Thursday, February 12, 2026

Hot Stove League Update: DrB's Final Grades

 Hey team!  I really appreciate the comments and grades for the Giants offseason.  I specifically asked for grades for Buster Posey(and by extension his assistants in the front office).  In this post I will give you my grade for Buster Posey et al and also for the organization which I think had a better Hot Stove League than Buster did personally((I will explain although maybe Buster gets all the credit by virtue of sitting in the hot seat where he gets blamed for bad luck and therefore maybe should get credit for good luck?).  Here are the grades:

Buster Posey B: Buster came into the 2025/2026 Hot Stove League with multiple holes to fill and one big limitation.  We can argue endlessly about whether Giants ownership can or should be spending money to match the Dodgers.  I do believe that if Buster went to ownership with a player he felt he needed to give them a serious shot at not just the postseason but a championship, ownership would give him the green light even if it put them over the CBT threshold.  I also believe there were no players on this year's market Buster would do that for.  I also agree with Buster and Greg Johnson that too many simultaneous 5 and 6 year contracts are asking for disaster down the road.  So for all practical purposes, the CBT threshold was the upper limit of the payroll he would end up with and there were not going to be any long term contracts handed out.  So with that situation as the starting point, let's look at the holes he filled:

Manager:  Wow!  Buster gets extra points just for the publicity the Tony Vitello hiring generated.  Might actually be the biggest story of the Hot Stove League.  He backed that up by bringing in a team of diverse but highly respected coaches who are expected to do what FZ and Gabe Kapler claimed they would do with their coaching staff.  Now if all this turns out to be the right Manager and right coaching staff, Buster looks like a genius.  If it fails, it may take Buster down with it so he may have bet his entire tenure on this one move.

Starting Pitching Depth:  With Justin Verlander RHP a free agent, he needed to be replaced.  Beyond replacing Verlander, He needed additional starting depth.  He had a bevy of young starting pitchers who might step up but he had that last year and came up short.  He needed at least 2 veteran arms more than he needed one top-end SP.  On top of all that, the price of pitching was insane.  Buster ended up with Adrian Houser RHP and Tyler Mahle RHP two veteran SP's coming off strong seasons but with injury histories.  Signing pitchers with injury histories to discounted short term contracts is a Moneyball GM's wet dream.

Right Field/Outfield DefenseBuster faced a two-headed monster in the outfield with a hole to fill in RF and a CF coming off one of the worst defensive performances in MLB.  He solved both problems with one move signing Harrison Bader CF, one of the best defensive CF's in baseball, to 2 year contract.  That basically forced Jung Hoo Lee OF to move to RF where his more range limitations and strong arm should be a better fit.  

Second Base:  A lot of us would be happy if Casey Schmitt IF was the presumptive starting 2B but Buster has been clear on his desire to increase contact and decrease strikeouts.  When the opportunity arose to snag the top contact hitter in all of MLB at a discounted price and just one year to boot, Buster did not hesitate.  Luis Arraez is the Giants new 2B on 1 yr/$11 M.  Buster is counting on Arraez work ethic and IF coach Ron Washington to make him at least playable at 2B.

DH:  Whether Bryce Eldridge starts the season in AAA or in the Opening Day Lineup, it's clear Buster and the Giants intend for him to get his big shot at MLB stardom this season.  He may be shagging fly balls in the outfield but the bulk of his PA's will come as either DH, 1B or both, splitting the positions with Rafael Devers.  There is some risk in this move but I love the commitment and if it works out, Buster comes out of it looking like a genius.

Bullpen/Closer:  This is where I knock Buster down by a letter grade.  I don't see how Ryan Walker RHP can come to camp as the presumptive Closer but here we are.  I get that Moneyball dogma says you don't spend top dollars on Closers or bullpen arms and somebody will alway step up, it didn't last season and it looks like there are fewer options this year.  Prices for Closer-quality bullpen arms were insane and signing one would have made it difficult to fill the other holes and remain under the CBT threshold but if the season ends up imploding, the Closer role is the most likely to be ground-zero.  

Giants sign Top international free agent Luis Hernandez for $5 M.  The groundwork was laid for this long before Buster took over as POBO so he does not get complete credit but for the second year in a row, the Giants under his leadership traded for international bonus pool money, something they almost never did in the past.  This enabled the Giants to not only meet Hernandez' asking price but also sign other international players.  Based on review of the Giants transaction log, that extra money has already been spend on new signings.  So Buster gets at least partial credit for continued tangible commitment to the international market.  

Giants Win the Draft Lottery:  Well, they didn't exactly win it in terms of grabbing the #1 overall pick but they moved all the way up from #15 to #4 which should yield another top prospect and give another shot in the arm to a farm system that has found serious Helium.  So, this is pure luck and Buster gets no credit.  Maybe Randy Winn gets credit for being the Giants representative in the room, or may Buster does get credit for choosing Randy Winn to be there.  In any event, I would bet a lot of money that Randy Winn is the rep at the next Draft Lottery.

Organizational Grade: A-(higher grade due to adding Luis Hernandez and moving up 11 spots in the 2026 draft).  

DrB's 2026 Giants Top 50 Prospects: #3 Luis Hernandez


3.  Luis Hernandez SS.   DOB:  12/13/2008.  B-R, T-R.  5' 10", 172 lbs.  

Consensus top international prospect from the 2026 cycleMLB Pipeline rates his tools 60 across the board except possibly arm which is a 50.  Considered advanced for his age.  Projectable frame.  Trained at the Carlos Guillen Academy in Venezuela.  Played in the Venezuela Major League at age 15 and hit .346 in 104 AB's.  Projects to a 30/30 player who can stick at short but the bat could play at any position.  Giants reportedly considering bringing him to the states for his first pro experience.  If he and Josuar Gonzalez are both playing in Arizona this spring, I might need to find a way to get over there and see what the fuss is about for myself, depending on my situation.

