Sunday, November 5, 2017

Scouting the Draft: Grading the Giants 2017 Draft

Here's a review of the 2017 Giants draft picks, with grades on their first short season of pro performance just for fun.  Remember, the grades are based on performance only, not on future ceiling or overall value of the pick.  Grades are impacted by what level the player was drafted out of(HS, College, JC) and level they played at(Rookie vs Short Season).

1.  Heliot Ramos, OF, HS, R:  .348/.404/.645, 11 2B, 6 3B, 6 HR, 10 SB, 6.6 BB%, 31.8 K%, 151 PA.  Season cut short by a concussion from a HBP.  Not worried about the K's.  Grade A.

2.  Jacob Gonzalez, 3B, HS, R:  .339/.418/.458, 15 2B, 3B, HR, 8.2 BB%, 11.9 K%, 194 PA.  Would have liked to see more power, but that should come.  Ecstatic over ratios.  Grade A.

3.  Seth Corry, LHP, HS, R:  0-2, 5.55, 24.1 IP, 22 BB, 21 K.  Appearances tended to be dominant or extremely wild.  Has time to develop.  Grade C.

4.  Garrett Cave, RHP, College, SS:  1-1, 5.85, 20 IP, 12 BB, 29 K.  K ratio looks good, but disappointing control/command.  Grade C.

5.  Jason Bahr, RHP, College, SS:  3-2, 3.55, 33 IP, 11 BB, 36 K.  Nice ratios in a hitter's league.  Breakout alert! Grade B.

6.  Bryce Johnson, OF, College, SS:  .329/.400/.369, 5 2B, 2 3B, 25 SB, 6.8 BB%, 20.8 K%, 68 GB%, 250 PA.  Extreme groundball hitter with some speed.  Grade B.

7.  Logan Harasta, RHP, College, SS:  0-1, 18.00, 1 IP, 0 BB, 2 K's.  Grade Inc.

8.  John Gavin, LHP, College, R:  2-1, 0.00, 16 IP, 7 BB, 22 K.  Pitched deep into the college postseason so Giants took it slow.  Grade B(sleeper/breakout alert).

9.  Aaron Philips, RHP, College, SS:  3-0, 4.45, 28.1 IP, 13 BB, 36 K's.  I don't recall ever posting a line for him in Down on the Farm, but that's a nice K rate.  Grade B+.

10. Rob Calabrese, C, College, SS:  .277/.369/.383, 5 2B, 3B, HR, 10.8 BB%, 27.9 K%, 111 PA.  Intriguing hit tool for a catching prospect.  Sleeper alert!.  Grade B.

11.  Doug Still, LHP, College, DNP.  Grade Inc.

12.  Aaron Bond, OF, JC, R:  .306/.368/.565, 8 2B, 3 3B, 8 HR, 5 SB, 8.6 BB%, 30.7 K%, 163 PA.  Should JC draftees be assigned to short season A or to Rookie ball?  You can only do well where you are assigned.  Grade A-.

13.  Tyler Schimpf, RHP, College, SS:  0-2, 4.50, 24 IP, 12 BB, 25 K.  Grade C.

14.  Michael Sexton, 3B, College, SS:  .218/.284/.278, 5 2B, HR, SB, 8.7 BB%, 26.8 K%, 149 PA.  Sexton announced his retirement immediately after the end of the minor league season.  Grade F.

15.  Orlando Garcia, 2B, College, SS:  .268/.366/.416, 10 2B, 6 HR, 11.3 BB%, 19.9 K%, 231 PA.  Intriguing power from a MI prospect.  Solid ratios.  Grade B+.

16.  John Russell, RHP, College, SS:  1-2, 1.99, 22.2 IP, 7 BB, 37 K, 4 Saves.  Historically the Closer track is not a great place to be.   Grade B +.

17.  Brac Warren, RHP, College, DNP.  Grade Inc.

18.  Chris Corbett, C, College, SS:  .150/.222/.150, 40 AB.  Hit .333 in 15 AB in the AZL before a promotion to S-K.  Grade D.

19.  Frankie Tostado, OF, JC, DNP.  Then name is grade A.  Grade Inc.

20.  Logan Baldwin, OF, College, SS:  .342/.395/.473, 22 2B, 2 3B, 3 HR, 12 SB, 6.3 BB%, 20.3 K%, 207 PA.  Terrific start to pro career.  Grade A.

