Friday, January 25, 2013

DrB's 2013 Giants Top 50 Prospects #36: Juan Perez

Juan Perez, OF.  DOB:  11/13/1986.  5'11", 185 lbs.  B-R, T-R.

AA:  .302/.341/.441, 11 HR, 18 SB in 483 AB.

DWL:  .280/.331/.440, 4 HR, 5 SB in 150 AB.

Juan Perez was drafted in the 13'th round of the 2008 draft after putting up video game numbers in JC ball.  This was his second season at AA level after spending 1 year in low A and 1 in San Jose.  As you can see, he put up a solid line.  He's a bit on the small side, but has enough power to qualify as a marginal 5 tool player.  He has the speed to play CF, but has also played the corners.  Realistic ceiling is 4'th OF.  The Giants have a whole stable full of his type of player, so a path to the majors with the Giants is not clear.  I do think he has the tools and skills to have a nice career as a 4'th OF in MLB though.

16 comments:

  1. Willie Mays: 5' 11", 180 pounds. Juan Perez may never get above AAA but it won't be his size that keeps him out of the big leagues.

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    1. Yeah, I have pointed out Mays and Aaron's relative diminutive sizes in the past to argue that PED's might not be all that. We might have to look at who Mays and Aaron were up against too, though. The average player size has increased dramatically since Mays and Aaron played the game. Would it make any difference? I don't know.

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    2. Phil Ervin! Keep an eye out!

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    3. For that I offer up this: Pablo Sandoval 5' 11"; Justin Verlander 6' 5". Didn't really seem to matter.

      A little power, a little speed, he seems to be able to well despite striking out more than he should, but not that bad either, can play all of the OF, so yeah, he looks good for a 4th OF, maybe once he reaches 28-30 age range, prime age range (he was 25 in 2012, roughly age of AA EL). Looks like another hacker who can make good contact eventually. I agree that he should make it up to the majors at some point, but yeah, maybe with another team as a throw-in.

      But I think there is the chance he figures it out and get more regular playing time, like Blanco, though not a full-time starting job.

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    4. These comps started out ridiculous and have degenerated from there. What I said in the post is that Perez is a bit on the small side but has enough power to be a marginal 5 tool player. Both parts of that statement are true. Not at all sure why Mays, Ervin, or Sandoval have anything to do with that.

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    5. I was responding to this statement that you made: The average player size has increased dramatically since Mays and Aaron played the game. Would it make any difference? I don't know.

      Sandoval is the same height as Mays, Verlander is much taller. Though now I realize that perhaps you also meant body size as well, and obviously Pablo is XXXL.

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    6. Pablo Sandoval can hardly be described in the same category as Willie Mays when it comes to size.

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  2. How does he compare with Torres and Blanco?

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  3. These last two (Noonan and Perez) are guys I would have rated higher...It's the old production/results versus potential argument and sometimes I think guys that are just good baseball players and have shown it get overlooked becasue of the new, shiny, toolsy toys...Hopefully can make it to 4th-5th OF status in the majors..

    SteveVA

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    1. Neither Noonan nor Perez have been in the system a long time and appear to have little room for projection. Neither has a clear path to the majors right now and both appear to have ceilings as backups. That is the reason for their relatively low rankings.

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    2. I understand why Noonan is down so low, but I still have hope that he can put things together and challenge for the 2B starting spot in the next couple of years (not necessarily win, but at least good enough to challenge). I think he's capable of good contact (85%+) and good walks (roughly 1.0 BB/K ratio), which should lead to good batting averages with good OBP. The key to success there would be if he could show enough power to make up that he's probably average defensively at 2B. That could get him into strong contention. 2013 is key, I think, he needs to show more power if he hopes to start at some point, else he'll probably be solely on the utility path.

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  4. That's a pretty solid line for the EL. If he can put up something similar in Fresno, I'd like to see what he can do in SF in 2014.

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    1. That sounds like a reasonable timeline.

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  5. My memory is a bit sketchy but didn't JCPerez play some 2B in college when he was drafted? Not that he could do it for an extended stretch of time in the bigs, but that might help enhance his chances of making the majors as a super-utility player.

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    1. It's possible. He was listed as an OF in his BA pre-draft scouting report with no mention of playing other positions.

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