Saturday, July 22, 2017

Game Wrap 7/22/2017: Giants 5. Padres 4

The Giants overcame one bad inning by Matt Moore to survive long enough for Nick Hundley's walkoff hit in the 12'th inning.  Key Lines:

Gorkys Hernandez CF/LF- 1 for 4, 2 BB.  BA= .246.  Gorkys gets on base 3 times from the leadoff position in the batting order.

Eduardo Nunez SS/3B- 3 for 5, 2B, BB.  BA= .299.  Whatever Nunez' maximum trade value is, the Giants should be able to get it with the way he is playing since coming off the DL.

Nick Hundley C- 2 for 5, Sac.  BA= .261.  Hundley is a FA after the season, so the Giants should be trying to trade him too.  Seems like he could be a starting C for more than 1 team.

Matt Moore LHP- 6 IP, 7 H, 4 R, 0 BB, 7 K's.  ERA= 5.82.  One bad inning.  Otherwise a very strong start.  He may have been thinking about Wil Myers' leadoff HR in the 4'th inning when he allowed the other 3 runs to score.

Albert Suarez RHP- 2 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 1 K.  ERA= 0.00.  Suarez went 2 strong innings to give an exhausted bullpen a break.

Hunter Strickland RHP- 1.1 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 2 K's.   ERA= 2.45.  Not sure if the Giants are looking to trade Strick but he should have recouped some of his trade value in this appearance after getting roughed up yesterday.

Josh Osich LHP- 1.2 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 3 K's.  ERA= 3.77.  Osich has pitched 7 scoreless innings over 7 appearances with 7 K's and 1 BB, in July.


Ty Blach tries to gain a split in the 4 game series tomorrow facing Dinelson Lamet.


  1. Gomez is starting at 2B today. I don't know when they called him up from AA, but he's starting today.

  2. Catcher?
    Hundley is a far better hitter than both of Cleveland's catchers, Gomez is probably a better catcher (he used to be a pretty fair hitter but not lately). Indians could start Hundley and bring in Gomez for defense.
    He could backup Wieters nicely in Washington. Neither is a full=time catcher.
    In Colorado Hundley would be Wolters with POP -- he would play well in Coors field.

  3. Gomez got called up earlier this month. I believe it was July 7th. This was his second start at 2B. His glove's not really been tested yet I don't feel. I don't know if he plays anything other than 2B when he's not catching. He's a work in progress.

  4. As for Sunday's game, it seems like if you get 8 hits, a walk, a defensive error, and a wild pitch in 6+2/3 innings, you ought to be able to score more than 2 runs.
    If this were a one-off occurrence, maybe it's unlucky BABip.
    For the Giants this is not a random thing, it's chronic.
    Today's bad BABip was with batters 3-6 as Belt, Posey, Crawford, and Pence combined for 1 hit in 16 at bats, but Nunez, Hernandez, Gomez, and Span experienced good BABip: 6-15 (and a walk).
    Yesterday one bad inning by Moore, today Blach had a bad inning, tomorrow we'll have another excuse.
    Sooner or later, we might agree that this is a really bad team!

    1. I will say it once again: The Giants have experienced bad BABIP luck on both sides of the ball this season which I believe accounts for approximately the same 50% of their deficit. This means that 50% is due to other problems, the most glaring of which is a lack of power that has been exposed by a spike in the leaguewide HR rate.

      One more point: Brian Sabean recently said that he still believes 4 runs is the tipping point. If the Giants score 4 runs in a game, they should win. Well Sabes, the league average R/G has gone from 4.07 in 2014 to 4.69 in 2017. A team that scores exactly 4 runs every game will be a sub-.500 team. Simple as that.

    2. I ran out your numbers on this, Doc, and you are VERY right, they would have a .400+ team, better than they are, but not .500 -- even if they won all the 4-4 games after 9 innings in extra innings.
      Maybe, Sabean was thinking in terms of the Giants giving up less than the 5.05 runs allowed per game, but they would need to have allowed about 150 runs less in these 100 games to have a good team, a team ERA less than 3.5 (+/-) which is better than the 2012 team (arguably the Giants best team this decade) and is better than any Giant team since 1968 (not much hitting past Mays, McCovey, and Jim Ray Hart, but with Marichal, Perry, McCormick, Bolin, and Ray Sadecki who lost 18 games with a sub 3 ERA).
      That kinda team ERA is gone until the next baseball evolutionary iteration.