Wednesday, February 11, 2026

DrB's 2026 Giants Top 50 Prospects: #4 Bo Davidson

 4.  Bo Davidson OF.  DOB:  7/5/2002.  B-L, T- R.  6' 1", 205 lbs.  Rule 5 Eligible Dec. 2026.

2025(A+):  .309/.412/.507, 10 HR, 12 SB, 14.6 BB%, 22.1 K%, 335 PA.
2025(AA):  .234/.312/.401, 8 HR, 7 SB, 10.2 BB%, 24.1 K%, 187 PA.

Undrafted free agent from 2023 draft cycle Davidson gained national buzz has he raked his way through the Giants system.  While his BA took a step back after a late-season promotion to AA, his HR/PA went up It appears that result is due to a change in approach as his GB/FB went from 1.70 to 0.75 giving him more of a 3-true outcomes stat line.  I expect him to start 2026 back in AA and he'll try to break the Richmond/EL curse on hitting prospects.  I saw him play with A San Jose in 2024 and he certainly looks the part.  Impressive size and athleticism and barreled up everything.

Tuesday, February 10, 2026

Hot Stove League Update: Grading Buster

 Sup Dawgs!?  Amid a last minute flurry of Hot Stove League activity, including the announcement of Luis Arraez 2B signing a free agent contract with the Giants, Buster Posey commented to the beat writers that he is more on "listening" mode at this point than in pursuit mode.  Now, to his credit, Buster has not exactly been transparent about his Hot Stove League game plan so another under-the-radar move could happen if a last minute bargain presented itself but that can always happen. It seems like between Buster's comments and report day for pitchers and catchers we are reasonably safe to declare the 2025/2026 Hot Stove League complete and open it up to to snap grades.

Q:  What is your grade for Buster Posey and the Giants front office on the 2025/2026 Hot Stove League season?  

Monday, February 9, 2026

DrB's 2026 Giants Top 50 Prospects: #5 Jhonny Level

5.  Jhonny Level SS.  DOB:  3/29/2007.  B-S, T-R.  5' 10", 154 lbs.  Rule 5 Eligible Dec. 2028.

2025(ACL):  .288/.375/.493, 10 2B, 4 3B, 9 HR, 17 SB, 12.6 BB%, 15.3 K%, 261 PA.
2025(A):  .236/.333/.339, 3 HR, 4 SB, 11.6 BB%, 20.4 K%, 147 PA.

Jhonny Level did something top Giants international prospects have had trouble with:  He stayed healthy for his first two pro seasons.  Don't discount the importance of that.  Level is not big.  I have not seen him play in person but from videos, he does not look like he is 5' 10" or even close to it.  He does have a wiry strength and some quick-twitch athleticism which may overcome the size deficit.  It's his stat lines that have drawn attention from the scouting community showing a nice balance of contact, power, speed and plate discipline.  While his numbers slipped a bit after a late season promotion to A San Jose, he wasn't overmatched and now has a head start on his age 19 season.  I hope to see him play on an early road trip to SoCal.  

DrB's 2026 Giants Top 50 Prospects: #6 Gavin Kilen


6.  Gavin Kilen 2B.   DOB:  3/28/2004.  B-L, T-R.  5' 11", 187 lbs.  Rule 5 Eligible Dec. 2028.  
2025(College- Tennessee):  .357/.441/.671, 15 HR, 6 SB, 12.2 BB%, 11.0 K%, 245 PA.
2025(A):  .205/.279/.282, 7.0 BB%, 11.6 K%, 43 PA.

We have to accept this ranking for Kilen on some faith in his college record and draft position.  The numbers at A level are not good but it's a small sample and he was shut down early due to a nagging hammy injury.  Based on everything I've read, he's expected to be fully healthy this spring and that will be the true test whether he is at risk of becoming another in a long string of Giants disappointing first round draft picks.  I don't have any stats to back this up but if my memory serves me, the history of prospects who start their pro experience hurt and underperform is not encouraging.  Kilen's calling card is contact and hit tool. He basically has to hit close to .300 to have significant value.  He's been comped to Gavin Lux which would not be a terrible outcome.

Sunday, February 8, 2026

DrB's 2026 Giants Top 50 Prospects: #7 Keyner Martinez

7.  Keyner Martinez RHP.   DOB:  8/16/2004.  6' 1", 165 lbs.  Rule 5 Eligible Dec. 2026.

2025(ACL):  3-1, 1.90, 47.1 IP, 12.74 K/9, 1.90 BB/9, 1.28 GB/FB.
2025(A):  2-1, 2.86, 22 IP, 12.27 K/9, 4.50 BB/9, 1.65 GB/FB.  

When Baseball America says you have the best fastball and best slider in the organization, how can you not be the top pitching prospect?  Martinez was a "pop-up" pitching prospect in 2025, dominated two levels and enters 2026 with big expectations.  The only issue with him is the pesky Rule 5 Draft.  Since he was 19 years old when he signed in 2023 he is eligible after 4 years.  He did not pitch in 2023 but that still counted as a year of service time so he's eligible at the end of this season.  If he remains healthy and continues to show premium stuff, The Giants will have to burn a 40-man roster spot to protect him.  Not that it's never been done but the Giants in recent years have been loathe to spend a roster spot on prospects who are still 2-3 years away.  If the stuff is for real, they might want to be aggressive with him, push him to A+ with the goal of having him finish the season in at least AA.

Saturday, February 7, 2026

DrB's 2026 Giants Top 50 Prospects: #8 Jacob Bresnahan

8.  Jacob Bresnahan LHP.   DOB:  6/27/2005.  6' 4", 195 lbs.  Rule 5 Eligible Dec. 2027.

2025(A):  9-3, 2.61, 93 IP, 12.00 K/9, 4.16 BB/9.

Before I looked at Bresnahan's numbers and MLB Pipeline scouting report, I didn't think I would rank him this high.  I saw him pitch against Rancho Cucamonga early in the season and wasn't that impressed with his stuff and the first 6 weeks of his season were rough.  Through his first 3 starts his line stood at 0-1, 8.18, 11 IP, 8 BB, 12 K.  I think I saw him in the third game of that stretch.  The rest of the season he went 9-2, 1.85, 82.2 IP, 12.19 K/9, 2.81 BB/9 which is elite and at just his age 19 season.  

