

Encarnacion pitches a QS on his 19'th birthday.


  1. Sadly, Duvall is now hitting only .248, rather than the much-preferred .334.

    Matt Duffy!!

    And it's nice to see Chuckie moving in a positive direction finally.

    Kendry Flores is looking good. Does he make anyone's Top 10 this fall? Top 15?

    1. I would say Flores is on the fringes of the top 10, almost certainly top 15, but there are a lot of names to consider with the addition of the 2013 draft class which has some very interesting possibilities. Probably only Arroyo and Jones for top 15 consideration, though.

    2. Speaking of 2013 draft class, who in your opinion, DrB, would be the best pitcher in that class?

      Nice bump up by Chuckie, unfortunately not accompanied by better plate discipline or control, he's still striking out a lot while walking about as much as he has before. But look at his early season vs. lately, where before ends on June 21st:

      Early: .191/.281/.291/.572, 3 HR in 199 AB (66 AB/HR), 34% XBH, 100 ISO, .278 BABIP, 63% contact rate, 0.32 BB/K
      After: .285/.373/.415/.789, 3 HR in 130 AB (43 AB/HR), 27% XBH, 130 ISO, .374 BABIP, 72% contact rate, 0.46 BB/K

      OK, I was looking at his monthly rates, and his walk and K rates looked about the same, but at the point he started hitting, June 23rd, he did have a marked improvement in contact rate as well as walk rate. I also never realized that he's actually walking a lot, just was striking out at massive amounts.

      While he appears young at 20 for the league, he turned 21 in July, so he's young but not that young for the league.

      Good for Matt Duffy! My fears about his age was overdone, I guess, though I would note that the Sally is a pitcher's league and the CAL is an extreme hitter's league, and it is pretty rare for any prospect to suddenly hit a lot better in a higher league than he was in the lower one. I should have paid more attention to both his high walk rate as well as his good contact rate in the league, those were still very good, age or no age.

      Did not know that he missed almost a month with an injury, May 29th to June 19th. And he was not that impressive upon his return back to Augusta, if anything, his batting line went down, as well as his walk rate, so it was odd that he got promoted then. And he started out relatively cold with his promotion, his first five games would be what I would expect from him jumping a league, .263/.364/.368/.732 (I know, SSS, just noting). But then in his next ten games, .395/.447/.674/1.121, with 3 HR in 43 AB, 6 K's in 43 AB, good contact, with 4 walks, 35% XBH, .412 BABIP. And 22 in CAL is not that old. Hopefully he can continue his great hitting, always nice to have options up the middle.

    3. Way overanalysis of Chuckie IMO. Just be happy he's getting better results. You can start worrying about his K rates if and when he gets to higher levels.

      Once again, overanalysis of SSS's on Duffy. He's hit well in both Augusta and SJ. Nobody expects him to continue his SJ numbers at higher levels.

    4. Best pitcher from 2013 draft class? I'll trust the Giants judgement in draft position until proven otherwise and say Chase Johnson. Vander Tuig has the best pedigree, but he may be all pitchability and not have the stuff to succeed at higher levels. Cautiously optimistic about Snelton and Slania. Love the potential upside of Rayan Hernandez and Dylan Brooks, but those guys are lottery tickets.

    5. Best pitcher: Chase Johnson until proven otherwise.
      Best steal: Vander Tuig, no doubt.
      Best sleeper: Nick Jones. Tall athletic raw lefty.

      As far as entire draft class, I think the Royals did extremely well with Sean Manaea. The top 3 of Appel-Grey-Stewart isn't a very strong one when comped to other top of the classes. They all have some dings. The 2013 pitching class was a real wild card, and it looked like a down year.

      The first dozen RHPs were: Appel, Grey, Stewart, Bickford*, Shipley, Anderson, Harvey, Gonzalez, Stanek, Hursh, Blair. Of those the guys I think Harvey and Blair were pretty smart choices.

      The first dozen LHPs were: Ball, Gonzales, Kaminsky, Clarkin, Manaea, Krook*, Zastryzny, Reed, Taylor, Windle, Ziomek, Green. Loved Kamisnky, and Manaea is a big risk big reward.

      If you squint from this angle, you can see why the Giants might have left themselves out of the pitching derby in the top 100, preferring to go with Johnson at the 101.

    6. One can be easily terrorized by over-analyses to peak into the future based on little to nothing.

      'Tomorrow do thy worst, I have lived today.'

    7. OGC...

      I appreciate the analysis. Even if doc thinks it's overdone, it puts things in a different perspective, which then allows us to interpret some of these performances in different ways. Keep it up.


    8. Lucky, you got a good point.

      I would just add that, as a general statement without referencing any particular person, we do

      0.53 +

      for example and we don't do

      0.53213236 +

      the extra effort is not needed - the least precise part of the measurement/analysis dictates the overall precision, per the rule of significant figures.

      For a 16, 17, 18 or 19 year old, there are just too many unknowns.

      Even for a major leaguer, his output depends on too many uncertain variables to warrant too much analysis.

      That's how I feel, generally speaking...again, without referencing any particular post. We each must judge for ourselves what is warranted.

  2. Gotta love Duffy!

    Really good start by Flores, much better than the boxscore...Had 8IP with 1 R and I guess the Giants wanted to give him a chance to finish the game in the 9th...But it wasn't to be...part of the learning process..


    1. I think giving up the 2-run HR to tie the game in the 9th will make him a better pitcher in the long run. Definitely liked what I saw through 8.1 innings though; has a shot to at least be an effective RP in the majors.

  3. Report from Visalia: Mejia gave up all 4 of his runs on homeruns. 2 were hit in the first inning and none of them were cheap shots. This against a realtively Punch and Judy hitting Rawhide team. :( Matt Duffy has a loose and easy swing. He hit a double off the right field wall in the first inning and tried to stretch it into a triple. He stumbled after rounding the bag at 2nd and should have stopped and returned to the bag. However, it took him a step or two to regain his speed and he was easily thrown out at 3rd. There were several other baserunning mistakes, including Ricky taking too much of a lead off 2nd on a fly out and getting thrown out by the left fielder. Chris Lofton made a great running/diving catch in left field. I am not sure if he injured his shoulder a bit or he just has no arm, as he was tossing the ball back with a high arch each time he threw it in. On a single to left he just tossed it in to 2nd and the batter took the extra base - a good sharp throw would have easily gotten the runner. The Little Giants have not played very good ball the past 2 days. APGiantsfan

    1. I have an eyewitness report from a friend in Visalia that said Duffy's stumble happened at least 10 feet past the bag, and at that point he was committed and had to run it out. He also said that Duffy's double was about 6 inches from out.

      Just to get the picture...

  4. Any scoop on why Angel Villalona hasn't played since Sunday? He has a modest 4-game hitting streak so I doubt it's performance-related.