Saturday, November 29, 2025

Hot Stove League Update: Ryan Helsley Signs With Orioles

Ryan Helsley signed a free agent contract with the Baltimore Orioles for 2 yr/$28 M with an opt-out after one year.  That's pretty rich for a guy who sported a 4.50 ERA with 9 Blown Saves in 2025.  Let's break it down:

Ryan Helsley RHP.  DOB:  7/18/1994.  6' 2", 235 lbs.  

2025:  3-4, 4.50, 56 IP, 10.13 K/9, 4.02 BB/9, 21 Saves, 9 Blown Saves, .342 BABIP, 14.5 HR/FB%, 1.29 GB/FB, 7.4 Barrel %, 41.7 Hard Hit %, 4.14 FIP.

Helsley throws hundos and has been an elite closer but got roughed up in 2025.  On the surface this would appear to be due to bad BABIP luck but if you dig down a bit, he also has a significant bump up in Barrel % and Hard Hit %, so for some reason he became more hittable and it was probably not just due to the whims of the BABIP gods.  The Orioles disappointing season was largely due to a bullpen failure.  With Felix Bautista not due back until August at the earliest, signing an established Closer became a priority.  The Orioles obviously believe that Helsley's rough season was mostly due to bad luck and are counting on a bounce back.  

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