His MLB Pipeline scouting report has his FB 91-94 MPH topping out at 96.  I think the game I saw him he was at the lower end of that range.  Presumably he either gained command or built his velocity as teh season progressed.  His best secondary pitch is a fading changeup and also has a sweeping slider.  

He's a big kid who still has room to fill out his frame and get stronger.  He should start out 2026 in A+ ball with a chance to move up to AA before the season is over.  Starting to get some national recognition as a nice prospect but still qualifies as a sleeper with a lot of upside and a high ceiling.

Friday, February 6, 2026

Hot Stove League Update: Spring Invites Reveal Under Radar Move

The Giants revealed their list of non-roster spring training invitations.  There weren't a lot of surprises but a name that is causing some buzz is Michael Fulmer RHP.  Once upon a time, Fulmer was one of the best young pitchers in the game for the Tigers before his career got derailed by a series of injuries.  He made a  comeback as a reliever for the Cubs in 2023 but then missed the entire 2024 season after a revision of his previous Tommy John surgery.  He rehabbed his way through AAA stops with 4 different organizations in 2025 but appeared in just 3 MLB games between the Cubs and Red Sox.  Let's break it down:

Michael Fulmer RHP.  DOB:  3/15/1993.  6' 3", 224 lbs. 

2023(Cubs):  3-5, 4.42, 57 IP, 10.26 K/9, 4.42 BB/9, 2 Saves, 94.3 vFA.
2025(AAA-4 teams):  1-3, 3.39, 66.1 IP, 11.67 K/9, 3.93 BB/9, 5 Saves.
2025(MLB- Cubs, Red Sox):  0-0, 4.76, 5.2 IP, 4.76 K/9, 3.18 BB/9, 93.5 vFA.  

While the K/BB at the MLB level is not great, it's an extremely small sample and the AAA numbers look much better.  The FB is is a couple of ticks down from the 96 MPH at his peak but is also not terrible. 2026 will be his second season back from surgery which sometimes correlates with an uptick in performance.  You don't have to squint too hard to see Fulmer making the Opening Day roster out of the bullpen and even taking on some Save Opps during the season.

DrB's 2026 Giants Top 50 Prospects: #9 Trevor McDonald


9. Trevor McDonald RHP.  DOB:  2/26/2001.  6' 2", 201 lbs.  40-Man Roster, 1 Option.

2025(AAA):  9-9, 5.31, 142.1 IP, 9.11 K/9, 3.92 BB/9, 2.03 GB/FB.
2025(MLB):  1-0, 1.80, 15 IP,  8.40 K/9, 1.20 BB/9, 2.30 GB/FB.  

I really liked McDonald as a pitching prospect since I saw him pitch in A ball.  He finally made it to The Show late last season and opened a few eyes in the process allowing just 1 ER in 13 IP over his final two games and striking out 10 in his final start.  His ground ball rates are elite.   His pitch mix includes a 93-94 MPH sinker which he threw 40% and a tight, hard curveball which he threw 50%.  Fangraphs also has him throwing a changeup and slider about 5% each.  The changeup was his least effective pitch.  Looking back in my mind's eye, I swear I saw a changeup that had the makings of a plus pitch.  Delivering that more often would seem to be the best path to a full SP pitch mix.  

At this point, Landen Roupp looks like the presumptive 5'th starter in the rotation but it's highly likely the Giants will need more than 5 SP's over the course of the season and McDonald should be an early option when more are needed.

Thursday, February 5, 2026

DrB's 2026 Giants Top 50 Prospects: #10 Carson Seymour

10.  Carson Seymour RHP.  DOB:  12/16/1998.  6' 6", 255 lbs.  40-man roster, 2 Options.

2025(AAA):  4-8, 3.86, 77 IP, 10.52 K/9, 4.56 BB/9, 2.45 GB/FB.
2025(MLB):  1-3, 4.75, 36 IP, 6.50 K/9, 3.25 BB/9, 1.54 GB/FB.

Seymour may have been on the active roster more than 45 days but he has less than 50 IP.  Nobody is talking about him and I'm not sure why because he did not pitch badly last season either in AAA or MLB.  He features a 5 pitch mix anchored by both a 4-seam and 2-seam FB.  He also throws a slider, curveball and change up.  Where he ran into trouble was hanging breaking pitches which resulted in too many HR's.  He finished strong giving up 1 ER over his last 5 IP.  He's a guy who can pitch in a swing man role  and go multiple innings in relief and thrives by putting the ball on the ground.

Wednesday, February 4, 2026

DrB's 2026 Giants Top 50 Prospects: #11 Blade Tidwell

 11.  Blade Tidwell RHP.  DOB:  6/8/2001.  6' 4", 207 lbs.  40-man roster, 2 Options.

2025(AAA- Mets):  6-4, 4.10, 79 IP, 9.91 K/9, 3.65 BB/9.  
2025(AAA-Giants):  0-0, 1.50, 18 IP, 12.00 K/9, 2.50 BB/9.
2025(MLB- Mets):  1-1, 9.00, 15 IP, 6.00 K/9, 6.00 BB/9.

Tidwell is a former 2'nd round draft pick for the Mets out of Tennessee and acquired by the Giants in the Tyler Rogers trade.  It does seem like it might be more than coincidence the Giants have acquired several ex-Tennessee players leading up to Tony Vitello's hiring.  He's a big, hard-throwing RHP with two pitches:  4-seam FB that averaged almost 96 MPH and a slider.  He throws in a 2-seam FB which he throws under 20% of the time.  He pitched great in 3 appearances after the trade but then went on the IL with shoulder discomfort for a month.  He reportedly did not have structural damage.  He made one 2-inning start on 9/17 near the end of the season.  He is expected to be ready for spring training.  He has been used mainly as a SP in the minors but his pitch mix looks more relieverish unless he can add a changeup or split.

