Saturday, January 30, 2010

Giants Top 50 Prospects #25: Brett Pill

#25 Brett Pill. 1B. B-R, T-R. BD: 09-09-1984. 6'4", 215 lbs.

2009 Stats: AA- .298/.348/.480, 19 HR's, 37 doubles. VWL: .303/.385/.517, 5 HR's, 4 Doubles in 89 AB's.

Brett Pill has followed a very similar career path as John Bowker. Here are Pill's stat lines for the past 3 years compared with Bowker's at the same stage of his career:

Pill:

2007: Low A Augusta- .269/.321/.416, 10 HR's, 47 doubles.
2008: High A San Jose- .266/.321/.395, 9 HR's, 32 doubles.
2009: AA Connecticut- .298/.348/.480, 19 HR's, 37 doubles.

Bowker:

2005- High A San Jose- .267/.319/.414, 13 HR's, 27 doubles.
2006- High A San Jose- .284/.337/.424, 7 HR's, 32 doubles.
2007- AA Connecticut- .307/.363/.523, 22 HR's, 35 doubles.

Bowker jumped directly from Short Season to High A and stayed there 2 seasons, otherwise the numbers would be almost eerily similar. Pill's K rates have been lower, but that hasn't translated into better production. So, where does that leave Brett Pill as a prospect? Probably within the same tier as Bowker, Nate Schierholtz and Travis Ishikawa, guys who are going to have to prove they belong in the majors when they take over for an injured vet, or get a chance to play in a window before a more highly touted prospect comes along. Brian Sabean has historically put stock in winter ball performances, an Pill seems to have helped himself with a strong showing in Venezuela while Bowker complained about security and got himself sent home with a quad injury. Pill should be the starting first baseman in Fresno with an opportunity to challenge for the MLB first base job in 2011, sooner if there are injuries or other unforseen circumstances. I like the fact that he has kept hitting doubles while bringing his HR numbers up which means he is doing more than just hitting the balls that were doubles a little farther.

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