Friday, July 10, 2015

Thoughts on the 2005 Draft

The 2005 MLB Amateur draft is by now legendary for producing more superstars than any other draft in recent memory.  In terms of talent production, I am not sure if it ranks #1 in the history of the draft, but it has to be top 3.  I don't think any draft since has been productive.  What rankles many Giants fans is that their team had no first round picks in that draft.  In fact, they had no 2'nd or 3'rd round picks either.  Brian Sabean and Giants ownership was desperately trying to win one for Barry and their top 3 picks in the 2005 draft were sacrificed for dubious veteran FA's who ultimately failed to deliver on the dream of a championship in the Barry Bonds era.

I have to say that I have mostly tried to ignore articles about the 2005 draft.  First of all, I figure they are too painful to read and secondly, the Giants have won 3 championships since then, so it's all water under the bridge anyway.  This year marks the 10'th anniversary of that legendary draft and a flurry of articles looking back at it are out there for reading.  A few days ago, I reluctantly clicked on one such article about how the 2005 draft would go if you redrafted it knowing what you know about the players now.  As I scrolled down the list of superstars, Andrew McCutchen, Troy Tulowitzki, Justin Upton and many more, I got more and more disgusted, until I came to #23 and the name was Sergio Romo.  Wait, what?  Sergio Romo would be the #23 pick in the legendary, stupendous 2005 draft if it was held today?  There are 30 picks in the first round, right?  That means that at least one author thinks the Giants got first round value in that draft and then some!  That is not exactly the disaster we've been led to believe all these years.

That got me to thinking about where the Giants would have drafted in the first round had they owned a selection and what players they might have gotten.  First, I looked up the final 2004 MLB Standings which determine draft order.  The Giants tied with the A's for the 9'th best record in baseball which means they would have drafted either #21 or #22.  Well, that would put them out of the running for the big names I mentioned above.  Next, I looked up BA's Draft Database for 2005.  Here is a list of 2005 first round draft picks in order of career fWAR up to this point, along with their draft position:

1. Andrew McCutchen, 11'th pick, 37.8.
2. Troy Tulowitzki, 7'th pick, 34.4.
3. Ryan Braun, 5'th pick, 34.1.
4. Ryan Zimmerman, 4'th pick, 33.4.
5. Alex Gordon, 2'nd pick, 29.9.
6. Jacoby Ellsbury, 23'rd pick, 28.8.
7. Justin Upton, 1'st pick, 24.9.
8. Matt Garza, 25'th pick, 20.7.
9. Jay Bruce, 12'th pick, 17.8.
10. Colby Rasmus, 28'th pick, 15.4.
11. Mike Pelfrey, 9'th pick, 11.5.
12. Cameron Maybin, 10'th pick, 9.4.
13. Cliff Pennington, 21'st pick, 8.5.
14. Ricky Romero, 6'th pick, 8.2.
15. Chris Volstad, 16'th pick, 3.1.
16. Brian Bogusovic, 24'th pick, 2.9.
17. John Mayberry, Jr, 19'th pick, 2.3.
18. Joey Devine, 27'th pick, 1.5.

All other first round picks including #4 Jeff Clement either failed to play in any MLB games or generated 0 fWAR or less in their careers.  BTW, if you generate a negative WAR for your career, would it be better if you had never played?  Now THAT is harsh!

Now, Sergio Romo is the only player the Giants drafted in 2005 who made it to the major leagues.  He has a 7.8 cumulative fWAR to his name so far.  There were just 14 first round picks from the 2005 draft who have earned a higher cumulative fWAR.  There are 3 or 4 other players drafted in later rounds who have earned more than Romo's 7.8, but that only pushes him down to #23 or so.  Since the Giants would have drafted at #21 or #22, getting the 23'rd highest value in the draft is pretty much what they should have gotten had they kept the pick and a lot better than what a lot of teams got.  Most of those superstars on this list would have been long gone by the time the Giants drafted anyway.