21. Greg Jacknewitz, LHP, SS:  0-2, 7.47, 15.2 IP, 4 BB, 10 K.  6.08 ERA in 13.1 IP in AZL prior to promotion.  Grade D.

23.  Shane Matheny, 3B, College, SS:  .284/.381/.333, 5 2B, 4 SB, 12.7 BB%, 15.9 K%, 118 PA.  Strong plate discipline numbers.  Breakout/Sleeper alert.  Grade B.

24.  Nico Giarratano, SS, College, R:  .253/.375/.342, 5 2B, 3B, 8 SB, 9.1 BB%, 13.1 K%, 99 PA.  OK numbers but college player in rookie ball.  Grade C.

25.  Franklin Van Gurp, RHP, College R:  5-1, 0.92, 29.1 IP, 7 BB, 41 K, 2 Saves.  Strong numbers but at too low a level.  Grade C+.

26.  Kyle McPherson, 2B, College R:  .236/.283/.364, 3 2B, 2 3B, 4.8 BB%, 16.1 K%, 62 PA.  Bat came to life in the AZL postseason.  Grade C-.

27.  Matt Brown, RHP, College, DNP:  Grade Inc.

28.  Peter Lannoo, RHP, College SS:  1-3, 4.28, 40 IP, 12 BB, 26 K.  Grade C.

29.  Frank Rubio, RHP, College, R:  1-0, 3.45, 15.2 IP, 1 BB, 14 K.  Grade C.

31.  Keenan Bartlett, RHP, College, R:  4-0, 1.53, 29.1 IP, 12 BB, 34 K.  Grade C+.

34.  Conner Nurse, RHP, HS, DNP.  Grade Inc.

35.  Dalton Combs, OF, College, SS:  .208/.309/.313, 2B, HR, 10.9 BB%, 18.2 K%, 55 PA.  Grade C-.

36. Joey Marciano, LHP, College, R:  4-1, 1.57, 28.2 IP, 12 BB, 26 K.  Grade C+.

37.  Andy Rohloff, RHP, College, SS:  0-2, 12.96, 8.1 IP, 6 BB, 11 K.  ERA of 1.50 in 6 IP in AZL prior to promotion.  Grade D.

A draft is usually defined by the first round pick.  Anything you get after that is a bonus.  Gotta be excited by the Giants top 2 in this draft.  There is a smattering of intriguing possibilities after that.

6 comments:

  1. Yeah, totally agree, great draft when you have a great first round pick, plus bonuses after.

    Ramos truly delivered, though concussion has to be worrisome, so young. I won't worry much about strikeouts when he hits so well otherwise. Plus he's young, hopefully can learn.

    About Gonzalez, isn't all those doubles a lot of power? But yeah, great ratios! Looks like he's learned a lot from his proximity to his father and to other major leaguers.

    Thanks for the run down on everyone in the draft, I did not follow the other guys that much, good to know what you thought of their performances.

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  2. 4 guys with an A or A- isn't shabby.
    Would assigning Bond to Augusta at 21 yo this year be aggressive? If the Giants didn't do that, what would he do -- hang around Phoenix until S-K plays? Does it "hurt" a player to start at low A and then be dropped to S-K if he doesn't do well?
    Regarding Logan Baldwin, it's an uphill battle: the last position player drafted in the 21st round to have any kind of major league career was Travis Ishikawa (2002 draft). Bautista was picked in the 20th round. Low round pitchers fare better.

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    Replies
    1. I think Augusta for Bond is fair. A late start at SK would be mildly disappointing.

      Ramos and Gonzalez should start in Augusta too. Looking back to Arroyo and Jones, I think they did the Augusta to SK drop, and recovered to start the next season in SJ.

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    2. I expect Bond will start next season in Augusta.

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  3. Thanks for the write ups on all the draft prospects. According to a BA article, Ramos has the highest ceiling of prospects drafted by John Barr since Buster Posey! If he gets off to a strong start in 2018 could it influence how they use the #2 pick in 2018?

    LG

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    Replies
    1. Maybe it's just me, but I feel like Bobby Evans exerted some influence in the drafting of Heliot Ramos. He's just not a typical John Barr pick and I believe Evans badly wants the organization to get younger and more athletic.

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