Sunday, October 20, 2019

2019 Draft Review: Selected Picks From #21

This will be the last installment of the series.  Rather than just plow through #21-30, I'll review selected picks we scouted and profiled before the draft just to see how their pro debuts turned out.  Again, grades are for fun and not necessarily predictive of future success or failure.

#21  Braves:  Braden Shewmake SS.  College(Texas A&M).

A:  .318/.389/.473, 18 2B, 2 3B, 3 HR, 11 SB, 201 AB.
AA:  .217/.288/.217, 46 AB.

Skipped short season entirely in an aggressive assignment. Solid performance.  Hyperaggressive late promotion to AA which did not go so well.  Grade A.

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#22  Rays:  Greg Jones  SS.  College(UNC Wilmington).

Short Season:  .335/.413/.461, 13 2B, 4 3B, HR, 19 SB, 191 AB.

Strong numbers at an appropriate level although with a lot of K's.  Grade A-.

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#23  Rockies:  Michael Toglia 1B.  College(UCLA).

Short Season:  .248/.369/.483, 7 2B, 9 HR, 145 AB.

Switch-hitting power hitter with deceptive athleticism.  As you can probably tell, I'm not in love with true outcomes approaches at low levels, but that's Moneyball come of age, the new orthodoxy.  It's going to be interesting to follow these guys development and see how it turns out.  Grade B.

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#24  Indians:  Daniel Espino  RHP.  HS.

Rookie(AZL):  0-1, 1.98, 13.2 IP, 5 BB, 16 K.
Short Season:  0-2, 6.30, 10 IP, 5 BB, 18 K.

Unusually aggressive promotion for a HS pitcher.  Maintained dominant K rate in SSS against the older competition.  Grade A.

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#29  A's:  Logan Davidson  SS.  College(Clemson).

Short Season:  .239/.345/.332, 7 2B, 4 HR, 5 SB, 205 AB.

More 3 true outcomes without much power.  Grade C.

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#31  Dodgers:  Michael Busch  2B.  College(UNC).

2 levels:  .125/.371/.125, 24 AB.

Pro debut season cut short by injury.  Grade Incomplete.  I think this guy was a defensively challenged 1B/OF/DH in college so the 2B designation is inneresting.  Maybe the Dodgers think they are grooming the next Max Muncy?

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#33  D'Backs:  Brennan Malone  RHP.  HS.

Rookie(AZL):  1-2, 5.14, 7 IP, 5 BB, 7 K's.

Pitched one inning of Short Season ball.  Grade C(SSS)(BTW, I really liked what I saw in pre-draft videos).

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#34  D'Backs:  Drey Jameson  RHP.  College(Ball St).

Short Season:  0-0, 6.17, 11.2 IP, 9 BB, 12 K.

Small RHP who put up interesting numbers for Ball St.  Very small sample here, but the walks are not encouraging.  Grade D.

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#35  Marlins:  Kameron Misner  OF.  College(Missouri).

2 Levels:  .270/.388/.362, 9 2B, 2 HR, 11 SB, 163 AB.

Intriguing athleticism.  Nice plate discipline but no power.  Aggressive early promotion to A ball where he got most of his AB's.  Grade B.

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#39  Twins:  Matt Wallner  OF.  College(Southern Mississippi).

2 Levels:  .258/.357/.452, 21 2B, 2 3B, 8 HR, 24 BB, 80 K's, 252 AB.

Twins like to draft toolsy HS kids in round 1 and college sluggers in round 2.  Nice power here, but K rate is off the charts in Rookie+ league.  Grade C.

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#46  Marlins:  Nasim Nunez  SS.  HS.

Rookie(GCL):  .211/.340/.251, 5 2B, 3B, 28 SB, 175 AB.

Defensive HS SS.  Bat was always going to be a project.  Intriguing SB's.  Grade C.

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#49  Reds:  Rece Hinds  SS.  HS.

Rookie+:  .000, 8 AB.

Huge power potential.  Not sure what happened here.  He assigned on June 18 but got only 8 AB's.  Injur?  Grade Incomplete.

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#51  Giants:  Logan Wyatt  1B.  College(Louisville).

3 Levels:  .278/.388/.377, 6 2B, 3 HR, 26 BB, 29 K, 151 AB.

Nice ratios.  More power would be nice.  Grade B.

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#54  Twins:  Matt Cantarino  RHP.  College(Rice).

2 levels:  1-1, 1.44, 25 IP, 8 BB, 31 K.

I might have preferred the Giants draft this college pitcher instead of Wyatt at #51 given how thin pitching is in the organization.  Will watch their respective development with interest.  Grade B+.

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#55  Angels:  Kyren Paris  SS.  HS.

Rookie(AZL):  .300/.462/.400, 10 AB.

Extreme tools. Nice spot in the draft to take a shot.  Very SSS.  Grade Incomplete.

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#84  Padres:  Hudson Head  OF.  HS.

Rookie(AZL):  .283/.383/.417, 7 2B, 3 3B, HR, 3 SB, 120 AB.

Signed way above slot.  Solid rookie ball debut.  Grade B.

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#89  Mets:  Matthew Allan  RHP.  HS.

2 Levels:  1-0, 2.61, 10.1 IP, 5 BB, 14 K.

Another way above slot sign.  Has kind of a Matt Cain feel about him.  SSS.  Grade Incomplete.

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#94  Nationals:  Drew Mendoza  3B.  College(Florida St).

A:  .264/.377/.383, 12 2B, 4 HR, 34 BB, 57 K, 201 AB.

3 true outcomes approach even in college.  Aggressive to start him off in A ball, but needs to produce more dingers.  Eh, Grade B.

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#122  D'Backs:  Glenallen Hill Jr.  SS.  HS.

Rookie AZL:  .206/.289/.363, 4 2B, 6 3B, 3 HR, 19 SB, 17 BB, 63 K, 160 AB.

A name of interest to Giants fans.  You can see the tools in the numbers, but extreme plate discipline and contact issues.  Grade C-.

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#128  Rays:  Graeme Stinson  LHP.  College(Duke).

Rookie(GCL):  0-1, 13.50, 0.2 IP, 0 BB, 1 K.

Top ranked college pitcher this time last year.  Spectacular stock crash.  Injury?  Grade Incomplete.

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# 149  Twins:  Will Holland  SS.  College(Auburn).

Rookie+:  .192/.299/.376, 7 HR, 8 SB, 125 AB.

Low assignment out of a major college program.  Some power and speed but extreme contact issues. Grade D.

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#204  Reds:  Eric Yang  C.  College(UCSB).

Rookie+:  .290/.428/.420, 9 2B, 4 HR, 162 AB.

I liked Yang's numbers for UCSB.  Thought he was one of the top players in that conference.  Placement a bit low and an extreme hitter's league.  Grade C+.

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#234  Reds:  Quin Cotton  OF.  College(Grand Canyon).

Rookie+:  .283/.376/.409, 14 2B, 2 3B, 4 HR, 8 SB, 8 CS, 237 AB.

Stock fell off his junior season.  Low placement in an extreme hitter's league.  Decent numbers but the speed won't play with 50% CS rate.  Grade C+.

1 comment:

  1. Interested in your thoughts about the proposed restructuring of minor league baseball dr B

    ReplyDelete