Thursday, September 17, 2015

Game Wrap 9/16/2015: Giants 5 Reds 3

The Giants got a strong start from Jake Peavy who also got in on the pitcher HR act they have going.   Key Lines:

Alejandro De Aza- 2 for 3, 2B, 2 BB, SB(6).  BA= .261.  Is it possible the Giants might try to quickly re-sign De Aza and then not pick up Aoki's option?

Marlon Byrd- 2 for 4, 2B, 3B.  BA= .252.  Byrd is hitting .306 as a Giant.  His $8 M option is almost certainly going to vest and the Giants might well pick it up even if it doesn't.  Having him in LF and batting in the same lineup as Hunter Pence is definitely intriguing.

Kelby Tomlinson- 2 for 4, SB(5).  BA= .307.  After some early defensive miscues, Kelby has been a 100% fill in for the loss of Joe Panik.

Ehire Adrianza- 2 for 4, 2B, 3B.  BA= .180.  Adrianza is 6 for 24 over his last 5 games.  Not Brandon Crawford at the plate, but not a black hole either and he's every bit as good as Crawford on defense, maybe even a bit better.  If I am a MLB GM in need of a starting SS, the Giants are the first team I'm calling and asking for Adrianza.

Jake Peavy- 1 for 3, HR(1).  BA= .226.  I do believe the Giants pitchers have watched and learned from Bummy and were maybe motivated by Max Scherzer's comments.  They are all getting in on the hitting act, and how is Jake Peavy not able to see the catcher's fingers but can hit .226 in this league?

Jake Peavy- 6 IP, 7 H, 2 R, 1 BB, 8 K's.  ERA= 4.08.  If Peavy can stay healthy for a full season next year…….

The Giants get a day off at home before starting a weekend home series against the D'Backs with Madison Bumgarner trying for Win #19 on Friday night.


  1. FWIW, if you're a big fan of defensive runs saved, Tomlinson has out-performed Panik in his rookie outing. Panik finished 2014 at -2 DRS. Tomlinson was, in the early going, -3 DRS. Worked himself up to +1 DRS, dropped down to -1 DRS and has, once again, worked himself up to +1 DRS.

    Now, you're a zone-rating/UZR kind of guy, Panik has out-performed Tomlinson. Especially in 2015-to-2015 comparisons. But I'm mostly trying look at rookie-to-rookie because the rookie year is almost always a big adjustment for young players.

  2. Regardless of the stats, I think we're in great shape with EA and Kelby next year. Inexpensive and productive home grown products. They'll be able to sub in with Crawford and Panik, and maybe even Duffy, to give them all a break and keep them fresh next year.

    As for De Aza and Byrd, if we keep both, then either we go with a 12 man pen or we let Blanco go (I don't see that happening). I don't see us giving up on Pagan either. I don't think a 12 man pen is possible, even if we're going to have younger arms. Broadway, Osich, Strickland and Kontos could do multiple innings, but not spot starting. Even if we sign Leach, there is enough health issues surrounding Peavy and Cain that I would think we'd want one long guy (Blackburn to ease him in, get him better conditioning and also have there if Heston falters).

    1. They could keep all 3 of De Aza, Blanco and Byrd if they don't pick up Aoki's option.

  3. A couple of people were a bit rude in taking me to task over saying Adrianza's defense is comparable to Brandon Crawford's and challenged me to produce a stat showing he is equal or better. That is actually pretty easy as by UZR/150 Adrianza is better in an admittedly small sample size. Neither of the comments referred to any specific stat, but they were probably looking at cumulative stats rather than rate stats. Of course, Crawford will come out way ahead in cumulative stats due to the disparity in playing time.

  4. What does UZR/150 mean? I'm new to a lot of these stats.

    1. UZR/150= UZR Defensive Runs Above Average per 150 Defensive Games. For a full discussion of how UZR is calculated to to, linked to the left, and click on Glossary at the top of the page.