Thursday, January 26, 2017

DrB's 2017 Giants Top 50 Prospects: Honorable Mention Part 3

Carlos Alvarado, RHP.  DOB:  10/22/1989.  6'4", 175 lbs.  Minor League FA.

2016 A:  0-0, 0.00, 9.2 IP, 0.93 BB/9, 10.24 K/9, 7 Saves.
2016 AA:  1-0, 2.79, 19.1 IP, 0.00 BB/9, 11.17 K/9, 16 Saves.

Alvarado has kicked around the lower levels of the Giants minor league system for several years and has always put up interesting numbers while being old for the level.  Closer at AA is not that far from MLB.

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Cristian Paulino, 2B/OF.  DOB:  9/4/1991.  B-R, T-R.  5'10", 170 lbs.  International FA.

2016 A+:  .259/.281/.374, 17 2B, 2 3B, 4 HR, 29 SB, 2.7 BB%, 23.1 K%, 299 PA.

Paulino has tools.  They just aren't developing all that fast.

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Ronnie Jebavy, OF.  DOB:  5/17/1994.  B-R, T-R.  6'2", 190 lbs.  Drafted 2015 Round 5.

2016 A+:  .247/.305/.385, 28 2B, 5 3B, 12 HR, 24 SB, 5.8 BB%, 26.1 K%, 586 PA.

Toolsy prospect from a small college program.  Jebavy showed extra base pop and SB speed, but the hit tool is the most important and his has a ways to go.

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Ty Ross, C.  DOB:  1/17/1992.  B-R, T-R.  6'2", 210 lbs.  Drafted 2013 Round 12.

2016 A+:  .224/.289/.340, 18 2B, 4 HR, 8.0 BB%, 17.0 K%, 288 PA.

Defensive catcher who may never hit enough.

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Hengerber Medina, RHP.  DOB:  10/12/1994.  5'11", 160 lbs.  International FA.

2016 SS:  2-3, 4.43, 44.2 IP, 3.63 BB/9, 7.46 K/9.
2016 A+:  1-0, 3.86, 9.1 IP, 4.82 BB/9, 16.39 K/9.

My favorite name in the organization!  Medina lost 3 years of development as a pitcher trying to be a SS in the DSL.  Reached San Jose at the end of last season.  Just turned 22, he still has some time to develop further.

9 comments:

  1. Alvarado is an interesting case -- he certainly has been bounced around. Interestingly, last year, at 26, he became difficult to hit. Did he develop a new pitch that misses bats?

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    1. It's not a completely new development. Alvarado has had K/9's of 9 or more at 5 stops prior to last season and he's always had low walk rates.

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    2. WHIP < 1 for entire year

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  2. Fangraph projects Giants relievers will have the 9th highest WAR in the major. Melancon projected at 1.3 but Jansen is projected at 2.4. Wonder why Fangraph is so down on Melancon given he has put up at least 1.5 WAR the past 4 seasons.....

    http://www.fangraphs.com/depthcharts.aspx?position=RP

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    1. If We traded for Mike Trout his projected WAR would end up around 3.0... It's just the way it is... :)

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    2. Projection systems heavily favor strikeout pitchers because they regress pretty much everything else to the mean.

      Although Melancon's K rate is not terrible, he does rely more on groundballs and soft contact which often tend to regress to the mean. Melancon has been doing it for 4+ years, though, so his ability to do it is likely repeatable.

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  3. Jebavy is the kind of guy who could get himself in the top 20 with a few good months. Is he the best defensive OF in the system? Another reminder of the depth.

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    Replies
    1. Agreed. If he can cut his K rate and raise his BA, he could easily be right there with Slater, Duggar and Reynolds.

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    2. Ahead of Quinn, Fabian, and Davis?
      It's interesting to see all these OFers stacked up, plus another 7 in your Top 50 -- 13 among the top prospects. Makes you feel good with pretty much the current FA outfield plus Mac and Parker.
      If Ruggiano can stay healthy, he's another quite able FA, and if pigs could fly ...

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