Sunday, February 7, 2016

DrB's 2016 Giants Top 50 Prospects: #46 Logan Webb

Logan Webb, RHP.  DOB:  11/18/1996.  6'2", 195 lbs.

Short Season:  3-6, 4.92, 60.1 IP, 5.97 K/9, 2.39 BB/9, GO/AO= 1.67.

This line may not look to impressive at first glance but let me break it down a bit for you.  First of all, Webb was competing at age 18 with players whose average age was about 3 years older than he, players like Dansby Swanson, the #1 overall draft pick from an elite college program who could be in the major leagues as soon as this season.   The other take away point is Webb started the season slowly with a K/BB of 7/7 in 20 IP in his first 4 appearances.  After that, he struck out 33 against 9 BB's in 40.1 IP for a 7.38 K/9 and a 1.98 BB/9.  And don't overlook that excellent groundball rate.

I don't really have a current scouting report on Webb.  He hit 96 MPH in high school before the draft, but reportedly was lower after.  In several videos posted on the internet I would estimate that he was hitting the mid-90's with the FB, but it is very hard to judge velocity without radar gun measurements.  Those videos also show a terrific breaking ball with excellent vertical depth as well as a diving changeup that may be a split-change.

I expect we will see Logan Webb in the Augusta rotation this spring for his age 19 season where he will be pitching in a much more pitching-friendly environment with players approximately the same age as the NWL.  A strong 2016 season would really boost his stock into the upper levels of the Giants Top 50 Prospects.  Ceiling is hard to project at this point.  I would say he probably best profiles as a future #3 SP.  ETA is probably 2019 at the earliest, more likely 2020.

5 comments:

  1. Webb starting in Augusta should be a good follow. If he can stay healthy and make all his starts, I would expect him be in the top 20 next year.

    Clint in Anaheim Hills

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  2. I agree, Clint. Logan is an exciting young pitcher to follow. I have him #26 in my Top 40 list, and with a good year in Augusta he should be zooming up the prospect lists. Another savvy choice by the Giants FO.

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  3. These later round hs draft picks are always fun to dream on

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  4. Webb on Doc's Top 50

    2015: 42
    2016: 47

    Also 47 on Cove's

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  5. I have watched Webb in hs, his pitching was phenomenal.... A fabulous outfielder & oh what a hitter... It will be interesting to see once he is allowed to hit!!!

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