Saturday, October 19, 2019

2019 First Round Draft Review: #11-20

When I evaluate a draft pick, I want to know the 5-10 players who went right after.  If there are several who were clearly better than your team's pick, it's a poor draft.  It probably does not mean much in one draft, but if it happens several drafts in a row, it may be time to evaluate the scouring and drafting process.

#11.  Blue Jays:  Alek Manoah  RHP.  College(West Virginia).

Short Season:  0-1, 2.65, 17 IP, 5 BB, 27 K's.

Dominating numbers at appropriate level in SSS.  Grade A-.

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#12.  Mets:  Brett Baty  3B.  HS.

Rookie(GCL):  .350/.480/.650, 3 2B, HR, 20 AB.
R+:  .222/.339/.437, 12 2B, 2 3B, 6 HR, 158 AB.
Short Season:  .200/.529/.300, 10 AB.

Late riser in draft.  Extreme true outcomes approach.  7 HR in 188 AB's pretty impressive pop for a pro debut, but will the lack of contact play at higher levels?  Grade B.

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#13. Twins:  Keoni Cavaco  SS.  HS.

Rookie(GCL):  .172/.217/.253.

Another late riser in the draft bases on tools.  High ceiling, huge bust potential.  Grade D.

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#14.  Phillies:  Bryson Stott  SS.  College(UNLV).

Rookie(GCL):  .667/.727/1.333, 2B, 3B, HR, 9 AB.
Short Season:  .274/.370/.446, 8 2B, 2 3B, 5 HR, 5 SB, 157 AB.

Solid start at an appropriate level.  I'll watch his career closely because he seemed like the main alternative to Hunter Bishop for the Giants at #10.  Grade B.

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#15.  Angels:  Will Wilson  SS.  College(NC State).

R+:  .275/.328/.439, 10 2B, 3 3B, 5 HR, 189 AB.

Nothing wrong with those numbers except it's too low a level and an extreme hitter-friendly league.  Grade C.

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#16  D'Backs:  Corbin Carroll  OF.  HS.

Rookie(AZL):  .288/.409/.450, 6 2B, 3 3B, 2 HR, 16 SB, 111 AB.
Short Season:  .326/.408/.581, 3 2B, 4 3B, 2 SB, 43 AB.

Impressing perforamance after promotion to Short Season even if SSS. Comps are Y2Y and Andrew Benintendi.  Grade A.

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#17  Nationals:  Jackson Rutledge  RHP.  JC.

Rookie(GCL):  0-0. 27.00, 1 IP, 1 BB, 2 K's.
Short Season:  0-0, 3.00, 9 IP, 3 BB, 6 K's.
A:  2-0, 2.30, 27.1 IP, 11 BB, 31 K.

Hard to know where to place JC draftees.  Grade B.

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#18  Pirates:  Quinn Priester RHP.  HS.

Rookie(GCL):  1-1, 3.03, 32.2 IP, 10 BB, 37 K.
Short Season:  0-0, 4.50, 4 IP, 4 BB, 4 K's.

First HS arm taken in this draft.  Command and pitchability is his edge.  Grade B.

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#19  Cardinals:  Zack Thompson  LHP.  College(Kentucky).

Rookie(GCL):  0-0, 0.00, 2 IP, 0 BB, 4 K's.
Short Season:  0-0, 4.05, 13.1 IP, 4 BB, 19 K's.

SSS.  Grade B.

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#20  Mariners:  George Kirby RHP.  College(Elon).

Short Season:  0-0, 2.25, 23 IP, 0 BB, 25 K.

Somewhat small sample at appropriate level.  Grade B+.

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Still fairly happy with the Hunter Bishop pick.  He has a higher ceiling than any of the subsequent 10 picks, although the extreme true outcomes approach scares me.  It will be interesting to compare his career with Bryson Stott and Corbin Carroll, the 2 guys you could make a case for the Giants drafting at #10.

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