2022:
Camilo Doval RHP: 68 G, 67.2 IP, 27 Saves, 2.53 ERA, 1.2 fWAR.
Tyler Rogers RHP: 68 G, 75.2 IP, 0 Saves, 3.57 ERA, 0.6 fWAR.
John Brebbia RHP: 76 G, 68 IP, 0 Saves, 3.18 ERA, 0.6 fWAR.
Jarlin Garcia LHP: 58 G, 65 IP, 1 Save, 3.74 ERA, -0.1 fWAR.
Dominic Leone RHP: 55 G, 49.1 IP, 3 Saves, 4.01 ERA, 0.0 fWAR.
Yunior Marte RHP: 39 G, 48 IP, 0 Saves, 5.44 ERA, -0.1 fWAR.
Zack Littell RHP: 39 G, 44.1 IP, 1 Save, 5.08 ERA, -0.3 fWAR.
Sam Long LHP: 28 G, 42.1 IP, 1 Save, 3.61 ERA, -0.5 fWAR.
Alex Young LHP: 24 G, 26.1 IP, 0 Saves, 2.39 ERA, 0.4 fWAR.
Jake McGee LHP: 24 G, 21.1 IP, 3 Saves, 7.17 ERA, 0.0 fWAR.
Scott Alexander LHP: 17 G, 17.1 IP, 2 Saves, 1.04 ERA, 0.2 fWAR.
Jose Alvarez LHP: 21 G, 15.1 IP, 1 Save, 5.28 ERA, -0.4 fWAR.
Thomas Szapucki LHP: 10 G, 13.2 IP, 0 Saves, 1.98 ERA, 0.1 fWAR.
2023(Projected-ZIPS):
Camilo Doval RHP: 63 G, 63.7 IP, 34 Saves, 3.53 ERA, 1.2 fWAR.
Taylor Rogers LHP: 54 G, 53.2 IP, 2 Saves, 3.38 ERA, 0.7 fWAR.
Tyler Rogers RHP: 63 G, 68.7 IP, 1 Save, 3.80 ERA, 0.1 fWAR.
John Brebbia RHP: 63 G, 57.3 IP, 1 Save, 3.38 ERA, 0.5 fWAR.
Scott Alexander LHP: 26 G, 23.7 IP, 0 Saves, 3.80 ERA, 0.2 fWAR.
Thomas Szapucki LHP: 29 G, 70.7 IP, 0 Saves, 4.33 ERA, 0.6 fWAR.
Jacob Junis RHP: 25 G, 112 IP, 0 Saves, 4.34 ERA, 0.9 fWAR.
Alex Wood LHP: 21 G, 109.3. IP, 0 Saves, 3.79 ERA, 1.7 fWAR.
Luke Jackson RHP: 51 G, 48 IP, 0 Saves, 3.56 ERA, 0.2 fWAR.
Sean Hjelle RHP: 25 G, 20 IP, 0 Saves, 4.42 ERA, 0.6 fWAR.
Sam Long LHP: 33 G, 67.7 IP, 0 Savee, 3.99 ERA, 0.5 fWAR.
Cole Waites RHP: 42 G, 42.3 IP, 0 Saves, 3.83 ERA, 0.2 fWAR.
Outcome: Stable.
Opportunity for Upside: Camilo Doval has a great chance to be much better than his projection. He was lights out in the second half after he broke out his 104 MPH 2-seamer. Deeper Rotation plus a couple of bulk innings guys in the bullpen allow fewer innings and less stress on late inning relievers. Taylor Rogers and Luke Jackson add 2 veteran relievers with strong track records. If Alexander is fully healthy he should be good for a lot more than 26 G and he was super good in a SSS last season. If Szapucki makes the team(he's out of options) he is a breakout candidate and versatile. Waites, R. J. Dabovich and Keaton Winn are high velocity arms who could come up and break out at any time.
Comment: Bullpen is hard to project because relievers in general are notoriously variable in their outcomes. It appears the Giants plan is to go all-in on the "bulk innings" concept and try to eat innings with fewer pitchers. Jackson will start the season on the IL and hopefully be ready by June when someone is sure to get injured or become fatigued. Some concern Brebbia could regress due to heavy workload last season.
I read an article a while back that showed how every Giants RP has a different release point, comparing them to times on a clock. It was a fun read, I cannot remember where I saw it...
ReplyDelete