Matt Garrioch at Minor League Ball posted his first 2013 mock draft and has New Mexico 3B/1B DJ Peterson going to the Giants at #26. Mack's Mets has a new draft ranking and also has Peterson at #26. So, let's take a look at DJ Peterson!
Peterson bats and throws RH. He is average in size at 6'1", 190 lbs. Here are his numbers from his freshman and sophomore campaigns:
2011: .317/.377/.545, 32 2B, 3 3B, 6 HR, 15 BB, 52 K's in 246 AB. The 32 doubles set an NCAA freshman record.
2012: .419/.490/.734, 21 2B, 3 3B, 17 HR, 33 BB, 29 K's in 248 AB. Note his HR's increased by the exact number his doubles decreased. Note also the reversed K/BB.
Matt Grabusky at Big League Futures has a scouting report that includes smooth swing, legitimate power, good approach at the plate, plays hard, probably a 1B or corner OF at the next level.
Concerns would include not playing in a top conference, playing in a fairly extreme hitter-friendly environment, and of course, metal bats. As far as I can remember, the last corner player the Giants drafted in the first round was Will Clark, so taking someone like Peterson would be a major change in philosophy.
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This is a great info, I just want to make that clear first.
ReplyDeleteI would just caution anyone from getting too married to any particular prospect this early on, as that is what I did a few years back. And it was a doozy: Evan Longoria. I was pretty sad when he went so high, but obviously, I got over it by the end of the season. :^)
Do we know if DJ has played in Cape Cod? The Giants seem to scout that extensively.
Well, I think Matt Williams was drafted afterward, but not as a corner, which is where he ended up, but as a SS, but pretty much when they drafted him, Rosen said that he's going to be a 3B because of his hands. So it depends on how you want to label that.
What about that lefty hitter in the late 90's we drafted, I think Italian name, wasn't he a corner guy? Starts with a T? Torcado?
Tony Torcato! I think they had more than 1 first rounder when they took Torcato and he was the second one taken. Not sure though. I'll have to look it up.
DeleteI'm just trying to to profiles on players who look like they might be drafted in the range where the Giants are drafting just to get a better feel for what type of player and the relative tools/skills that will be available in that range. Definitely way too early to zero in on any one player. When your team is drafting as late as #26, it's almost impossible to project who they will take even as late a draft day anyway.
Very true, that far back, anything can definitely happen. Just wanted to bring up one of my mistakes of my prospecting heart, in case anyone feels that tug - and this guy sure is tugging mine!
DeleteI guess a good question here is why is he so far back? His numbers and scouting looks pretty good. What is the elephant in the room, you list a number of things, but they don't seem to be big enough to me, unless his league is really not that competitive, then I guess that would be it then, did I guess right?
Well, I know I'm always very suspicious of numbers from the desert southwest in general and the mile high city club in particular. It's a competitive league, but not in the same class as a Pac-12 or SEC or ACC type league. Put all that together, climate, elevation, league, metal bats and I think a healthy dose of skepticism is warranted. Another big factor is the thought that as a guy who is already stuck projecting as a corner fielder, the bat is going to have to carry him and does he have enough bat for that?
DeleteWerent Hosey and Hyzdu RFers?
ReplyDeleteSorry, rereading this, it seams awfully petty. Both of those guys (busts) were drafted in the same general era, and do not take away from your point...
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