Monday, August 23, 2021

Pedal to the Metal!

 Let's just stand back a bit and admire what the Giants have accomplished so far, especially in the second half.  They came into the All-Star Break with a remarkable record of 57-32 for a winning percentage of .640.  Many of us feared, based on painful experience, they would stumble after the break.  Those fears were not assuaged when they dropped the opening second half series to the Cardinals. They recovered to win a remarkable 4 game series over the Dodgers in LA but then dropped 2 of 3 to the Pirates.  Hmm....Giants have a long history of playing up to the Dodgers and doing faceplants against the Pirates of the league.  Well, folk!  They have not lost a series since!  Most of those winning series came against the very best teams in MLB, well, except for the Giants who as of right now are the best!:  2 of 3 from the Dodgers, 2 of 3 from the Astros, 3 of 4 from the D'Backs, 2 of 3 from the Brewers, 2 of 2 from the D'Backs, 3 of 4 from the Rockies, 2 of 3 from the Mets and 2 of 3 from the A's.  All that adds up to a second half record of 23-12 or a Winning Percentage of .657 better than their first half record!  

Looking at the season as a whole, the Giants have won in almost every way imaginable.  They've won at home(.689) and on the road(.603).  They have won every month so far with their lowest win% in July at .600.  They have gone 23-14 in one run games, by far the best in MLB.  They are 24-7 in "blowouts". They are 13-7 in interleague play. They are 8-7 in extra-innings.  The lone glaring weakness is in walk-offs where they are just 2-9.  They have a losing record against just 3 of the 18 teams they have played, the Cardinals(2-4), Pirates(3-4) and Mariners(1-2).  They are 8-8 against the Dodgers and are winning their season series against 14 other teams.  Oh, and thank god for the D'Backs who they are 14-2 against!

It remains to be seen if they can finish this out.  They could play very well the rest of the way and still lose to the Dodgers who are incredibly talented and relentless.  They could still faceplant.  The starting pitching in particular looks very shaky and thin,  but a complete collapse seems less likely.

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Let's do a quick comp of deadline deals here.  Since coming to the Giants, Kris Bryant  IF/OF has been invaluable, slashing .274/.329/.507 with 4 HRs in 79 PA while playing excellent D at multiple positions.  I don't have an exact number here but the Giants have won several times in games they likely don't win without Bryant in the lineup.  Considering the modest cost in prospects to obtain him, Bryant has been a steal regardless of whether the trade sets up a longterm deal or not. 

Compare Bryant's impact to Trea Turner IF for the Dodgers.  Make no mistake, Turner has been good for the Dodgers despite starting out on the IL.  He's slashing .328/.365/.483 with 1 HR and 3 SB in 69 PA.  I'll take Bryant and his power by a nose here.

Now lets compare pitching acquisitions.  The Giants traded for Tony Watson LHP at the cost of 3 third tier prospects, a trade that had me scratching my head at the time.  The word from the beat writers was the Giants scouts noted a recent uptick in velocity and were confident Watson would come on strong.  Well, he has at that!  9 appearances, 1-0, 0.00, 9 IP, 3 H, 0 BB, 7 K's, 3 Holds.  His addition filled a 7'th and 8'th inning gap in the Giants bullpen arsenal.  

The Dodgers acquired Max Scherzer RHP and he's certainly stood in the gap created by Trevor Bauer's personal meltdown.  4 Appearances, 3-0, 2.11, 21.1 IP, 4 BB, 31 K.  Pretty tough to beat that but Watson's Win + 4 Holds may have contributed to as many wins as Scherzer.

FZ may yet regret not bringing in a proven SP at the deadline.  I, for one, wish he had.  For now, his deadline haul stacks up favorably with the Dodgers who everyone thought were the runaway winners of the trade deadline.

4 comments:

  1. One more point: The Dodgers blew out the Giants in their first 4 meetings. It looked like the Giants would lose the 5'th to, but Mike Tauchman saved the game with that catch of Albert Pujols' bid for a walk-off HR. The Giants went on to win that game and went 8-4 since those first 4 losses which pretty much accounts for their current division lead. If you are looking for a single biggest play of the season, and there are many candidates, I would refer you to Tauchman's catch. Then he got swept away in The Churn.

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  2. The 2 wins against the A's on pinch homers were awesome and made me think back early in the season on how they blew some games late that they should have won. The breaks even out during a long season for some teams. I've been amazed at the development of Tyler Rogers as a reliable 8th inning reliever. He retired Olson to get out of that 8th inning jam.. Amazing. I went into the trade deadline thinking they should acquire a SP upgrade, until I wondered which current SP would have to go to the bullpen. There SP's have pitched pretty good this season, so who would you have chosen to go to the bullpen? 6 man rotation? I read Scott Harris talking about how they didn't want to move Logan Webb to the bullpen, which I wouldn't like either. No matter what happens the rest of the season, the future is looking much brighter for this team

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  3. The 4 prospects received by Washington for Scherzer and Turner are the Nationals MLB Pipeline #1, 3, 8 & 22. Scherzer is a rental but LA will have Turner next year before he becomes a FA for 2023 (he'll be 30 in June of 2023
    Prospects received by the Cubs for Bryant are Chicago's #12 & #14 (Pipeline). Prospects received by Angels for Watson are not ranked in their Pipeline.
    It's rather unlikely Giants can sign Bryant unless he tells his agent (Scott Boras) he wants to play in SF so get the best deal you can. Otherwise, this will drag out well into 2022 and likely to end the same as Harper (26 at signing), except not as big a contract or as long (13 years, $330M), 7 years, $225M? Or more?

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  4. About bright futures: MLB Pipeline ranks the Giants’ farm system as third best in the NL—seventh best in all—behind only the Pirates and the Marlins, who have built their farms on the MLB teams’ years of failure. We’re ahead of the Dodgers, Padres, Braves, Cardinals, Brewers, et al., and also ahead of all the better AL teams except the Rays. Moving to the best record in MLB has not precluded us from surpassing all our immediate rivals in gearing up for 2022 and beyond.

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