Monday, February 22, 2021

Spring Training Update: Giants Add Starting Pitcher Depth

The Blue Jays may have made an impetuous decision when they released Shun Yamaguchi RHP after he disappointed in a SSS in an extremely unusual situation.  The Jays signed veteran last year to a 2 yr/$6.35 M deal after a 14 year career in Japan in which he compiled a 73-65 W-L record with a 3.19 ERA in 1262 IP.  He has both starting and bullpen experience on his resume.  His ERA with the Jays was over 8 in 25 IP.  

The Giants deal was announced as a split minor/majors agreement but details are murky.  The Jays are on the hook for all but the league minimum portion of his $3.175 salary for 2021 and there seems to be a player opt out clause if he does not make the Opening Day roster but he also has MILB options.

Yamaguchi has a 3-pitch mix of a 91 MPH FB(41%), CB(17%) and Split(40%).  The Giants have announced that he will work as a SP in Spring Training.  He seems to be a longshot to make the Opening Day roster but given the injury histories of several Giants pitchers, there is a good chance at least one of the will start the season on the IL making room for the new guy.

Saturday, February 20, 2021

Hot Stove Wrap: Giants Find Balance and Depth

 Although many significant MLB free agents remain unsigned, we will officially declare the 2020-2021 Hot Stove League season finished.  While Giants fans were cautiously hopeful for a splashy signing or two, in the end the biggest splash was offering Kevin Gausman RHP a Qualifying Offer that he accepted.  After FZ and staff spread the money around going for depth and taking some chances on upside with lower cost contracts.  

When FZ unveiled his offseason wish list, it should have alerted fans that no, neither Trevor Bauer RHP nor George Springer OF were coming here.  Instead it was pitching depth and a lefthanded infield bat.  He accomplished those modest goals.  In the end, the contracts added up to a significant investment for this season and minimal commitment to future seasons, which is just about every GM's dream situation.

So let's break it down and review the Giants Hot Stove moves for 2020-2021:

PLAYERS LEAVING:

Retired:  Hunter Pence OF.  It was definitely time, but what a nice career!  He's not a Hall of Famer, but definitely on the Forever Good Giants list.

Free Agents:  Jeff Samardzija RHP, Drew Smyly LHP, Tony Watson LHP, Chris Herrmann C, Tyler Heineman C, Joey Rickard OF, Zach Green IF, Kean Wong IF, Sam Moll LHP, Trevor Cahill RHP.  Overall I would say The Shark's tenure with the Giants was more frustrating and disappointing.  In the end, there were probably better ways to invest that $90 M.  Tough to see Smyly go as he was brilliant last year with reasonable hope for even better in the future, but he got an offer from the Braves that was too rich for FZ's taste.  The rest of this list are players I think the fans are happy to move on from.

Non-tendered Contracts for Arbitration:  Tyler Anderson LHP, Daniel Robertson IF.   I still tend to think Robertson is going to break out.  Can't argue with replacing him with Tommy La Stella but that leaves the Giants thin at SS.

DFA/Released:  Chris Shaw 1B/OF, Aramis Garcia C, Enderson Franco RHP(Korea), Andrew Suarez LHP(Korea), Justin Smoak 1B(Japan).   Suarez was probably the biggest surprise here although he landed his overseas deal before being released which was also a bit odd.  Some emotional ties with prospect watchers for Shaw and Garcia.  

Traded:  Shaun Anderson RHP.  Traded to the Twins for LaMonte Wade Jr OF.  Anderson came to the Giants as half of the return package from the Red Sox for Eduardo NunezAnderson showed flashes of brilliance but was never able to establish consistency and was rapidly running out of chances with the Giants.  

