25. Gregory Santos RHP. DOB: 8/28/1999. 6'2', 190 lbs.
2021(AAA): 1-1, 5.17, 15.2 IP, 8.62 K/9, 5.17 BB/9.
2021(MLB): 0-2, 22.50, 2 IP, 13.50 K/9, 9.00 BB/9.
After looking at these numbers and a 50 game suspension for PED use, I'm thinking this ranking is way too high. Yikes! There is that triple digit fastball though.
24. Kervin Castro RHP. DOB: 2/7/1999. 6'0", 185 lbs.
2021(AAA): 6-1, 2.86, 44 IP, 12.27 K/9, 4.50 BB/9.
2021(MLB): 1-1, 0.00, 13.1 IP, 8.78 K/9, 2.70 BB/9.
Wow! I did not realize how good Kervin Castro was last year. Those numbers are very competitive with Camilo Doval's. Maybe I should have ranked him a bit higher?
25. RJ Dabovitch RHP. DOB: 1/11/1999. 6'3", 208 lbs.
2021(A+): 0-0, 1.42, 12.2 IP, 19.89 K/9, 4.26 BB/9, 4 Saves.
2021(AA): 1-1, 3.66, 19.2 IP, 15.56 K/9, 3.20 BB/9, 6 Saves.
Dabo made some interesting comments to David Laurilia of Fangraphs about how the Giants coaches told him if he changed the grip on a couple of pitches, his K rate would go up. He said, OK, I'll try it and sure enough, the K rate went up beyond anything he expected. No surprise if we see him pitching in Oracle Park before the end of 2022.
22. Kai-Wei Teng RHP. DOB: 12/1/1998. 6'4", 260 lbs.
2021(A+): 5-6, 4.33, 95.2 IP, 13.36 K/9, 4.99 BB/9.
Per Fangraphs, Teng's rather pedestrian FB is augmented by an "offspeed arsenal" of "big league quality." Bulk, and easy, simple delivery should help him be a "bulk innings" guy, but we're looking at more of a 3-4 SP than 2-3.
21. Luis Toribio 3B. DOB: 9/28/2000. B-L, T-R. 6'1", 185 lbs.
2021(A): .229/.351/.356, 7 HR, 2 SB, 15.4 BB%, 27.7 K%, 408 PA.
Toribio's season may not have been up to the expectations some analysts had for him, but if you look at that walk rate and OBP, Toribio actually had a pretty good season for San Jose last year. He's still young enough for the power to emerge. If it does, nobody will care about the BA.
Speaking of Gregory Santos above, Sports Illustrated's Will Laws is out with a trade where Santos goes to the Reds for Sonny Gray.
ReplyDeleteBut, that's not all. He includes RHP Ryan Murphy which still could be OK for 2 shades, er, years of Gray (2022 plus a team option for '23), BUT Laws sends Heliot Ramos along.
Most of us have high levels of home team bias and perhaps we love Ramos too much but IMHO this is worse than Bryan Reynolds and Kyle Crick for Andrew McCutchen.
If Giants rode Gray to the WS in either of his 2 years, Farhan could be named Genius but watching Ramos in Ohio after that would hurt.
OTOH, at my age, 2024 is miles to go, while '23-'24 could hold promise.
If that whole Adam Duvall thing gave some of us night sweats and the Bryan Reynolds thing gives us panic attacks, imagine what shipping off Ramos in exchange for a SP entering the twilight of his career would do. Please no.
DeleteAlso Luis Castillo. But as the saying goes, you have to give up quality to get quality. Giants need a solid #2-3 guy and I think Giants pitching staff can get the best out of Gray's 2 or 3 years. Of course Ramos has potential, but also contact issues and some underlying red flags in his peripherals. If he can't stick at CF then he loses a ton of value. That being said, I never thought Duvall would be good enough to even sniff CF but nowadays I guess since there's so many Ks and walks and not that many balls in play, any plus athlete can be tried anywhere. To me Ramos is like a 50/50 guy, can be a useful regular or will not make it. With the number of strong outfield options on the 2-3 year horizon, I'd risk a Ramos trade.
DeleteI just looked up Sonny Gray on Fangraphs. He's a quality pitcher who has been incredibly durable and consistent. He would do a lot for the Giants rotation, not the least of which is take a whole lot of pressure off Logan Webb. Gray's adjusted ERA's are already whole run lower than his ERA which is probably largely due to pitching in that bandbox in Cincy, so just moving to a more pitcher-friendly environment is a big plus. Then Fangraphs had a fascinating article about pitch selection. Gray throws both a 4-seam and sinker but throws the sinker more to flyball hitters(interestingly, Luis Castillo does the same). It's a bit counterintuitive but hitters with uppercut swings have a more favorable swing plane against sinkers than 4-seamers while groundball hitters fare better against 4-seamers so if Gray is willing to listen to the Giants pitcher-whisperers, there's a great chance he could be even better just by throwing the exact same stuff but in different ratios against different hitters. Hmm....maybe I should do a whole post on this!
DeleteOn top of all that, Gray is on a very team-friendly contract for essentially 2 years. Much as I emotionally would hate to lose Heliot Ramos, on an intellectual level if a package of Ramos, Murphy and Santos would get him, I think that would be a great deal for the Giants.
DeleteMy top 3 moves:
ReplyDelete1. Do whatever it takes to get Seiya Suzuki to sign on the dotted line
2. Now that NL DH is an inevitability, sign Kyle Schwarber 5/75
3. Trade for Sonny Gray - I think I'd do a package centered around Heliot Ramos, with maybe a Sean Hjelle and Ricardo Genovese.
I think your ranking of Santos is appropriate. He's on the 40man and got his feet wet at the MLB level last year. They sent him to the Arizona Fall League and he's been a prospect for a few years now. He's the last guy left from the Eduardo Nunez to Boston Deal. We already saw Castro on the playoff roster too. Dabovitch in 2022! Wow, they have some nice bullpen pieces.
ReplyDeleteMy vote on that proposed Deal for Sonny Gray is a hard pass. Not for Santos, Murphy, AND Ramos. He's probably better than the remaining free agent pitchers, but then again he might not be that much better. Rodon, Carlos Martinez, Kwang-hyun Kim, Kershaw or even Zach Davies could be had for zero prospects and do roughly the same as Gray IMO.