Sunday, November 7, 2021

Giants Organizational Depth Charts: Outfield

 Making an outfield depth chart for the Giants is a challenge due to all of the mixing and matching and platoons which makes it all but impossible to break it down into separate positions.  I will list the OF's on the 40 man roster by fWAR and note the ones who are capable playing CF.  I will then list some of the more prominent OF prospects from Down On The Farm.  If I leave off your favorite sleeper prospect, feel free to give a short profile in the comments.

MLB:

Darin Ruf(LF only; Arbitration Eligible, MLBTR projected $2.6 M): .271/.385/.519, 16 HR, Def -1.6, 2.5 fWAR, 312 PA.  Since he's limited defensively to LF(and 1B), you might not have guessed that Ruf had the highest fWAR of any Giants OF in 2021 but he was ferocious at the plate and was only a slight negative on D.  No brainer for a contract tender.

Mike Yastrzemski(Mainly RF but can play CF; Arbitration Eligible, MLBTR projected $3.1 M): .224/.311/.457, 25 HR, Def -3.1, 2.2 fWAR, 532 PA).  Beyond the dingers, YtY's 2021 season was a bit of disappointing.  Injuries seemed to play a role and he seemed to get pull happy in the second half.  Projected arbitration price is low enough to tender him a contract but FZ should not let him stand in the way of a major upgrade.

Steven Duggar(Best Defensive CF; Pre-arbitration, 0 options):  .257/.330/.427, 8 HR, 7 SB, Def 5.1, 2.1 fWAR, 297 PA).  Duggar had a decent offensive season and is by far the best defensive OF on the 40 man roster.  His biggest challenge so far in his career is avoiding injury.  If he can, he deserves a shot at the fulltime CF job or at least the lefthanded half of a platoon.

Austin Slater(CF, RF, LF; Arbitration Eligible, MLBTR Projected $2.0).  .241/.320/.423, 12 HR, 15 SB, Def 4.0, 1.8 fWAR, 306 PA.  Versatile OF whose arbitration price is still reasonable.  Makes a nice CF platoon with Duggar.

Lamonte Wade Jr(LF, RF, CF; pre-arbitration, 0 options).  .253/.326/.482, 18 HR, 6 SB, Def -4.3, 1.6 fWAR, 381 PA).  Surprise breakthrough season earned him the Willie Mac Award.  Unfortunately, a couple of pretty big holes emerged in his swing that crippled him down the stretch and into the postseason.  Can he make the adjustment?

Alex Dickerson(LF, occasional RF; Arbitration eligible, MLBTR Projected $3 M).  .233/304/.420, 13 HR, Def-7.1, 0.2 fWAR, 312 PA.  Very disappointing season.  Maybe the accumulated injuries have taken their toll?  A defensive liability even in LF.  Widely believed to be a non-tender candidate.  Too bad because he seems like a really good dude.

In the Churn:  Jaylin Davis(has been churning a long time. Is he going to stick or get washed out?), Austin Dean, Luis Gonzalez(60 day IL- will need to be activated).  

AAA:

Heliot Ramos:  DOB 9/7/1999, 6'1", 190 lbs, B-R, T-R.  AA:  .237/.323/.432, 10 HR, 7 SB, 236 AB.  AAA:  .272/.323/.399, 4 HR, 8 SB, 213 AB.  Former #19 overall draft pick.  Numbers look like he he needs a bit more time in the minors but could be an option by midseason.

Bryce Johnson:  DOB:  10/27/1995, 6'1", 195 lbs, B-S, T-R.  AAA:  .286/.377/.433, 9 HR, 30 SB, 353 PA.  Surprisingly strong AAA season.  Has a chance for a MLB career as 4'th or 5'th OF.

AA:

Diego Rincones:  DOB:  6/14/1999.  6'0", 175 lbs. B-R, T-R.  A+:  .300/.385/.533, 5 HR, 90 AB.  AA:  .290/.373/.505, 10 HR, 186 AB.  Bat looks terrific.  Limited to LF where arm is best defensive weapon.  Future Value goes up if NL adopts DH.

A+: 

Ismael Munguia:  DOB:  10/19/1998, 5'10", 158 lbs. B-L, T-L.  A+:  .336/.366/.502, 9 HR, 15 SB, 333 AB.  Diminutive speedy CF type.  Terrific BA.  Projects as a possible 4'th OF.

