Saturday, April 4, 2020
Scouting the 2020 Draft: Bobby Miller
Bobby Miller RHP, College(Louisville). 6'5", 220 lbs.
2018: 6-1, 2.97, 66.2 IP, 21 BB, 55 K.
2019: 7-1, 3.83, 80.0 IP, 38 BB, 86 K.
2020: 2-0, 2.31, 23.1 IP, 9 BB, 34 K.
The pitching in this draft class just keeps getting deeper and deeper. I don't think I've profiled Bobby Miller before but just noticed him sitting at #21 on the Fangraphs ranking. He was well regarded as a 2-way player out of HS in 2017. He's bean strictly a pitcher with Louisville where he has both started and relieve with more success as a SP. Big and strong with a classic pitchers body. Very muscular in the upper legs and butt. He has long arms with a long backswing and a 3/4 delivery. FB has been clocked as high as 99 MPH. Some effort in the delivery but strong enough to maintain velocity deep into games. Effort sometimes leads to loss of command. Backs up FB with a sharp slider, a split change and traditional change with lower velocity. MLB Pipeline ranks him at #48.
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Hey Doc. Really appreciate the work you do here, been reading since day 1.
ReplyDeleteI’d love to read a post about your thoughts on the proposed changes to the MLB draft, assuming you haven’t already shared those and I missed them.
Best,
Bay Area Dan
Regarding the draft, NCAA decision to grant an extra year of eligibility, pending MiLB contraction and college baseball, here are some random thoughts. First, we are in totally uncharted territory, so anyone who claims to know how this years draft will play out is simply guessing.
ReplyDelete*With the draft shortened to 5 rounds and college juniors and seniors getting a year of eligibility back, lots of guys will stay in college and play another year. The quality of play in college baseball next year will take a step up. The pending MiLB contraction will mean fewer MiLB roster spots going forward, which will give bubble players another reason to stay in college.
*2020 incoming freshmen get dealt a lousy hand. While it appears college roster sizes and scholarship limits will be temporarily be expanded, playing time will not. Watch for many players and colleges agree to decommitments as coaches work through their depth charts to identify logjams. It is possible that this could push some high school players who would have been very difficult to sign to look a little harder at 3rd or 4th round money.
*Because there might be an opportunity to pick up a high ceiling HS player in rounds 3-5, there could be a run on solid but unspectacular college guys early with the expectation that they can be signed below slot. Saving money for a HS guy that will require above slot money.
*With 5 of the first 85 picks, the Giants will be a very interesting team to follow through the draft. Will we see a grand strategy that targets a particular category of player? Do the Giants have enough draft ammo to shoot for the stars with two, or even three of those five picks?
*It will be interesting to see how geography and unfiltered analytics factor into the draft. No one plans for a baseball season HS/college to get shut down before it really gets going. Where scouts have been looking - mainly the west and southeast because of weather - and what the velo, spin rate, 60 times, pop times, exit velo numbers are may play a big role in who get drafted, by whom and in what round.
I think the situation could present the Giants with and even better opportunity than the very good one they already had with all those early picks.
HS players graduating in 2020 and heading to a D1 school are really getting a crappy deal.
Agree with much of your thoughts. I'm wondering if we'll see more incoming freshmen redshirted. I'm glad the NCAA granted the extra year of elgibility. Felt bad for the seniors who had their season suddenly taken away. Hawaii has several players elgible for the draft, but now with the draft being shortened to 1-10 rounds, they'll have only 1 player likely to be drafted : left-handed reliever Jeremy Wu-Yellen, fastball 92-97 MPH. Hope the Giants draft by best player available on their board. Very important draft for the Giants, needless to say, a rebuilding team looking to build up their farm system.
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