Tuesday, February 3, 2026

DrB's 2026 Giants Top 50 Prospects: #12 Carson Whisenhunt

12.  Carson Whisenhunt LHP.  DOB:  10/20/2000.  6' 3", 214 lbs.  40-man roster, 3 Options.

2025(AAA):  9-5, 4.43, 107.2 IP, 7.94 K/9, 2.93 BB/9, 1.40 GB/FB.
2025(MLB):  2-1, 5.01, 23.1 IP, 6.17 K/9, 4.63 BB/9, 1.07 GB/FB.

The Whiz is basically a 2-pitch pitcher.  He has a sinking fastball that averaged 92.6 MPH and a changeup that has been rated as a 70 on the scouting scale.  He threw a slider just 14% of the time in his small MLB sample.  During his MLB stint I saw some really good pitches but he battled inconsistency.  It's hard to set up the changeup if you don't command the fastball and he needs to throw the slider more, especially to lefty batters.  I would think he starts out 2026 in AAA Sacramento to work on those items.  

Regarding the changeup, the best changeup I ever saw was Noah Lowry's.  I might have seen one or two of Whisenhunt's changeups that compare favorably to Lowry's but again, most of them didn't and he needs to find more consistency.

Monday, February 2, 2026

DrB's 2026 Giants Top 50 Prospects: #13 Drew Gilbert

13.  Drew Gilbert OF.  DOB:  9/27/2000.  B- L, T- L.  5' 9", 195 lbs.  40-man Roster, 3 Options.

2025(AAA- Mets):  .243/.347/.430, 17 2B, 2 3B, 12 HR, 4 SB, 11.4 BB%, 16.6 K%, 361 PA.
2025(AAA- Giants):  .500/.650/.857, 2B, 2 3B, 2 SB, 30.0 BB%, 15.0 K%, 20 PA.
2025(MLB- Giants):  .190/.248/.350, 5 2B, 3B, 3 HR, 6.4 BB%, 18.3 K%, 109 PA.

Drew Gilbert is a classic old-school high-energy, top-of-the-order, hustling over-achiever type player who often has nicknames like Nails, Mad Dog, Scrappy.  Howard Cosell would call him a "pepper pot."  Former #28 overall draft pick out of Tony Vitello's shop at Tennessee.  Although the BA was unimpressive in his first, the secondary numbers were actually quite good and he was a plus defender who appeared at all 3 OF positions, mostly RF.  Strong opportunity to emerge from spring training as the 4'th OF on the Opening Day roster unless the Giants think he still needs daily PA's to further develop his hitting.

Sunday, February 1, 2026

DrB's 2026 Giants Top 50 Prospects: #14 Jesus Rodriguez


14.  Jesus Rodriguez C/3B.  DOB:  4/23/2002.  B-R, T-R.  5' 10", 208 lbs.  40-man Roster, 2 Options.

2025(AAA- Yankees):  .317/.409/.430, 14 2B, 3 3B, 5 HR, 16 SB, 12.7 BB%, 15.2 K%, 362 PA.
2025(AAA- Giants):  .322/.399/.401, 6 2B, 2 HR, 4 SB, 10.4 BB%, 9.8 K%, 173 PA.

 Elite contact hitter with plate discipline, a relatively rare combination.  Main negatives are a lack of power and questionable catching skills.  It appears the Giants think he can be a catcher. It appeared he might have a shot at back up catcher in 2026 until they acquired Daniel Susac and Eric Haase.  It now appears the plan is to give Rodriguez more reps behind the plate in AAA to polish up his defensive skills.  If he can improve there his hitting skills should give him a solid MLB career.

Hot Stove League Update: Giants Sign Luis Arraez

 The Giants have kept the hot stove stoked late into the season.  We can all hope they have a comparable stretch run in the 2026 MLB season.  They moved closer to the all-important CBT threshold with yet another "value" signing as Buster's strategy of signing multiple lower cost players over one or two big-ticket targets comes into clearer focus.  This time it was the man with the shiny batting average, Luis Arraez for 1 yr/$12 M.  A second baseman by trade, Arraez had trouble finding innings at the position over the last two seasons and was openly looking for a team who would play him there.  The Giants reportedly are that team.  Let's break it down:

Luis Arraez 1B/2B.  DOB:  4/9/1997.  B-L, T-R.  5' 10", 175 lbs.  

2025(Padres):  .292/.327/.392, 30 2B, 4 3B, 8 HR, 11 SB, 5.0 BB%, 3.1 K%, 675 PA.  

Arraez is an elite contact hitter who almost never strikes out.  That is the type of hitter Buster Posey said he thinks fits the Giants home ballpark.  He's like a throwback to Pete Rose with two seasons of 200 or more hits.  The two raps on him are that he's an empty batting average and he is a poor defender.  His defensive metrics are a bit mixed as he looks worse by Outs Above Average(OAA) than by Fangraphs Ultimate Zone Rating(UZR).  Arraez reports he worked out with a defensive coach at the 2B position over the winter.  He is reported to have one of the slowest foot speeds in all of MLB but he somehow still managed to steal 11 bases.

From a hitting standpoint I like the signing.  I saw so many situations over the past few years where a base hit would drive in at least one and possibly two runs only to see the batter strike out of pop up and end the threat.  If he can be coached up to play a passable 2B then it's a great fit and the price is right.  Arraez' profile reminds me of Melky CabreraMelky didn't work out in the end due to off-field issues but it sure was a fun ride while it lasted.  Arraez does create a tough situation for Casey Schmitt and Christian Koss as there now may not be room on the active roster for both as utility infielders although there could still be some PA's at DH if the Giants decide Bryce Eldridge needs some more seasoning in AAA.

Here is a list of Giants free agent signings for this year's Hot Stove League season:

Sam Hentges LHP:  1 yr/$1.4 M

Jason Foley RHP:  1 yr/$2 M

Adrian Houser RHP: 2 yr/$22 M

Tyler Mahle RHP:  1 yr/$10 M

Harrison Bader OF:  2 yr/$20.5 M

Luis Arraez 2B/1B/DH:  1 yr/$12 M

Total additional 2026 Salary(AAV):  $47 M.  

The Arraez signing bumps their CBT number to about $228 M which is about $16 M below the threshold.  