I'll take it a step further here.  Just looking at that list, I can find more than 1 player with a higher career fWAR who I might not prefer to Sergio Romo.  As we have discussed many times, fWAR probably undervalues relievers due to leverage issues.  For instance, I am not at all sure I would prefer Matt Garza, who has the 8'th highest fWAR in the first round to Romo and I am quite sure I would not prefer Ricky Romero or Colby Rasmus.  I would probably take Romo over Pennington, Maybin, and Pelfrey too.  So, I think there is a good case that Romo has been more valuable than all but 8 or 9 first round picks!

Now, could the Giants have gotten a good or even great player in the first round which would have no bearing on whether they picked Romo in round 30-something?  Yes, that is true.  The two who stand out who were drafted at or after picks #21 and 22 are Jacoby Ellsbury and Matt Garza and yeah, it would have been nice to have either of those players plus Romo, but do we know the Giants would have taken one of those two players had they kept the pick?  Chances are, they would have taken one of the many other players who failed to register an fWAR at all!

In summary, while it is debatable whether the Giants and Brian Sabean should have signed all those free agents and punted the first 3 picks of the 2005 draft, but it is wrong to think that they would almost certainly have done better in the draft had they not.  As it stands, the Giants got mid-first round value out of the 2005 draft and a key contributor to 3 championship teams.

Down on the Farm: 7/9/2015

AAA  Sacramento River Cats outlasted the Fresno Grizzlies 5-4 in 13 innings:

Kelby Tomlinson(3B)- 2 for 6, SB(3).  BA= .328.
Adam Duvall(1B)- 1 for 3, HR(17).  BA= .261.
Kevin Frandsen(1B)- 2 for 3, 2B.  BA= .305.
Clayton Blackburn(RHP)- 5.2 IP, 7 H, 2 R, 2 BB, 5 K's.  ERA= 4.07.

Tomlinson played 3B in what could be a prep for a MLB utility role.  Not sure why Duvall left the game early.

*********************************************************************************

AA  Richmond Flying Squirrels defeated the Harrisburg Senators 5-1:

Myles Schroder(1B)- 2 for 5.  BA= .267.
Austin Slater(2B)- 2 for 3, BB.  BA= .286.
Jesus Galindo(RF)- 2 for 4, SB(1).  BA= .292.
Matt Lujan(LHP)- 6 IP, 2 H, 1 R, 0 ER, 2 BB, 4 K's, GO/AO= 9/3.  ERA= 3.83.
Derek Law(RHP)- 1 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 1 K.  ERA= 1.17.

Is Myles Schroder trying to play 9 different positions in 9 games?  He's almost halfway there as I believe 1B is his 4'th position in 4 games.  Lujan is on fire!  In his last 3 starts, he threw 3 perfect innings, then took a no-hitter into the 7'th inning and now this start.  16.1 IP, 6 H, 2 ER, 3 BB, 11 K's.

*********************************************************************************

High A  San Jose Giants extinguished the Bakersfield Blaze 3-0:

Christian Arroyo(SS)- 1 for 2, 2 HBP.  BA= .330.
Tyler Horan(RF)- 1 for 3, HR(7), BB.  BA= .211.
Martin Agosta(RHP)- 8 IP, 3 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 8 K.  ERA= 4.91.
Christian Jones(LHP)- 1 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 4 K's.  ERA= 3.38.

Agosta's results matched his K/BB in this one.  Jones did the 4 K in one inning trick.

*********************************************************************************

Low A  Rome Braves outscored the Augusta Greenjackets 8-6:

Aramis Garcia(Catcher)- 2 for 5, HR(9).  BA= .244.
Skyler Ewing(1B)- 2 for 4.  BA= .232.
Touki Toussaint(RHP, Braves)- 5 IP, 3 H, 3 R, 2 BB, 5 K's.  ERA= 2.51.

*********************************************************************************

Short Season  Salem-Keizer Volcanoes buried the Vancouver Canadians 9-3:

Miguel Gomez(3B)- 2 for 5, 2B.  BA= .351.
CJ Hinojosa(SS)- 2 for 5.  BA= .208.
John Riley(1B)- 1 for 2, 3 BB.  BA= .143.
Brad Moss(Catcher)- 3 for 4, 2B, BB.  BA= .333.
Logan Webb(RHP)- 6 IP, 5 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 4 K.  ERA= 3.96.
Mac Marshall(LHP)- 3 IP, 3 H, 3 R, 0 BB, 5 K's.  ERA= 9.00.

