Tuesday, January 24, 2023

DrB's 2023 Giants Top 50 Prospects: #29 Matt Mikulski

 Matt Mikulski LHP.  DOB:  5/8/1999.  6'4", 205 lbs.  Drafted 2021 Round 2

2022(A):  4-5, 6.95, 79 IP, 10.94 K/9, 3.53 BB/9, 0.90 GB/FB, 13.2 HR/FB.

I am not sure what to make of Mikulski.  That is an ugly ERA and his FIP/xFIP weren't much better at a very conservative level for a college starter, even one from a smaller program.  On the other hand, the K/BB is good enough to make us think there may be something to work with here.  I saw him pitch early in the season.  He's got long limbs on a thin frame.  Possibly some room to add muscle mass.  Mark Delucci wrote a rather scathing review for Baseball Prospectus from his June 15 start which agrees almost word for word with my observations:  Extreme short-armed delivery.  Almost shot puts the ball from behind his left ear.  Reported mid-90's FB nowhere to be seen.  Sat 88-92 MPH.  I wouldn't swear to it but I thought most of his FB's had cutter movement with a cutter, slider change mix.  Struggled with command and got hit hard when he came into the strike zone.  So yeah, the eye test wasn't great either.  We'll see what changes he was able to make through the offseason but another season like this will knock him off the list completely.  Aside from finding more velocity, he needs to either put more balls on the ground or lower his HR/FB ratio.

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