Saturday, January 26, 2019

DrB's 2019 Giants Top 50 Prospects: #31 Jacob Heyward

Jacob Heyward, OF.  DOB:  8/1/1995.  B-R, T-R.  6'3", 215 lbs.  Drafted 2016 Round 18.

2018 A+:  .258/.357/.415, 26 2B, 12 HR, 12.8 BB%, 21.8 K%, 0.98 GB/FB, 477 PA.

Jacob Heyward is Jason Heyward's li'l bro.  He's always had really strong walk rates with some power and speed, but his overall production has been a bit on the underachieving side.  He seemed to find some traction in the second half of last season with slash lines of .289/.369/.489 in July and .275/.379/.500 in August with 7 of his 12 dingers and 13 of his 26 doubles over those last 2 months. He got a 2 game cameo promotion to AAA in September.  His likely assignment for 2019 is AA Richmond which will be a challenge.  He's got some tools, has strong plate discipline and gets the ball in the air.  That should work in his favor and also get the attention of GM Farhan Zaidi.

7 comments:

  1. Heyward and 14 (!) others are Rule 5 eligible this year:
    Ryan Howard, Jalen Miller, Jose Layer, Heath Quinn, Malique Ziegler, Diego Rincones, Franklin Labour, Shaun Anderson, Conner Menez, Jose Marte, Juan De Paula, Garrett Williams, Patrick Ruotolo, Andres Angulo
    Anderson is almost sure to have 40-man protection, but more than a couple of those players are in your Top 50.
    BTW, what happens to the players who were exposed to Rule 5 last December but were not selected? In addition to Geraldo, there were several others?

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    1. If an eligible player is not selected in the Rule 5 draft, they stay with their organization until they become eligible for minor league free agency which I believe is after 6 years in the organization.

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    2. Also, Rincones, Marte and Layer each have an extra year before becoming Rule 5 eligible due to their ages at signing.

      It's still a large number with several players who might be at risk of being selected. At some point, that's just the risk you have to take. The Giants obviously are unlikely to be able to protect all of them.

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    3. I took the Rule 5 date from
      https://www.rosterresource.com/mlb-san-francisco-giants/
      It just says Dec'19 for all of them, not specifying an extra year. Wonder why they get it wrong -- they're kinda the "best" source for things like Estimated Luxury Tax Payroll.
      G's still have some $33 mill to spend for a "contender-maker"!
      Do you think Dyson brings $5 mill value to SF? What's a 1.3 WAR worth?
      What's a spot on the 40-man roster "worth"?

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    4. It looks like Marte and Layer were both 19 yo when they signed so they would become Rule 5 eligible after 4 seasons. Rincones first season in 2016 was age 17, so he should have a 5'th year before becoming eligible.

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    5. According to Fangraphs, the market rate for wins is $9 M/fWAR, so 1.3 fWAR would be worth about $12 M/yr on the open market.

      Not sure how you would calculate the value of a 40 man roster spot.

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    6. I think I was being rhetorical.
      The Giants didn't lose anyone they didn't protect in the Rule 5 this year (was Big Joe the last? He's still kicking around, accumulated 0.5 WAR in 3 years, will be 29 in May, Giants probably didn't lose much).
      I'm thinking they could have gained this year with both picks but how can they hold on to them come mid-March? Something's gotta give.
      Your blog is sooo enjoyable. One merely needs to read the food-fights that go on elsewhere that shed NO light, just dud-handgrenades.
      There is a "cost" for keeping a marginal prospect (or player) on the 40-man roster: the cost is losing someone that turns out to be valuable for someone else.
      Like you say, how would you calculate that? You always point out, there's a risk.
      Seems like the list is big this year (Dec'19) and a lot of players that the Giants' system could ill afford to lose.
      Wouldn't it be nice to know what's going on inside Zaidi's big brain!

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