Webb is still just 18 yo(DOB= 11/18/1996).  His line over his last 3 starts is 3-0, 1.68, 16 IP, 3 BB, 10 K.  Marshall may have had the jitters in his first inning at the new level as he allowed a 3-run dinger, but then settled down and was dominant the rest of the way.

*********************************************************************************

Rookie AZL  Giants were idle.

*********************************************************************************

DSL  Red Sox1 beat the Giants 3-1:

Manuel Geraldo(2B, 18 yo)- 3 for 4, 2B, 3B.  BA= .338.
Prebito Reyes(LHP, 19 yo)- 6 IP, 5 H, 2 R, 0 BB, 4 K's.  ERA= 2.27.
Luis Amaya(LHP, 16 yo)- 1.1 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 2 K's.  ERA= 0.95.

Thursday, July 9, 2015

Down on the Farm: 7/8/2015

AAA  Fresno Grizzlies defeated the Sacramento River Cats 4-1:

Xavier Avery(LF)- 2 for 4, BB.  BA= .364.
Kelby Tomlinson(2B)- 2 for 5.  BA= .327.
Jarrett Parker(RF)- 0 for 1, 3 BB, SB(12).  BA= .271.
Chris Stratton(RHP)- 5 IP, 7 H, 4 R, 1 BB, 5 K's.  ERA= 2.23.
Mark Appel(RHP, Grizzlies)- 6.2 IP, 6 H, 0 R, 2 BB, 4 K's.  ERA= 5.87.

You could make a case that Stratton pitched just as well or slightly better than Appel.  The BABIP gods taketh and giveth.

*********************************************************************************

AA  Harrisburg Senators beat the Richmond Flying Squirrels 3-1:

Austin Slater(2B)- 2 for 4, 2B.  BA= .256.
Mitch Delfino(3B)- 2 for 4.  BA= .259.
Kelvin Marte(LHP)- 7 IP, 8 H, 3 R, 3 BB, 5 K's.  ERA= 2.54.
Kyle Crick(RHP)- 1 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 2 BB, 2 K's.  ERA= 2.98.
Joan Gregorio(RHP)- 1 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 2 K's.  ERA= 4.11

Kyle Crick did not have more BB's than K's and completed an inning.  All 3 Senators runs scored in the first inning.

*********************************************************************************

High A  San Jose Giants outlasted the Bakersfield Blaze 2-1 in 14 innings:

Christian Arroyo(SS)- 3 for 6, BB, SB(3).  BA= .328.
Ryder Jones(3B)- 3 for 6, 2B, HR(6).  BA= .289.
Daniel Carbonell(LF)- 2 for 6, 2 SB(5).  BA= .373.
Tyler Horan(RF)- 1 for 4, 2 BB.  BA= .208.
Ray Black(RHP)- 2 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 5 BB, 4 K's.  ERA= 1.86.
Luis Ysla(LHP)- 4 IP, 3 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 8 K's.  ERA= 7.28.
Jake Smith(RHP)- 3 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 5 K's.  ERA= 2.51.
Tyler Rogers(RHP)- 2 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 2 K's.  ERA= 1.70.
Dan Slania(RHP)- 1 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 1 K.  ERA= 2.63.

The Giants first two draft picks from 2 years ago continue to impress.  Black either struck out or walked 9 of the 11 batters he faced.  Was this Ysla's strongest appearance as a professional?  SJ bullpen may have some arms falling off pretty soon.

*********************************************************************************

Low A  Augusta Greenjackets pounded the Rome Braves 9-5:

Johneshwy Fargas(CF)- 1 for 4, 2B, BB.  BA= .290.
Aramis Garcia(Catcher)- 3 for 3, 2 2B, BB.  BA= .240.
Andrew Cain(RF)- 2 for 5, 3B.  BA= .200.
Pat Young(RHP)- 7 IP, 7 H, 1 R, 1 BB, 9 K's.  ERA= 3.57.
Raymundo Montero(RHP)- 1.2 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 1 K, Save(7).  ERA= 1.81.

