Monday, November 4, 2019

Hot Stove Update: Bumgarner and Smith Get QO's.

It was not surprise the Giants gave Madison Bumgarner and Qualifying Offer.  He'll almost certainly reject it and test the market.  Fangraphs and MLBTR have him getting right about 4 yrs/$72 M which seems like a pretty good deal for the team to me.  I say the Giants should go has high as 4/$80 and re-sign him.  Bummy says he's going to take who the new manager is into account.  That sounds like codespeak for it better not be Gabe Kapler to me.

The offer to Will Smith was less of a slam dunk.  Fangraphs has him getting about 3 yrs/$30 M.  Accepting the QO would give him over half of that for one season.  Seems to me it's better than 50-50 he accepts, but what do I know?  I thought it was 60-40 it wasn't offered.  Seems like an accepted QO might be a good deal for both Smith and the Giants.  Then again, MLBTR has him going to the Twins for 3 yrs/$42 M and if that's his market, he'll likely turn down the QO.  What do you think?

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8 other free agents received Qualifying Offers including Gerrit Cole, Anthony Rendon, Steven Strasburg, Josh Donaldson, Marcel Ozuna, Zack Wheeler, Jake Odirizzi and Jose Abreu.

 I would think losing a second round draft pick would not make most teams think twice about signing any of these excellent players, but many teams insanely overvalue draft picks right now.  I can understand not wanting to give up a first rounder, but by the time you get to the second round, the odds of getting an impact player in the draft are about 10% or less.

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The Giants activated Zach Green from the 60-day IL and sent him outright to AAA where they signed  him as a minor league FA.  They also released Cristhian Adames and signed him as a minor league FA.

Tyler Anderson, Steven Duggar, Trevor Gott, Reyes Moronta and Tony Watson were activated from the 60-day IL and kept on the 40-man roster.
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3 comments:

  1. KeiserSoseNovember 5, 2019 at 6:26 AM

    Smith already has one TJ surgery, which may make him prefer a longer term deal with more money.

    ReplyDelete
  2. AnonymousNovember 5, 2019 at 10:08 AM

    Does the FA have to sign a contract over $50M (total, any number of years) for the draft pick to kick in?
    If so, would the Giants offer 4 or 5 yrs, $50M to force the contract up?

    ReplyDelete
  3. AnonymousNovember 5, 2019 at 1:32 PM

    Sorry to add this as a peripheral to the Will Smith and Madison Bumgarner FA discussion, but if not now, when?
    In light of ALL of the potential for a Kapler stint as Manager with the Giants, and factoring his experiences, both on and off the field..it is more than fair to ask both emotionally and rhetorically...WHAT are the Giants thinking? The man, regardless of his prior relationship with Zaidi, is a walking, talking, posturing "flame-out" waiting to take another MLB franchise down the rails to an ignominious crash! I can think of NO worse outcome for this seemingly endless pursuit of Bochy's replacement.
    Thoughts, comments, anyone? Bueller? Anyone? Am I the only voice with this perspective?

    ReplyDelete

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