Aaron Bond, OF. DOB: 2/16/1997. B-L, T-R. 6'5", 195 lbs. Drafted 2017 Round 12(JC).
2018 Low A: .205/.301/.218, 2B, 3 SB, 12.8 BB%, 30.9 K%, 94 PA.
2018 Short Season: .268/.320/.585, 6 2B, 5 3B, 14 HR, 8 SB, 7.0 BB%, 28.9 K%, 201 PA.
Aaron Bond has a lot to give a fan like me to dream on. He's tall, athletic, wiry strong with an incredibly projectable frame. As we have seen with other prospects, he struggled in his first try at full season ball in Augusta, but then caught fire after a transfer to Salem-Keizer and the much more hitter-friendly environment in the NWL.
Statistically, his plate discipline does not look terrible, but the strikeout rate is high, again not unusual for a young, tall prospect. My guess is he will get another chance to figure out Augusta in 2019, hopefully with better results. His ceiling is incredibly high, but also a high risk for not every getting close to it.
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How does a young guy (is 22 young?) get his K% under control?
ReplyDeleteIs it seeing more pitches and understanding what "better" pitchers are throwing -- recognizing that a breaking ball is going to end up out of the strike zone?
Is Bond overmatched on fastballs in the zone, or is he going out of the zone to swing-and-miss?
If he can hit 30 dingers in 600 PA, what's an acceptable K% these days?
You can find examples of players succeeding with 30% K rates, but they seldom maintain success at that rate. I generally use 25% as the cutoff for a "manageable" K rate and under 20% for "good" K rate. Under 15% is "Plus".
DeleteA 30% K rate forces a player to maintain an unsustainable BABIP to generate usable power because you have a .000 BA on 30% of your PA's.
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