Sunday, February 12, 2023

DrB's 2023 Giants Top 50 Prospects: #10 Patrick Bailey

 Patrick Bailey C.  DOB:  5/29/1999.  B-S, T-R.  6'1", 210 lbs.  Drafted 2020 Round 1 #13 overall.

2022(A+):  .225/.342/.419, 12 HR, 15.1 BB%, 22.2 K%, 325 PA.

This is a fairly uninspiring line for a former top 15 draft pick but there are some reasons for optimism.  The most obvious is the excellent K/BB.  The other is the brutal split against LHP's.  Hopefully his numbers batting righthanded will improve but if they don't, catchers who can produce on the strong side of a strict L-R platoon have a lot of value and the Giants are the right organization to take advantage of that.  Scouting reports say he is a good defensive catcher.

12 comments:

  1. Keith Law's writeup on Bailey last week in the Athletic included this bit:

    "His 2021 season was ruined by back trouble, and that popped up again in 2022, limiting him to 83 games as the Giants gave him a bunch of days off during the year. The back injury affects his floor because without that he’d be at least a clear part-time big leaguer."

    That was news to me. Any thoughts about that?



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    1. Lingering back problems are worrisome, especially for a catcher. Something to monitor going forward.

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  2. Uninspiring is putting it mildly. That's a 'defensive/back-up catcher' line for the majors and very poor for A+ ball. I just hope it was because of his back problems that will clear up rather than it's base talent.

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    1. I point to his excellent K/BB as hope for upside in the bat. It does look like he may end up being a strictly lefty-platoon bat but that can make a really good career for a catcher.

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  3. If he doesn't get exposed at AA, then he's on a path to be have a solid backup floor, and any additional growth is a bonus. Looking at Hunter Bishop makes me feel less worse about that outcome.

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  4. Ghost runner is back for 2023. Totally unimpressed by this news.

    - Fan

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    1. The "Ghost Runner" rule accomplished what it set out to do which is greatly reduce the frequency of marathon extra-inning games which were becoming way too common. It's not ideal but I'd rather watch a game end that way than endure 7 or 9 extra-innings of goose eggs.

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    2. What's wrong with a tie after an extra "period," say 3 innings?
      The ghost runner is a contrivance – is it really better than a coin flip? How is it fair that the teams don't start "evenly" – one team might have their catcher on base, the other a leadoff type? Or where in the lineup are they? With the "new" balk rule, an umpire could make a bad call and effectively end the game. With bigger bases, a good runner on 2nd can readily become a runner on 3rd.
      Might as well have a HR hitting contest, that's effectively what they do in soccer – but after an "extra" period. The NFL, America's most popular sport, has up to an extra period before taking a tie in the regular season, even allowing for "fairness" on a quick FG on the first possession.

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    3. I'm so glad that they don't use the ghost runners in the post season. With it we wouldn't have had game 2 against the Nationals in 2014. That would've been truly unfortunate.

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    4. Oh come on! It's not a coin flip any more than whoever wins an 18-inning game is a coin flip. Do you really think if they played that darn 18 inning game over 10 times the Giants would win more than 5 of them? How is it different than if one team sends up the #7,8,9 hitters and the other #3,4,5? What makes you so sure the Giants would not have won 2014 Game 2 with a "ghost runner"? It's a reasonable solution to what became a growing problem, more and more games going multiple extra innings.

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    5. With a ghost runner, the Nationals would have won in the bottom of the 13th on a Jason Werth single. Assuming that Pence didn't score a runner in top of the 12th with his leadoff double, of course. Bottom line, we would have been robbed of an exceptional pitching duel.

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    6. ...so what you just actually said is the Giants would likely have won in the 12'th and it still would have been a great game. While I am very happy the Giants ended up winning that game and we definitely witnessed an extraordinary pitching performance by Yusmeiro Petit, Those extra 9 innings were insufferable to watch. I was literally curled up on the couch in a fetal position moaning and in pain from head to toe by the time it ended. That's OK in a postseason game which will still be played by the old rules but completely unacceptable in the regular season, especially with how often it was happening. Once again, let's not pretend that if they played the final 9 innings of that game over 10 times the Giants would win more than 5 of them. Great performances or not, the Giants were very lucky to win that game(nothing wrong with being lucky, BTW).

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