We can argue endlessly about whether the Giants ownership should be willing to spend above the CBT threshold but there are non-financial reasons why they shouldn't.  We can also disagree with how Buster chose to spend the money but he did spend it and got 6 players who should each upgrade their respective positions.  To my eye it looks like a successful Hot Stove League season.  I will be surprised if they make any more major signings which would put them over the CBT threshold.  Now watch Buster sign Framber Valdez and prove all of us wrong about how much Giants ownership is willing to spend.

Saturday, January 31, 2026

Hot Stove League Update: Giants Trade Kai-Wei Teng

The Giants needed a spot on the 40-man roster to make room for Harrison Bader OF.  Rather than DFA a fringe player, they acted pre-emptively and traded Kai-Wei Teng RHP to the Astros for Jancel Villarroel C and maybe more importantly, more international bonus space.  Let's break it down:

Kai-Wei Teng RHP.  DOB:  12/1/1998.  6' 4", 241 lbs.  40-man roster, 2 Options.

2025(AAA):  3-2, 3.63, 57 IP, 14.05 K/9, 3.47 BB/9, 1.42 GB/FB.
2025(MLB):  2-4, 6.37, 29.2 IP, 11.83 K/9, 5.18 BB/9, 0.97 GB/FB. 

Teng was acquired in 2019 for Sam Dyson.  He's worked his way up the Giants minor league system with mixed results.  At times he put up dominant K rates and other times his ERA ballooned due to command issues.  He logged some time at the MLB level last season and made some really impressive pitches but was again plagued by inconsistent command and a large ERA.  It's a bit sad to see him traded but the Giants have a logjam of AAA/MLB pitchers and Teng was probably the most logical to go.  He also might have been they could get more for him than other pitchers and the extra international bonus money in addition to a non-40-man roster prospect is not a trivial return.

Jancel Villarroel C.  DOB:  1/17/2005.  B-R, T-R.  5' 8", 176 lbs.  Rule 5 Eligible Dec. 2027.

2025(A):  .258/.360/.385, 6 HR, 20 SB, 11.3 BB%, 17.2 K%, 372 PA.
2025(A+):  .263/.295/.404, 2 HR, 4.9 BB%, 21.3 K%, 61 PA.

Compact catching prospect with strong hit and power tools.  Reportedly has a strong throwing arm but still needs work on his all-around catching game.  Got his feet wet in A+ ball at the end of last season so that is where he will probably start 2026.  With Drew Cavanaugh moving up the Giants have room at the A+ level for a catching prospect.

International Bonus Pool Room:  It's my understanding that no actual money changes hands in these deals, rather the receiving team gets more room to spend their own money on international prospect signings.  I really like this part of the deal for the Giants as it shows they still prioritize the international market in the Buster Posey era.

Summary:  It's a bit sad to see Teng traded but the Giants have a logjam of AAA/MLB pitchers and he was probably the most logical to go and they got a legitimate catching prospect with 2 years before Rule 5 eligibilty which is a plus.  He also might have been they could get more for him than other pitchers and the extra international bonus money in addition to a non-40-man roster prospect is not a trivial return.

Friday, January 30, 2026

DrB's 2026 Giants Top 50 Prospects: #15 Daniel Susac

15.  Daniel Susac C.  DOB:  5/142001.  B-R, T-R.  6' 4", 218 lbs.  40-man roster, no options(Rule 5 Draftee via trade).

2025(AAA-Athletics):  .275/.349/.483, 18 HR, 7 SB, 8.6 BB%, 26.8 K%, 407 PA.

Susac is the younger brother of Forever Giant, Andrew Susac.  He was drafted #19 overall by the A's in 2022 and worked his way through their system.  They did not add him to their 40-man roster to protect him from the Rule 5 draft, probably because they have a plethora of young catchers in the organization.  He was selected by the Twins who then traded him to the Giants for a very young catching prospect, Miguel Caraballo, plus cash.  

Why all that is important is Susac has to stay on the 26-man active roster all season or be offered back to the A's in accordance with Rule 5 rules.  It doesn't seem to make a lot of sense to give up even a very young prospect for Susac if there is not a strong intention of keeping him all season.  Where the story gets complicated is the Giants also singed veteran catcher, Eric Haase, to a minor league contract with a MLB salary contingent on him making the active roster out of spring training.  He has an opt out so the Giants are not going to be able to keep both.  Haase has a reputation as a poor defensive catcher and has battled some injuries so this all has an eery Tom Murphy vibe to it. 

With a full AAA season under his belt, Susac should be as ready as he'll ever be and looks like the type of asset the Giants would want to keep in the organization.  It's just that back up catcher is an extremely tough gig for him to try to find traction on a MLB career.

Thursday, January 29, 2026

DrB's 2025 Giants Top 50 Prospects: #16 Parks Harber


16.  Parks Harber 1B/3B.  DOB:  9/25/2001.  B-R, T-R.  6' 3", 225 lbs.  Rule 5 Eligible Dec. 2027.

2025(A- Yankees):  .304/.422/.551, 3 HR, 4 SB, 14.5 BB%, 26.5 K%, 83 PA.  
2025(A+- Yankees):  .326/.395/.489, 3 HR, 2 SB, 10.5 BB%, 23.0 K%, 152 PA.
2025(A+- Giants):  .333/.454/.644, 7 HR, 14.8 BB%, 20.4 K%, 108 PA.
2025(AFL):  .383/.513/.683, 3 HR, SB, 18.4 BB%, 26.3 K%, 76 PA.

Harber was signed as an undrafted free agent by the Yankees in 2024.  He went undrafted despite hitting 54 home runs in 206 college games.  He's raked everywhere he's played.  The rap on him is defensive limitation due to slow foot speed and lack or arm strength which may limit him to 1B at higher levels.  He did play some innings in RF in the minors and AFL last year.  Perhaps he could be playable in LF?  He should move up to AA in 2026 which is always a challenge for hitters.  I will be following his batting lines with interest.

Wednesday, January 28, 2026

Armchair GM: Does Buster Have One Last Move?