Jairo Pomares:  DOB:  8/4/2000.  6'1", 185 lbs.  B-L, T-R.  A:  .372/.429/.693, 14 HR, 199 AB.  A+:  .262/.269/.505, 6 HR, 103 PA.  One of the "big 3" from the international class of 2018.  Destroyed the Cal league and held his own after promotion to S-K.  Projects as a big bat corner OF, but still has a way to go.

Armani Smith:  DOB:  7/19/1998.  6'4", 215 lbs.  B-R, T-R.  A:  .339/.365/.627, 4 HR, 59 AB.  A+:  .279/.351/.442, 8 HR, 258 AB.  A bit of a sleeper in the system. Tremendous size.  Projects as a slugging corner OF if he reaches ceiling.

A:  

Luis Matos:  DOB:  1/28/20002.  5'11", 160 lbs., B-R, T-R.  A:  .313/.358/.494, 15 HR, 21 SB, 451 PA.  There was not much to not like about Matos age 19 season.  Some analysts are putting him right behind Marco Luciano on Giants prospect lists.  Looking more like a potential 5-tool CF with a high ceiling.

Hunter Bishop:  DOB: 6/25/1998.  6'5", 210 lbs.  B-L, T-R.  Minors(3 teams):  .133/.286/.178, 45 AB.  Missed most of season with injury.  Former first round draft pick(first in FZ regime).  Showing signs of life in Arizona Fall League.

Grant McCray:  DOB:  12/7/2000.  6'2", 170 lbs.  B-L, T-R.  Rookie:  .309/.400/.455, 55 AB.  A:  .250/.299/.400.  Sleeper.  Tools.  I want to see what he can do with a full season in SJ next year.

Rookie:

Alexander Suarez:  DOB:  12/20/2001.  6'2", 160 lbs.  B-R, T-R.  Rookie:  .311/.379/.503, 7 HR, 16 SB, 193 AB.  Hit .308 in the DSL in 2019.  Backed that up in Arizona this season.  Looks like a terrific prospect who should be ready to move up to SJ for 2022.

Summary:  Nice mix of OF's at the MLB level with some terrific looking prospects coming up.  Room for major FA upgrade in the MLB OF.

8 comments:

  1. Hi DrB.,
    I noticed you did not even include Dickerson, who is also arbitration eligible. But I doubt Giants will keep. Maybe they already released him and I missed it.

    I think your sentence about Yaz "FZ should not let him stand in the way of a major upgrade." describes the whole OF situation. They are good enough for FZ to wait for the market come to him, while focusing on SP. I also hope to see a few reclamation projects.

    Dubon will also be in the mix, with Estrada emerging as the Middle IF.

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    1. I added Dickerson. That was an oversight. Wow! What a terrible season he is coming off!

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  2. Someone who could end up in the outfield mix, especially if BB9 doesn't sign something in excess of a couple years, is Kris Bryant.

    With no payroll commitments beyond 2023, the "smart money" guess of 7 years, $250 M for a guy who can play 5 positions that no one is penciled in for (Longoria will have left by then), well, is that "whole lot of money" actually so very, very much for a 30-year old?

    Yes, but will it seem so much if he can anchor the team as the youths arrive over the next 3-4 years?

    With or without Bryant, the Giants have quite a bit of bait to lure the 4 starters they need. That will be in place before King Boris lets go.

    And, congratulations to our 4-time Golden Glove Shortstop

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    1. Agree on Bryant although I am skeptical that $250 M will be enough to sign him.

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    2. That estimate was from bleacherreport.

      https://bleacherreport.com/articles/2948617-fresh-predictions-for-top-2021-22-mlb-free-agents-with-offseason-approaching

      Bryant's last 5 years in bWAR: 2.3,4.4,0.5,3.3 — includes the 60 game 2020. He's quality, borderline All-Star but not Super Star.

      I think MLBTR is supposed to be out today with their estimates.

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    3. MLBTR Kris Bryant: Six years, $160MM.

      https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2021/11/top-50-mlb-free-agent-rankings.html

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  3. I'm excited for this OF group - Alexander Suarez, Pomares and Matos especially. Never paid much attention to Bryce Johnson, but those are nice numbers!

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