*********************************************************************************

Short Season Tri-Cities Dust Devils topped the Salem-Keizer Volcanoes 9-7:

Ronnie Jebavy(CF)- 1 for 4, 3B, BB.  BA= .275.
Jose Vizcaino, Jr(3B)- 3 for 4, HR(2).  BA= .302.
Chris Shaw(1B)- 1 for 5, HR(2).  BA= .270.
John Riley(1B)- 3 for 4, 2B, SB(1).  BA= .130.

*********************************************************************************

Rookie AZL Giants blanked the Rangers 2-0:

Mikey Edie(CF)- 2 for 4, 2 2B.  BA= .238.
Michael Santos(RHP)- 1 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 1 K.  ERA= 0.00.
Stetson Woods(RHP)- 2 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 2 BB, 0 K.  ERA= 4.35.
Andrew Suarez(LHP)- 2 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 2 K's.  ERA= 0.00.
Grant Watson(LHP)- 2 IP, 2 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 3 K's.  ERA= 0.00.

Michael Santos makes his long-awaited 2015 debut.  Good to see Stetson Woods get back on his horse after being throwed in his last appearance.  Suarez and Watson are probably too advanced for Rookie ball.

*********************************************************************************

DSL  Giants beat the Mets1  4-2:

Hengerber Medina(RHP, 20 yo)- 3 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 8 K's.  ERA= 1.00.

Medina strikes out 8 of 10 batters he faced which is dominating no matter what league you are pitching in.  He has 26 K's against just 5 BB's in 18 IP over 10 appearances since converting to pitcher at the start of this season.

Wednesday, July 8, 2015

Game Wrap 7/8/2014: Mets 4 Giants 1

Jake Peavy pitched his second quality-plus start since coming off the DL, but the offense sputtered once again as the Giants lost their 8'th game out of 9.  Key Lines:

Hunter Pence- 2 for 4, 2B.   BA= .291.  Hunter doesn't do rehab.

Brandon Belt- 2 for 4.  BA= .271.  Strange season for Belt.  Now he's back to getting hits, but no power.  Hopefully he'll have another power spurt soon.

Jake Peavy- 7 IP, 6 H, 1 R, 1 BB, 5 K's.  ERA= 4.71.  Peavy has looked great in his two starts back from the DL.  Seems to have much better general strength and stamina.  Hopefully he'll keep it up and the Giants start giving him some run support.

Josh Osich- 1 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 0 K.  ERA= 0.00.  Osich has had great looking stuff and has been quire unflappable since his callup.  I think the Giants may have another keeper here.

Jean Machi- 1 IP, 2 H, 2 R, 0 BB, 0 K.  ERA=  5.29.  And Machi might not be a keeper.

As we already said, the Loss was the Giants 8'th in 9 games.  It also drops them into a tie with the Dangerous D'Backs 5 games behind the NL West leading Dodgers.

The Giants get tomorrow off then start a 3 game weekend series agains the Phillies heading into the All-Star Break.

Down on the Farm: 7/7/2015

AAA  Game 1  Reno Aces edged out the Sacramento River Cats 2-1:

Tommy Hanson(RHP)- 4 IP, 7 H, 2 R, 5 BB, 2 K's.  ERA= 4.50.

Hanson moves up to AAA and has a rather ragged start.

*********************************************************************************

AAA  Game 2  Sacramento River Cats defeated the Reno Aces 6-2:

Xavier Avery(CF-LF)- 1 for 3, 3B, BB.  BA= .333.
Carlos Triunfel(SS)- 2 for 3, SB(3).  BA= .279.
Trevor Brown(Catcher)- 3 for 3, 2B.  BA= .298.
Ty Blach(LHP)- 5.1 IP, 6 H, 2 R, 1 BB, 5 K's.  ERA= 4.21.
Erik Cordier(RHP)- 1.2 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 2 K's.  ERA= 1.38.

