Scouting the Draft: First Round Tiers- College Hitters

So, I am going to try something here which I hope will help clarify talent levels and where we might see players drafted.  I am going to divide the draft into the 4 major demographics:  College Hitters, College Pitchers, High School Hitters and High School Pitchers.  I will list all players I think deserve consideration to be drafted in the first round as Tier 1.  I will the subdivide the Tier 1 players into subgroups A, B, C with A denoting consideration for first overall or 1-1, B denoting top half of first round or top 2-15 and C denoting rest of first round and Competitive Balance round or 16-37.

We'll start with college hitters which our friend Covechatter determined give the best return on investment(ROI) based on career WAR.  Not surprisingly Tier 1 of college hitters tend to get drafted ahead of equally or more talented players from the other demographics.  Here are my Tier 1 college hitters for the 2020 draft:

1A:

Spencer Torkelson 1B
Austin Martin SS/3B/CF/2B.

These two are very close in overall expected ROI but I have settled on Tork due to the distinct possiblity that Martin may be limited to 2B in the majors.  There is close to zero chance of either of these players being available to the Giants at #13.

1B:

Nick Gonzalez 2B
Garrett Mitchell OF
Patrick Bailey C
Heston Kjerstad OF

Gonzalez is cut out of the same cloth as recent first rounders who appear to be successful picks, Keston Hiura and Nick Madrigal.  Question is strength of opposition and playing in an extreme hitter-friendly environment(New Mexico), but he also starred in the Cape Cod League.  Patrick Bailey is a switch-hitting offensive catcher who is also a plus defender.  His stock seems to be rising late in the draft cycle.  Kjerstad has been a very productive college hitter but may need a funky swing reworked and needs to unlock his raw power. Garrett Mitchell might have the best tools in the entire draft, but his power hasn't really shown up and medical re. his diabetes condition are essential.  There is probably no more than a 20% chance any of these player are still on the board for the Giants at #13 but should be strongly considered if they are.

1C:

Dillon Dingler C
Austin Wells C?

Dingler is extremely athletic and could probably play CF, but also should stick at catcher and should have a plus bat there.  As a bat-first catcher, Wells could be tier 1B, but many scouts don't think he is a pro catcher and may be limited to first base where he may not have enough power.  A team that thinks he can be developed at catcher or thinks he could play 3B or 2B or corner OF might bump him to Tier 1B.  I actually like him a lot and wouldn't be dismayed if the Giants took him at #13 although there should be better HS talent available.

That's it.  There will be more than 8 college hitters drafted in the top 37, but college hitting is the thinnest demographic in this draft and teams locked into college players due to signing/safety concerns will be reaching/over-drafting.