Sunday, November 21, 2010

Down on the Farm: Final AFL Stats and More

The 2010 Arizona Fall League ended yesterday with the Scottsdale Scorpions defeating the Peoria Javalinas 3-2 to win the championship game:

Charlie Culberson- 0 for 4, 2 E.
Brandon Belt- 0 for 2, BB, HBP, E.
Conor Gillaspie- 1 for 4.
Joe Paterson- 1 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 2 BB, 3 K's.
Dan Runzler- 1 IP, 2 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 0 K.

Final stat lines for the Giants prospects who particiapted in the AFL this year:

Brandon Belt- .372/.427/.616, 1 HR, 5 3B, 8 2B, 9 BB in 89 AB's.
Charlie Culberson- .366/.394/.591, 2 HR, 2 3B, 11 2B in 93 AB's.
Conor Gillaspie- .306/.350/597, 5 HR, 6 2B in 72 AB's.

Ryan Verdugo- 4-1, 2.45, 22 IP, 16 BB, 26 K's.
Joe Paterson- 0-0, 2.70, 10 IP, 2 BB, 14 K's.
Jason Stoffel- 1-0, 5.27, 13.2 IP, 4 BB, 11 K's.
Dan Runzler- 1-0, 0.00, 3 IP, 0 H, 1 BB, 3 K's.

I would say that Belt, Culberson and Gillaspie all helped their stock as prospects with their AFL performances. Verdugo had a successful transition to starting, but needs to get his walk rate down for sustained success. Joe Paterson's stock as a left reliever was enhanced. Jason Stoffel continued to be inconsistent, although his K and BB rates looked much better than his ERA in a very small sample size. Runzler was basically just getting in some work and neither helped nor hurt his stock.

Two other notable performances in the AFL:

Dustin Ackley, a Mariners prospect and first round draft pick from last year won the AFL MVP award with a line of .424/.581/.758 with 4 HR, 10 2B, 5 SB in 66 AB's(92 PA's).

Bryce Harper, the much hyped #1 overall draft pick this year by the Washington Nationals played on the Scottsdale Scorpions team and performed well in just 9 games: .343/.410/.629 with 1 HR, 2 3B, 3 2B in 35 AB's.

There was an interesting note in baseballbeginnings.com mailbag today from someone who sounded like a relative of Seth Rosin, the Giants 4'th round draft pick in the 2010 draft. Rosin had been shut down after a rough outing on August 12 after just 9 appearances for the Salem-Keizer Volcanoes. It seems that there is no injury involved. He was just fatigued from the long college season. He hit 96 MPH during the S-K season. He is working on a conditioning program this offseason and looking forward to being ready for spring training. That is good news indeed. John Klima of baseballbeginnings.com is very high on Rosin. He's got great size, excellent velocity and comes out if a respected D1 college program. He is somebody who has a chance to move fast in the organization, hopefully helping to replenish a system recently depleted of pitching prospects at the higher levels due to trades and graduations to the majors.

3 comments:

  1. Yeah, Rosin is looking pretty good to me too, after reading all that stuff about him. Maybe he can track Wheeler and both will be ready in two seasons.

    I was pretty amazed by Gillaspie's performance, do you think that he boosted his stock the most with his performance, or Culberson? Or even Belt, I mean, he was kind of expected to do well, but still this is still a good performance that suggests that his 2010 season wasn't a fluke of any order, that it was very real.

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  2. Given how AFL appears to be a hitter's league, does that make Paterson's performance that much more impressive?

    Also, what do you make of Pill's removal from the 40 man. My understanding is that he had to clear waivers to be outrighted. Has his stock drop so much that none of the 30 teams see value in him? This is a good indicator as to how much the system has improved in the last two years.

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  3. A couple of things to remember about the AFL is it does tend to be a hitter's league and it is a very small sample size. Very little should be read into AFL performances outside the context of the rest of the prospect's record. Still, it's better to perform well there than to not perform well there.

    I would say Gillaspie's performance is encouraging, especially the power.

    I think Pill's expendability has everything to do with the emergence of Brandon Belt. If the Giants fail to re-sign Huff and no other FA first base option emerges, Belt would clearly get the call over Brett Pill plus there's still Travis Ishikawa who would be ahead of Pill on the depth chart.

    The Giants system rankings will take a hit after the graduations of Posey and Bumgarner. What system wouldn't? I still think it's a strong system. right now, the strength is more in depth and in young prospects with high ceilings in the lower minors, but that's a great position for an organization that has just won the World Series to be in.

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