Per Cot's Contracts website, the signing of Harrison Bader leaves the Giants approximately $26 M under the CBT threshold.  For the sake of this discussion, Buster Posey is willing to use half of that to sign at least one more player while leaving a bit of room for midseason upgrades.  

Question:  What position do you upgrade with that $13 M?  Here are the choices:

Second Base

DH

Starting Rotation

Bullpen

None, keep your powder dry for a bigger midseason move

*Warning:  Rants about ownership not spending enough will not be posted.

DrB's 2026 Giants Top 50 Prospects: #17 Carlos Gutierrez

17.  Carlos Gutierrez OF.  DOB:  8/22/2004.  B-L, T-R, 5' 10", 174 lbs.  Rule 5 Eligible Dec. 2027.

2025(A):  .351/.445/.452, 11 2B, 4 3B, 2 HR, 26 SB, 12.6 BB%, 13.4 K%, 293 PA.

The numbers speak for themselves.  I saw Gutierrez play for the San Jose Giants last season.  He was easily the best, most athletic looking player on the field.  Unfortunately his season was cut short by a lower back injury and 2025 was not the first season he's missed significant time with injury.  If he can stay healthy, and that's a big if, he could be a breakout prospect in 2026, maybe even into top 100 status.

Tuesday, January 27, 2026

DrB's 2026 Giants Top 50 Prospects: #18 Dakota Jordan

18.  Dakota Jordan OF.  DOB:  5/9/2003.  B-R, T-R.  6' 0", 220 lbs.  Rule 5 Eligible Dec. 2027.

2025(A):  .311/.377/.497, 15 2B, 6 3B, 14 HR, 27 SB, 8.9 BB%, 22.8 K%, 416 PA.

Dakota Jordan is an extraordinarily physical player.  He looks more like a football linebacker or running back than a baseball player.  Another way to describe him would be a bulked up version of Heliot Ramos.  The Giants drafted him in round 4 2024 draft on the strength of his raw power/speed tool kit.  The big question was the hit tool.  The 2025 season quieted those concerns but I point out A ball is very conservative placement for a 4'th round college draftee.  I am not sure why he wasn't promoted to A+ after a strong first half.  Perhaps he might have been promoted late but he suffered an oblique strain which he aggravated when he tried to return.  

I have him ranked lower as a prospect based on strength of competition and concerns that the football type physicality might not translate well to baseball.  I will add that Jordan is another example of how the Rule 5 Draft rules need to be adjusted to the reality of the later draft date.  He burned up a year of service time toward eligibility in 2024 despite recording just 7 PA's. As a fan of both the player and the team, I find that frustrating.

Monday, January 26, 2026

Hot Stove League Update: Giants Sign Harrison Bader

 One of the Giants goals going into the Hot Stove League was to upgrade their outfield defense.  Over the course of the winter they made some minor acquisitions of Justin Dean and Joey Wiemer who were definitely defensive upgrades but probably not upgrades of overall value due to terrible hitting numbers.  Those guys are long gone and the Giants finally got their upgrade and at a reasonable price.

Harrison Bader OF.  DOB:  6/3/1994.  B-R, T-R.  5' 11", 210 lbs.  2 yr/$20.5 M(+ $500 K in incentives)

2025(Twins/Phillies):  .277/.347/.449, 17 HR, 11 SB, 7.8 BB%, 27.1 K%, 3.2 fWAR.

Bader is coming off the second best season of his career the best being all the way back to 2018.  He had a comparable season in 2021 but a weak bat held him back in the intervening years.  He is a plus defensive CF which the Giants desperately needed. I am sure they will take whatever he can give at the plate.  The other part of this equation is Jung Hoo Lee.  It makes no sense to sign Bader if moving Jung Hoo to RF is not part of the plan.  I assume he was duly informed of this reality at the appropriate time.  Lee has limited range but a strong throwing arm so RF should be a good fit for him.  If he continues to make contact, use all fields and get on base as opposed to trying for Splash Hits, he can be a strong contributor and Bader will improve at least 2 OF positions by his mere presence.  Nice pickup for a reasonable price by the Buster/Zach tandem.

DrB's 2026 Giants Top 50 Prospects: #19 Argenis Cayama

19.  Argenis Cayama RHP.  DOB:  9/15/2006.  6' 1", 180 lbs.  Rule 5 Eligible Dec. 2028.

2025(ACL):  1-1, 2.25, 48 IP, 10.31 K/9, 3.38 BB/9, 3.32 GB/FB.
2025(A):  1-0, 8.16, 14.1 IP, 4.40 K/9, 6.28 BB/9, 2.69 GB/FB. 

Cayama is drawing some national buzz with MLB Pipeline rating him the Giants #9 prospect.  Put up elite numbers in the ACL before a late season stumble after promotion to A San JoseCayama is praised for an advanced feel for pitching.  He leads with both 4 and 2 seam fastballs which range from 92-97 MPH, a tight slider and a promising changeup.  Even after his promotion he maintained elite groundball rates.  He should be assigned to A San Jose to start 2026 and will try to master that level at age 19.

Saturday, January 24, 2026

DrB's 2026 Giants Top 50 Prospects: #20 Luis De La Torre

20.  Luis De La Torre LHP.  DOB:  9/6/2003.  6' 0", 188 lbs.  Rule 5 Eligible Dec. 2026.

2025(ACL):  2-1, 3.72, 38.2 IP, 14.43 K/9, 3.72 BB/9, 0.95 GB/FB.
2025(A):  2-2, 1.77, 35.2 IP, 11.86 K/9, 2.78 BB/9, 2.16 GB/FB.  

MLB Pipeline scouting report says FB sits 94-96 MPH, touches 98.  Slider is a plus pitch at times.  Changeup a work in progress.  I saw him pitch in San Bernardino and was impressed with his pitch mix and command.  Not sure why his groundball rate jumped after promotion to San Jose.  Maybe the coaches there were able to add a 2-seam sinker?  Should move up to A+ with a chance to advance to AA during the season.  Will likely need to be added to 40-man roster after the season to protect him from the Rule 5 Draft.  Starting to generate some national buzz but still a sleeper/breakout prospect in the system.

