Friday, January 27, 2023

DrB's 2023 Giants Top 50 Prospects: #26 Keaton Winn

Keaton Winn RHP.  DOB:  2/20/1998.  6'4", 238 lbs.  Drafted 2018 Round 5

2022(A):  1-1, 4.87, 40.2 IP, 12.17 K/9, 3.54 BB/9, 1.63 GB/FB.
2022(A+):  3-2, 3.16, 37 IP, 11.19 K/9, 2.43 BB/9, 2.63 GB/FB.
2022(AA):  2-3, 30.1 IP, 7.12 K/9, 1.78 BB/9, 1.18 GB/FB.

Wow!  This is why I do this.  I figured there must be some reason the Giants protected Keaton Winn from the 2022 Rule 5 Draft by selecting him to the 40-man roster.  Little did I know, though until I researched this post.  That's what I get for still looking at ERA which for Winn last year was ho-hum.  When you add in the K/BB's and GB rates a completely different picture emerges.  Then you look up scouting reports and video.  Easy, easy 98 MPH heat with a fall-off-the-table splitter.  First comp that comes to mind is Kevin Gausman RHP.  Tall, big-boned, muscle mass, especially in the legs.  Proportional weight distribution, incredible leg strength that supports a drop-and-drive over-the-top delivery.  The fastball looks like a dart. 

So, where did Keaton Winn come from and where has he been?  Drafted out of JC ball in 2018.  Actually pitched really well but at low A ball mostly as a SP in 2019 with a 3.32 ERA.  Then came 2020 and COVID followed by missing all of 2021 to Tommy John surgery.  Last year he worked his way through 3 levels and was added to the 40-man roster in November.  I could see him blowing people away in spring training and forcing a trade to make room for him on the 26-man roster at some point in 2023.  Major sleeper in the system!  Oh, and run, don't walk, to look up his videos on the Youtube.

5 comments:

  1. Wow! Looks like a true sleeper. Such an easy delivery as he is throwing 95mph!

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  2. Doc any thoughts on the Giant's Zips projections? They seemed to publish a pretty positive take on the team.

    - Fan

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    1. Any projection system is a mean of potential outcomes. I believe the Giants range of potential outcomes is greater than most teams so the projection is less reliable for them. On the other hand, I one time compared a fairly long list of player outcomes with their preseason ZIPS projections and the projection was uncannily close for most of them.

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  3. COVID panic really hurt the young, non-established players in both the majors and the minors. When you lose a year and have just five to prove yourself, it really sucks. Add in this guys Tommy John... He's lucky the Giants saw something in him as I'm sure there are lots of guys like him that organizations have walked away from or exposed to the Rule 5 draft as 'not good enough of us.'

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  4. Thanks Doc reading about sleeper prospects like Winn is one of the reasons that make your blog a great place to check out. He sure looks like he throws an easy 95 MPH with a nasty splitter!

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