Wednesday, July 3, 2013

Down on the Farm: 7/2/2013

AAA  Las Vegas 51's pounded the Fresno Grizzlies 12-2:

Monell(.311), Linden(.226), Kieschnick(.265)- 2 hits each, all singles.

AA  Reading Phightin' Phils defeated the Richmond Flying Squirrels 7-5:

Angel Villalona(1B)- 1 for 4, HR(1).  BA= .125.
Josh Osich(LHP)- 1 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 0 K.  ERA= 0.00.

Angel V hits his first AA HR and Osich has a successful AA debut.

High A  San Jose Giants crushed the Modesto Nuts 11-3:

Chris Lofton(CF)- 1 for 4, 3B, BB, SF.  BA= .238.
Kelby Tomlinson(SS)- 3 for 5, 2B.  BA= .329.
Mac Williamson(RF)- 2 for 5, HR(13).  BA= .262.
Ricky Oropesa(1B)= 2 for 5, 2B.  BA= .444.
Jeff Arnold(C)- 3 for 5, 2B, HR(10).  BA= .261.
Travious Relaford(3B)- 2 for 4, 2B, BB.  BA= .375.

Mac Williamson is hitting .314/.390/.714 over his last 10 games.  He slashed .320/.421/.588 for the month of June.

Low A  Augusta Greenjackets stung the Kannapolis Intimidators 3-1:

Jesus Galindo(CF)- 2 for 5, 2B, SB(37).  BA= .277.
Shayne Houck(3B)- 2 for 4, 3B, BB.  BA= .264.
Charles Jones(RF)- 2 for 5, 2B, SB(8).  BA= .207.
Matt Duffy(SS)- 2 for 5.  BA= .313.

Short Season  Boise Hawks soared over the Salem-Keizer Volcanoes 10-5:

Nothing to see here.

Rookie AZL  Giants dominated the Reds 10-1:

Brett Kay(2B-SS)- 3 for 5.  BA= .286.
Christian Arroyo(SS)- 1 for 3, SB(1).  BA= .231.
Ryan Tuntland(DH)- 4 for 5.  BA= .471.
Julio Pena(RF)- 2 for 4, 2 2B.  BA= .333.
Brian Ragira(1B)- 2 for 4.  BA= .333.
Johneshwy (Eyechart) Fargas(CF)- 1 for 3.  BA= .333.
Carlos Diaz(LHP)- 4 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 3 BB, 6 K's.  ERA= 7.71.
Donald Snelton(LHP)- 2 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 2 K's.  ERA= 0.00.

Pena continues to pound out XBH's.  He is 20 yo and hit just .207 and .213 in 2 years in the DSL, so we'll see how long he keeps it up.  Fargas makes his pro debut.

DSL  Twins topped the Giants 2-1 in a 6 inning game shortened due to rain:

Really, nothing to see here.  Giants got just 1 hit.


  1. Hey Dr B, it's good to see Mac heating up. But I am curious about something. What seperates him from a guy like Kieschnick, who was also a college draftee with a good build and power? Kieschnick hit very well in San Jose, but struck out a ton. I see many similarities between the two, but it seems that scouts are much higher on Mac than they ever were on Kieschnick. Any idea why?

    1. Kieschnick has been completely snakebit with injuries, including the worst kind: back. I'd say Mac is newer and shinier right now. I was excited about Mac getting drafted because he's a 5-tool guy, if you squint a bit. The speed is there, he just has to get a running start. His arm is plus, great for RF. He has light tower power. Can he hit? Tis the question. Here's the good news: ISO keeps climbing, its at 194 now! His K% is 22.5%, we'd like it just a bit lower. His BB% is 7.2%, we'd like it just a bit higher. If he can get to 20K%/10BB% that would be awesome. The low BA is what it is, but he started slow. Obviously we'd like that to come up a bunch, he'd be a Brandon Belt type if it did, major helium. So right now Mac is a 3.5 tool guy, with the hit tool being the big question. But he's new, like Belt, to hitting, relatively.