Friday, January 23, 2026

DrB's 2026 Giants Top 50 Prospects: #21 Carlos De La Rosa

21.  Carlos De La Rosa LHP.  DOB:  11/30/2007.  5' 11", 178 lbs.  Rule 5 Eligible Dec. 2029.

2025(DSL- Yankees):  0-1, 5.32, 22 IP, 14.73 K/9, 2.05 BB/9, 2.17 FIP.
2025(DSL- Giants):  0-0, 3.48, 10.1 IP, 13.06 K/9, 3.48 BB/9, 2.58 FIP.

Acquired from the Yankees in the Camilo Doval trade.  Signed by the Yankees in the 2025 international class with a bonus of $400 K.  MLB Pipeline scouting report says FB 92-96 MPH, 2 types of slider and a changeup.  A little undersized for a MLB pitcher but delivery is relatively low effort.  Should be able to develop pitch mix into a MLB starter role.

Hot Stove League Update: Rangers Trade for Mackenzie Gore

 The Rangers pulled off what might be the biggest trade of this year's Hot Stove League by acquiring  much-discussed target, Mackenzie Gore LHP, from the Nationals for 5 prospects.  Let's break it down:

Rangers Get:

Mackenzie Gore LHP.  DOB:  2/24/1999.  6' 2", 193 lbs.  Arbitration Eligible.  Free Agent 2028.

2025(Nationals):  5-15, 4.17, 159.2 IP, 10.43 K/9, 3.61 BB/9, 0.91 GB/FB.  

Gore has long been projected to be a future ace but he's now 4 seasons into a MLB career and has a career ERA over 4. What has he done to earn that acclaim.  He has impressive stuff and some interesting peripheral numbers but he is a flyball pitcher with inconsistent command who is susceptible to gofer balls.  Rangers have 2 years to see if he turns into an ace but they gave up a haul to get him.

Nationals Get:

Gavin Fien SS.  DOB:  3/8/2007.  B-R, T-R.  6' 3", 200 lbs.  Rule 5 Eligible Dec. 2029.

2025(A):  .220/.267/.341, SB, 6.7 BB%,  24.4 K%, 45 PA.

Rangers first round draft pick in 2025 out of HS, #12 overall.  Big for a SS and will probably eventually move to 3B.  Scouting report has power over hit.  A ball is an aggressive placement for a newly drafted HS player but Fien has a long way to go before he us MLB ready.

Alejandro Rosario RHP.  DOB:  1/6/2000.  6' 1", 182 lbs.  Rule 5 Eligible Dec. 2026.

2024(A):  2-3, 2.11, 47 IP, 13.21 K/9, 0.96 BB/9, 2.42 GB/FB.
2024(A+):  2-2, 2.24, 41.1 IP, 13.14 K/9, 1.74 BB/9, 1.38 GB/FB.

Drafted in 5'th round 2023 out of college(Miami) had a tremendous 2024 season but missed all of 2025 with an elbow injury(presumably UCL and Tommy John surgery).  

Abimelec Ortiz 1B/OF.  DOB:  2/22/2002.  B-L, T-L.  5' 10", 230 lbs.  MLB Roster, 3 Options.

2025(AA):  .247/.343/.444, 16 HR, 3 SB, 11.3 BB%, 22.3 K%, 391 PA.
2025((AAA):  .283/.388/.565, 9 HR, SB, 12.7 BB%, 21.8 K%, 165 PA.

Power is only plus tool.  Probably limited to 1B/DH.

Devin Fitz-Gerald IF.  DOB:  8/17/2005.  B-S, T-R.  5' 10", 185 lbs.  Rule 5 Eligible Dec. 2028.

2025(ACL):  .318/.423/.542, 6 HR, 5 SB, 13.1 BB%, 11.5 K%, 130 PA.
2025(A):  .250/.442/.281, 3 SB, 25.6 BB%, 20.9 K%, 43 PA.

5'th round draft pick out of HS in 2024.  Average to above-average tools across the board.  Nice start to pro career in 2025.

Yeremy Cabrera OF.  DOB:  7/2/2005.  B-L, T-L, 5' 11", 155 lbs.  Rule 5 Eligible Dec. 2026.

2025(A):  .256/.364/.366, 8 HR, 43 SB, 11.5 BB%, 19.1 K%, 451 PA.  

Speed is best tool. Can get to the ball in the OF.  Some pop in the bat.

CommentGore was arguably the top trade target of this year's Hot Stove League but on-field production lags behind the hype.  Nationals get a nice haul of prospects although none are a lock to ever be impact players at the MLB level.  Comparable package for Giants would have started with Gavin Kilen.

Thursday, January 22, 2026

DrB's 2026 Giants Top 50 Prospects: #22 Yunior Marte

22.  Yunior Marte RHP.   DOB:  8/9/2003.  6' 5", 210 lbs.  Rule 5 Eligible Dec. 2026.

2025(A-Royals):  3-5, 2.74, 82 IP, 8.67 K/9, 2.20 BB/9.
2025(A-Giants):  0-0, 3.60, 20 IP, 7.65 K/9, 4.05 BB/9.

This is not Forever Giant Yunior Marte RHP from a couple of years ago.  This a younger, stronger version of the same name.  Acquired at the trading deadline for Mike Yastrzemski.  2025 was a significant improvement on prior seasons.  Mid-90's FB, sharp slider that may be his best pitch, working on a split change.  Used mostly as a starter up to this point.  Whether he continues that track probably depends on developing the third pitch and maintaining improved command.  More likely he ends up as a bullpen armm which those guys have value too.

Hot Stove League Update: Bellinger Resigns With Yanks; Mets Trade For Peralta

The Yankees broke their reported impasse with Cody Bellinger to resign him for an overall 5 yr/$162.5 M contract.  Now, on the surface that does not sound like a terrible deal for the Yankees but this contract is heavily front-loaded with a $20 M signing bonus and $32.5 M/yr for the first two years of the contract.  That goes down to $25.8  M in years 3 and 4 and $25.9 M in year 5, BUT Bellinger has opt-outs after years 2 and 3.  So it's very possible that this ends up as a 2 yr/$85 M contract which I guess is not terrible considering the contract Bo Bichette just signed but holy moly!  And if Bellinger does not opt out after 2 years, it's probably even worse for the Yanks. 

