Monday, May 11, 2020

Scouting the 2020 Draft: What Are Rankings and Mock Drafts Saying?


What are people who know more about scouting and drafting than I saying about who the Giants might pick with the #13 overall pick on June 10?  Let's take a peek.

Fangraphs:  Max Meyer RHP, College(Minnesota).  This is a ranking.  Fangraphs has not published a mock draft yet.  Meyer would be almost a perfect pick.  MLB ranked FB and Slider as best in draft.  As close to an off the shelf MLB SP as you are going to find.  Only drawback is size at barely 6'0".  That creates some effort in the delivery and a perceived reliever risk.  I think those concerns are small.  Bigger barrier to the pick from what I've been reading is he is rising on a lot of draft boards and will likely be picked top 10.

MLB:  Austin Hendrick OF, HS.  Top HS power hitting prospect.  Not particularly big or projectable body but muscular arms and extremely strong wrists produce elite exit velocity.  Has been comped to Cody Bellinger.  Borderline speed for CF but enough arm to play RF.  I believe he's the Giants pick if he's still on the board at #13.

MLB Podcast:  Jared Kelley RHP, HS.  Most advanced HS pitcher in the draft.  High 90's FB with advanced changeup.  Breaking ball needs work but that is a small hurdle.  Body is less projectable than some others, but who needs projection when you already throw high 90's?  Would be a terrific pick if Meyer and Hendrick are off the board.

Sox Machine:  Nick Bitsko RHP, HS.  Nothing wrong with this pick.  Bitsko is much more raw than Kelley but has upside to dream on.  I would rank the top HS pitchers 1. Kelley.  2.  Mick Abel.  3.  Nick Bitsko.  I would only take Bitsko if all of Meyer, Hendrick, Kelley, Zac Veen, and Abel were off the board, which is probably not too likely, and if it did happen, it might mean a top tier college hitter fell into their laps.

Fansided:  Jared Kelley.

Bleacher Report:  Jared Kelley.

CBS Sports:  Robert Hassell OF, HS.  Swing is much more easthetically pleasing than Hendrick's but does not produce the same power.  Could develop power with maturity and some minor tweaking of the swing.  Could even make a case for taking him over Hendrick, but I think Hendrick is more what FZ and Kap are looking for.

Perfect Game:  Tyler Soderstrom C, HS.  Switch-hitting HS catcher who has enough bat and is athletic enough to play other positions.  Dad is former Giants first round pick.  Under the radar draft candidate for the Giants but seems to be taking on late helium and may not last until #13.  Of course would mean another good prospect drops.

Baseball Prospect Journal:  Cade Cavalli RHP, College(Oklahoma).  Has the tools to be an ace but only moved into a SP role this year after some injury issues.  Seems risky for #13 and probably only goes that high if the Giants are dead set on drafting a college player and I doubt they are that inflexible.

Athletic:  Cole Wilcox RHP, College(Georgia).  I actually like Wilcox frame better than Emerson Hancock, so the ceiling/upside is there.  Negative is lack of command and some straightness in the FB.  Pitched well this spring before the shutdown.  I could see the Giants being enamored by his ceiling and think they can fix him. Again, it would keep them out of the dreaded HS pitcher demographic.

Prospect 365:  Austin Hendrick.

Prospect 365:  Garrett Crochet LHP, College(Clemson).  Elite size and stuff.  Mysterious injury limited him to 1 start this spring.  I would not want to risk it at #13.

My MLB Draft:  Jared Kelley.

Draft Site:  Casey Martin SS, College(Arkansas).  No thank you.  Multiple better choices will be available IMO.

Austin Hendrick and Jared Kelley are the two names most commonly linked to the Giants in mock drafts.  Either player would be a solid choice.  Both have very high ceilings but would also likely be fast movers in the system.  Kelley is likely to be MLB ready sooner than Hendrick, but there is always more risk with pitchers, especially out of HS.

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