    2. I think Mac and Roger K are very similar players. Roger has had 2 major injuries which cost him a lot of development time. Hopefully Mac can stay healthy. I do think Mac's height could work against him much as we've seen it work against Brandon Belt at times.

    3. I was really hoping we'd get to see Kieschnick by this point in the year. I know he hasn't exactly forced management's hand this year, but his defense and power could be helpful. When we were healthy and at the top of the division (very early on), there really wasn't any need for him. But in our current state, I think he could be an upgrade over Torres in left. I don't see much value at all from Torres right now, but again, he hasn't really played bad enough to force management's hand. This just seems like a good time to get a little younger, stronger (and smarter) in LF.

    4. Yeah, it would be nicer if he were hitting higher, but at least he's above average at .347 for OBP and .456 for SLG, and way above average I bet in ISO.

      Hard to say someone started slow when he went, like, 6 for 17 with HR in first few games, then he had a 16 game cold streak, under .500 OPS, ugh! And 19 K in 61 AB, nearly 33%! That is roughly to end of April.

      After that, he's been much better, hitting .282/.359/.493/.853 with 11 HR in 227 AB (21 AB/HR or roughly 30 HR power over full season), though 55 K in 227 AB is still high, leaving contact rate at 76%. BABIP of .327, over 60 games, just over 2 months of games, since end of April.

      Though really, he was really bad, even worse in May, .228/.296/.351/.647, he just heated up right at the start of June (2nd), and since June started and including two July games: .314/.407/.590/.997 in 29 games, 7 HR in 105 AB (15 AB/HR) with 22 K's and 8 BB (and 9 HBP!) It is his HBP (he also had 6 in April, though none in May) that is driving his good OBP while not walking all that much, same as Brown.

      Basically, he was free swinging it in April and May, but got some control over it in June and started to make very good contact. If he can continue that for the rest of the season, he could be the guy to watch in Richmond next season, heck, hitting this well, they might promote him in August if he can stay this white hot for the rest of July.

      I love the new gamelogs for minor leaguers on!

      Roger was actually very good in April and May, then suddenly very cold in June, which affected him basically all month. Strikeout-itis hit him, 36 K's in only 116 AB, ouch! If he had continued to hit well (.911 OPS in April, 1.030 in May), he could have been considered for callup in June.

      Though his cold streak seem to coincide with when Pagan was injured (occurred on May 25th), and while he was doing well, wasn't called up, maybe he got distracted by that hope or was bugged that he didn't get the call, as Frandsen famously was.

      Speaking of which, he's finally fulfilling what many of us (including me) thought he was capable of, he's hitting .276/.376/.437/.813 in part-time play, and getting to start last season, hit .338/.383/.451/.834. His fielding isn't great, but he is basically average at 2B and 3B defensively. If he didn't sulk his way out of the organization, he might have had two World Series rings, and most certainly would have been part of the bench last season, at minimum, he's better than Arias as a hitter, so at least one ring. Life is funny bad sometimes.

    5. Only caution re. Game Logs is it is easy to fall into the sample size trap and read too much into slumps and hot streaks.

    6. I'd add that as the nerds who follow this, we know he fell down in the OF and got screwed up some by the injury. Diving catch, shoulder injury.

  2. Austin Fleet was dropped down to San Jose after performing adequately in Fresno - go figure. There are plenty of pitchers in Fresno with no real future in the majors - it would seem that Fleet should remain in AAA to see if he has a future in the Bigs. APGiantsfan

  3. I brought that up the other day about Fleet...Could be a sleeper...

    Another sleeper could be SS Matt Duffy from Augusta who gets very little notice but just gets on base ALOT every game..I looked at his line

    313AVG 230AB 40R 72H 20XBH 38RBI 37BB 35K 15SB .411OBP

    Very impresive...Love the Hitting, BB/K ratio and OBP..

    He's 22 so maybe he should be sent up to SJ soon, but I like what I see so far..