Bellinger is coming off his best season since his 7.8 fWAR 2019 season, but it appears he was helped considerably by the short right field porch in Yankee Stadium as he had a wide Home/Road split.  That alone probably made him a less than ideal fit for the Giants whose home ballpark is notoriously unfriendly to LH hitters.  It is doubtful he would have considered signing with the Giants at any price. 

The Mets continued their frantic offseason by trading for ace RHP Freddy Peralta from the Brewers.  The Mets also receive Tobias Myers RHP and the Brewers get Jett Williams IF/OF and Brandon Sproat RHP.  Let's break it down:

Mets Get:  

Freddy Peralta RHP.  DOB:  6/4/1996.  6' 0", 198 lbs.  Under Contract for 1 yr/$8 M.  Free Agent 2027.

2025(Brewers):  17-6, 2.70, 176.2 IP, 10.39 K/9, 3.36 BB/9, 3.64 FIP.  

Tobias Myers RHP.  DOB:  8/5/1998.  6' 1", 223 lbs.  Arb Eligible 2027, Free Agent 2031.

2025(AAA):  2-5, 3.77, 59.2 IP, 8.30 K/9, 2.56 BB/9.  
2025(MLB):  1-2, 3.55, 50.2 IP, 6.75 K/9, 2.66 BB/9.  

Brewers Get:

Jett Williams IF/OF.  DOB:  11/3/2003.  B-R, T-R.  5' 7", 175 lbs.  Rule 5 Eligible Dec. 2026.

2025(AA):  .281/.390/.477, 10 HR, 32 SB, 14.7 BB%, 22.8 K%, 421 PA.
2025(AAA):  .261/.363/.465, 7 HR, 2 SB, 9.3 BB%, 23.2 K%, 151 PA.

Brandon Sproat RHP.  DOB:  9/17/2000.  6' 3", 215 lbs.  Pre-Arbitration, 3 Options.  

2025(AAA):  8-6, 4.24, 121 IP, 8.40 K/9, 3.94 BB/9, 1.87 GB/FB.
2025(MLB):  0-2, 4.79, 20.2 IP, 7.40 K/9, 3.05 BB/9, 2.00 GB/FB.

This would have been a strong trade for the Mets if it was just Freddy Peralta for Williams and Sproat but adding Myers is a tremendous steal.  They got at least 6 low-cost pitcher-years for a couple of third tier prospects.  This is one might be a missed opportunity for Buster

Wednesday, January 21, 2026

DrB's 2026 Giants Top 50 Prospects: #23 Trevor Cohen

23.  Trevor Cohen OF.  DOB:  10/29/20003.  B-L, T-L.  6' 1", 195 lbs.  Rule 5 Eligible Dec. 2028.

2025(College- Rutgers):  .387/.460/.523, 24 2B, 2 HR, 19 SB, 11.0 BB%, 5.5 K%, 273 PA.
2025(A):  .327/.438/.402, 3 2B, HR, 8 SB,  15.4 BB%, 11.5 K%, 130 PA.

Giants 3'rd round draft pick in 2025(their second pick due to signing Willy Adames).  Cohen was so lightly regarded in predraft evaluation MLB Pipeline did not rank him in their top 250 draft prospects despite elite contact numbers at Rutgers.  He is a 3-tool player with Hit, Run, Field but power and arm strength lag.  The main rap on him is an extreme groundball tendency which probably helps his BABIP but leaves him with almost no power.  Can he improve on those without tanking his hit tool?  If he can there may be a MLB career in his future.  

Hot Stove League Update: Mets Trade For Luis Robert Jr.

 The long-awaited and much discussed Luis Robert Jr. trade finally went down yesterday with the enigmatic outfielder going to the Mets for a couple of prospects.  Let's break it down:

Mets Get:

Luis Robert Jr. OF.  DOB:  8/3/1997.  B-R, T-R.  6' 2", 225 lbs.  Under Contract 7 yr/$68 M(2020-2026), Club Option for 2027.

2025(White Sox):  .223/.297/.364, 14 HR, 33 SB, 9.3 BB%, 26.0 K%, 431 PA, 1.3 fWAR.

Robert has always had the tools to be a superstar.  He looked like he was headed for superstar territory in 2023 with a line of .264/.315/.542, 38 HR, 20 SB, 4.9 fWAR.  He has struggled with a string of injuries and poor performance since.  The Mets are taking a flyer on him staying healthy and benefitting from a change of scenery.  

White Sox Get:

Luisangel Acuna 2B.  DOB:  3/12/2002.  B-R, T-R.  5' 8", 181 lbs.  Arb Eligible 2029, Free Agent 2032.  

2025(AAA):  .303/.347/.385, 8 SB, 7.4 BB%, 15.6 K%, 122 PA.  
2025(MLB):  .234/.293/.274, 16 SB, 6.7 BB%, 19/2 K%, 193 PA, 0.4 fWAR.

Luisangel is the younger brother of Ronald Jr so the pedigree is there.  Speed/defense guy who might not have enough stick for 2B at the MLB level but can also play SS and CF.  Should find playing time with a rebuilding White Sox team.

Truman Pauley RHP.  DOB:  12/26/2003.  6' 2", 200 lbs.  Rule 5 Eligible Dec. 2028.

2025(College- Harvard):  4-6, 4.61, 70.1 IP, 11.64 K/9, 6.14 BB/9. 
2025(A):  0-0, 2.08, 4.1 IP, 6.23 K/9, 8/31 BB/9, 

12'th round draft pick by Mets in 2025.  Will have to improve his control/command to succeed in pro baseball.

Comment:  White Sox end up selling low on Robert Jr.  Mets didn't give up much in players and are free-spenders so don't mind the financial risk of what's left on his contract. The upside is obvious.