*********************************************************************************

AA  Harrisburg Senators outlasted the Richmond Flying Squirrels 2-1 in 13 innings:

Austin Slater(2B)- 2 for 5, 2B. BA= .229.
Edwin Quirarte(RHP)- 6 IP, 3 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 6 K's.  ERA= 3.94.

Quirarte moves into the rotation to replace Kyle Crick and has a dominant start.

*********************************************************************************

High A San Jose Giants extinguished the Bakersfield Blaze 9-4:

Christian Arroyo(SS)- 2 for 5, 2B.  BA= .321.
Ryder Jones(3B)- 2 for 4, 2B, BB.  BA= .285.
Angel Villalona(1B)- 1 for 2, HR(4), SF.  BA= .293.
Brian Ragira(DH)- 3 for 4, 2B, HR(7).  BA= .224.
Keury Mella(RHP)- 5 IP, 3 H, 2 R, 2 BB, 7 K's.  ERA= 3.29.
Tyler Rogers(RHP)- 2 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 3 K's.  ERA= 1.80.

The two kids, Arroyo and Jones continue to be the offensive stars for the SJ Giants.  According to Covechatter's Blogroll, Mella's FB velocity was 91-96 MPH.  He is headed to the Futures Game.

*********************************************************************************

Low A Game 1:  Kannapolis Intimidators beat the Augusta Greenjackets 3-1:

Johneshwy Fargas(CF)- 2 for 4, SB(40).  BA= .292.
Aramis Garcia(Catcher)- 2 for 4.  BA= .235.
Sam Coonrod(RHP)- 6 IP, 5 H, 3 R, 2 BB, 7 K's.  ERA= 2.78.

*********************************************************************************

Low A Game 2  Kannapolis Intimidators outscored the Augusta Greenjackets 4-3 in 10 innings:

Johneshwy Fargas(CF)- 1 for 4, HR(2), BB.  BA= .288.
Travious Relaford(SS-2B)- 2 for 3, BB, Sac, SB(1).  BA= .284.
Skyler Ewing(1B)- 2 for 4, 2 2B.  BA= .230.
DJ Snelton(LHP)- 6 IP, 4 H, 1 R, 0 BB, 10 K's.  ERA= 3.06.
Carlos Diaz(LHP)- 2 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 2 BB, 3 K's.  ERA= 1.97.

Snelton seems to have found some traction in Augusta with 30 K's in his last 3 starts over 19 IP.  Since his first disaster start for Augusta, he has gone 1-1, 2.07, 30 IP, 5 BB, 41 K in 5 starts.

*********************************************************************************

Short Season  Tri-Cities Dust Devils topped the Salem-Keizer Volcanoes 6-5 in 11 innings:

Miguel Gomez(Catcher)- 3 for 6, HR(3).  BA= .348.
Caleb Smith(RHP)- 2 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 5 K's.  ERA= 4.50.

It seems this Miguel Gomez can hit.

*********************************************************************************

Rookie AZL  Angels downed the Giants 6-2:

Kelvin Beltre(SS)- 2 for 2, 2 SB(2).  BA= .500.
Jalen Miller(SS)- 1 for 2, SB(4).  BA= .378.
Jose Morel(RHP)- 2 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 3 K's.  ERA= 0.96.

Houston, we have a problem!  Beltre and Miller are both very good and very young and both play SS.  Maybe that is a good problem to have, but the Giants need to get this sorted out because it will be no bueno for both if they are splitting the position within games.

*********************************************************************************

DSL  Mets1 blanked the Giants 4-0:

Mecky Coronado(LF, 18 yo)- 2 for 4, 2B.  BA= .414.
Melvin Adon(RHP, 21 yo)- 5 IP, 3 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 7 K's.  ERA= 3.31.

Game Wrap 7/7/2015: Giants 3 Mets 0

The Giants got a big lift from Hunter Pence returning to the lineup and Matt Cain looked like the Matt Cain of old as the Giants broke their 7 game losing streak.  Key Lines:

Gregor Blanco- 3 for 4.  BA= .314.  If Blanco keeps this up, I have to think he might be the starting CF after Aoki gets back.

