Monday, September 20, 2021

Giants Waste DeSclafani's Quality Start

Anthony DeSclafani RHP turned in his second consecutive QS and 3'rd out of 4.  This comes after a rough August which included a 2 short IL stints for an ankle problem.  The problem in this game is the offense failed to score any runs in support so the effort went for naught.  DeSclafani's start, though, has a couple of longterm implications:  

1.  If the Giants don't get bounced from the postseason early in Wild Card game,  DeSclafani gives them another SP who gives them a chance to win in any postseason games he pitches along with Kevin Gausman RHP and Logan Webb RHP.  The hope is Alex Wood LHP gets stretched out and can join them as a 4'th postseason SP.  Postseason teams rarely need a 5'th SP.  

2.  DeSclafani looked like a prime deadline trade candidate when he was signed in the offseason to a 1 year/$6 M contract.  But then, a funny thing happened on the way to July 31. The Giants were not only in contention, they had the best darn record in MLB!  No trade deadline firesale for them!  DeSclafani looked more like a guy who was going to get The Gausman, a QO too good to turn down.  Then August happened and it started to look like DeSclafani might not even make it to the end of the season.  Now with a bounceback September, he's in contention for a QO again.  Will the Giants give it to him?  Will he accept it?

For reference sake, here is Kevin Gausman's pitching line in 2020 that got him the offer:  

Age: 29.  3-3, 3.62, 59.2 IP, 11.92 K/9, 2.41 BB/9, 1.6 fWAR in 12 Games.

Here is DeSclafani's 2021 line:  12-7, 3.23, 158.2 IP, 8.28 K/9, 2.33 BB/9, 2.7 fWAR, 29 G.  The fWAR translates into $21.4 M earned with 2 Starts likely to go.

Anthony DeSclafani has definitely earned a QO.  The only question is whether he would accept it or not.  It would be a good deal for both him and the team, but it seems likely he will get a longer offer for only slightly less AAV.  A related question is whether the Giants will take on the risk of a big longterm deal for Gausman which he seems certain of getting from some team this offseason?  Gausman has fulfilled his dream of playing with Buster Posey C.  He's thrived with the Giants but in the end, will likely take what is probably his last, best chance for a "megadeal" FA contract.

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