As recently as the end of the 2017 season, Wil Myers looked like a rising superstar for the Padres coming off B2B 20/20 seasons. In fact, 2017 was a 30/20 season! Then the Padres inexplicably signed Eric Hosmer to a huge contract, Myers had an injury plagued season and several good, young and inexpensive OF's emerged and suddenly Myers looks like a guy who is past his prime and getting way too expensive. The Padres owe Myers just $3 M next season but then are on the hook for 3 consecutive $20 M payouts.
On the other hand, Wil Myers is still just 28 yo and his 2018 number project to close to 20/20 over a full season's worth of PA's. His Steamer projection for 2019 is .240/.322/.432 with 25 HR and 13 SB. He's a defensive liability at both corner IF positions and CF, but he's a plus corner OF.
Do you know where Wil Myers would be a perfect fit? Yeah, LF for the Giants! Do you know who has a history of swapping bad contracts as well as trading with each other within the NL West? Yeah, Farhan Zaidi and AJ Preller!
So here's the trade: Wil Myers for Mark Melancon. Giants get immediate payroll relief, but take on future risk. Padres take on a short term bad contract but get relief from the overall contract as well as future payroll relief. Or, given that they owe Myers just $3 M in 2018, the Padres may not feel forced to trade him just yet, so the Giants take on all of the contract and send a low level lottery ticket or 2 to the Padres. What do you think?
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I'd make that trade if it only involved Melancon and a mid-level prospect. The Padres would have to look at as a short=term payroll increase, but a long-term salary dump.
ReplyDeleteMelancon is untradeable and Myers still has value so I have a hard time seeing that trade happen. Will Smith for Myers on the other hand is more realistic. Are you willing to do that trade?
ReplyDeleteThat would be a NO!
DeleteAgree. Wouldn't make the trade of Smith for Myers. Might consider a trade of Smith and Melancon for Myers and either Chris Paddock or Adrian Morejon.
DeleteSo I love Will Smith but he's a lefty reliever who filled in admirably at Closer last year and has 1 year left before free agency himself. Not quite a fungible asset, but pretty darn close. If I'm Zaidi and all I have to give up to get Wil Myers is 1 year of Will Smith, I'd probably do it.
DeleteI'd give Smith too but SD needs to take a little debt, also. Maybe Melancon with a small scholarship...
DeleteOpinions, everybody has got one. Sometimes we agree, sometimes we disagree, but the main point is that we have an opinion.
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