Joe Panik- 2 for 4.  BA= .306.  The Giants first 3 hitters in the lineup were a combined 6 for 12.

Hunter Pence- 1 for 4. BA= .280.  This is a different team with Pence.  He can help them win in so many ways.  He got one RBI with is speed, converting a GIDP into FC which allowed the run to score from 3'rd.  His second RBI was on a base hit.  Then, he saved a run after running a long way to make a diving catch down the RF line but getting up in a single 360 degree motion to nail the runner trying to score from 3B with a perfect throw home.  Let's all just hope he can stay healthy the rest of the way, because that will be a big difference maker right there.  The fact that the Giants are not completely out of the race by now with Pence missing most of the first half is close to a miracle.

Matt Cain- 6 IP, 2 H, 0 R, 2 BB, 7 K's.  ERA= 4.09.  Wow!  Cainer woke up the echoes with a vintage performance.  That is the best I've seen him throw since the Perfect Game which was when?  2012?  FB sat at 93 and topped out at 94 MPH.  His breaking ball had bite and this changeup was deceptive.  Again, that the Giants are still in the race with Cain having missed the entire first half is close to a miracle.  If this is the Cainer we get for the second half, that's gotta be worth 3-4 extra wins right there!

The Win closed the gap on the first place Dodgers to 4 games as the Bad Guys lost to the Phillies 7-2.  The Dangerous D'Backs are right there, 1 game behind the Giants after a 4-2 Win over Texas.

Jake Peavy tries to build on his strong last start and tries for a series win this afternoon, facing All-Star RHP Jake DeGrom.

Tuesday, July 7, 2015

Down on the Farm: 7/6/2015

AAA  Sacramento River Cats vs Reno Aces postponed.

*********************************************************************************

AA  Richmond Flying Squirrels defeated the Akron Rubber Ducks 5-2:

Austin Slater(2B)- 2 for 4, 3B.  BA= .200.
Tyler Beede(RHP)- 7 IP, 4 H, 2 R, 3 BB, 5 K's, GO/AO= 11/2.  ERA= 3.86.
Derek Law(RHP)- 1 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 1 K, Save(3).  ERA= 1.35.

More groundball dominance from Tyler Beede.

*********************************************************************************

High A  Visalia Rawhide whipped the San Jose Giants 6-2:

Christian Jones(LHP)- 2.1 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 2 BB, 2 K's.  ERA= 3.48.
Ian Gardeck(RHP)- 2 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 2 K's.  ERA= 4.93.

*********************************************************************************

Low A  Augusta Greenjackets vs Kannapolis Intimidators postponed.

*********************************************************************************

Short Season  Salem-Keizer Volcanoes topped the Tri-Cities Dust Devils 4-3:

Chris Shaw(DH)- 2 for 3.  BA= .296.
Jose Vizcaino Jr(3B)- 1 for 4, HR(1).  BA= .256.
Chase Compton(1B)- 1 for 3, HR(1).  BA= .342.
Andrew Leenhouts(LHP)- 5 IP, 4 H, 0 R, 2 BB, 7 K's.  ERA= 1.90.
Ryan Halstead(RHP)- 1 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 1 K, Save(2).  ERA= 0.00.

*********************************************************************************

Rookie AZL  Angels beat the Giants 3-1:

Jordan Johnson(RHP)- 4 IP, 4 H, 1 R, 0 BB, 4 K's.  ERA= 1.80.
Mac Marshall(LHP)- 2 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 2 K's.  ERA= 0.00.

*********************************************************************************

DSL  Giants outscored the Yankees1 6-2:

Manuel Geraldo(2B, 18 yo)- 2 for 5.  BA= .325.
Sandro Cabrera(LHP, 20 yo)- 4 IP, 2 H, 0 R, 3 BB, 4 K's.  ERA= 2.50.
Alejandro De La Rosa(RHP, 20 yo)- 2 IP, 4 H, 1 R, 0 ER, 0 BB, 5 K's.  ERA= 0.00.
Luis Amaya(LHP, 16 yo)- 1.1 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 2 BB, 2 K's.  ERA= 1.02.