PLAYERS ACQUIRED:

MLB Free Agents:  Jason Vosler IF, Anthony DeSclafani RHP(1 yr/$6 M), Matt Wisler RHP(1 yr/$1.15 M), John Brebbia RHP(1 yr/$800 K), Curt Casali C(1 yr/$1.5 M), Alex Wood LHP(1 yr/$3 M), Tommy La Stella IF(3 yr/$18.75 M), Jake McGee LHP(2 yr/$7 M), Aaron Sanchez RHP(1 yr/$4 M).  (Kevin Gausman RHP accepted a 1 year Qualifying Offer of $18.9 M instead of declaring free agency).  Interesting mix here.  The Giants obviously hope Gausman can build on his impressive but short 2020 campaign and avoid a longterm commitment.  Based on FZ's stated goals, La Stella is the perfect fit.  Casali adds some pop to the backup C role which was sorely missing in 2020.  The common thread among the pitchers is injury history but lots of upside if healthy.  This is the same strategy FZ employed with the Dodgers.  Sign enough of those and you end up being able to cobble together a pitching staff, even if you have to shuttle guys in and out of the IL.

Trade:  LaMonte Wade Jr. OF.  Wade has the peripheral stats FZ likes and adds a lefthanded bat to the OF depth.

Rule 5 Draft:  Dedniel Nunez RHP.  Seems a bit closer to being MLB ready than some prior Rule 5 picks.

Minor League Free Agents:  Dominic Leone RHP, Silvino Bracho RHP, Jay Jackson RHP, Arismendy Alcantara RHP, James Sherfy RHP, Zack Littell RHP, Nick Tropeano RHP.  Tropeano seems like the best bet to make the Opening Day Roster.  The rest provide depth.

SUMMARY:

Overall, the Giants signed 9 players via MLB free agency including Gausman's QO deal.  The total 1 year payroll cost for 2021 is $39.35 M with $21.75 M left in future commitments.  By my count there they have 22 players under MLB contract and without options, so barring trades, it would seem like there are 4 Active Roster spots open for competition.

 I think FZ did what he had to do this offseason and he accomplished what he set out to do.  Whether he set his goals high enough is open to debate.  Barring very much unforseen circumstances, the Giants will not compete with the Dodgers or Padres in the NL West.  They might be longshot contenders for a Wild Card playoff spot.

With most of the roster set for free agency after the season and an up and coming farm system, it seems the "rebuild" should kick into gear in earnest 2021.  Is the Giants ownership and their fans patient enough to see that process through?


Wednesday, February 17, 2021

Hot Stove Update: Giants Go Deep

 The Giants added some serious depth to the pitching side of their roster signing Aaron Sanchez RHP to a 1 yr/$4 M contract with incentives up to $6.5 M and Nick Tropeano RHP to a minor league deal for $1.1 M if he makes the Opening Day roster also with added incentives.

Tropeano was the first signing.  He was a SP with the Angels in 2016 and 2018, missing 2017 with Tommy John surgery.  He also missed most of 2019 with elbow and shoulder issues.  He resurfaced with the Pirates in 2020 as a reliever who posted a 1.15 ERA in 15.2 IP while sporting a 10.91/2.30 K/BB.  He has a starter's repertoire of 4 pitches including a FB that averaged 91 MPH last year which he threw 30% of the time, a curveball(31%), Changeup(12%) and a Split(26%).  Tropeano brings the potential for versatility with possible roles ranging from bulk innings to Closer.  As with most of the Giants signings, health will be the big issue.

The bigger news is the Aaron Sanchez signing which comes as a bit of a surprise given he was last fully healthy and pitching effectively in 2016 with the Blue Jays.  He missed the end of the 2019 season and all of 2020 with shoulder surgery.  He reportedly held a showcase in October 2020 where he hit 98 MPH on the FB and showed high spin rates.  Apparently the Giants were impressed enough with that and his potential for a comeback season to give him a surprisingly lucrative MLB deal.

The interesting question is who will get dropped from the 40-man roster to make room for Sanchez.  I was perusing it the other day and there really isn't anyone left to drop who would not be a painful decision.  Jaylin DavisSteven DuggarJason VoslerChadwick Tromp? Conner Menez?  One of the offseason adds, Castro/Doval/Santos?  Now that Spring Training is starting, can that decision be postponed until Opening Day? Tyler Beede could start the season on the 60-day IL. 

Wednesday, February 10, 2021

Hot Stove Update: Giants Sign Potential Closer

 While the Giants have made several additions to the bullpen this Hot Stove season, Closer remains an obvious area of concern.  It's been a few years since Jake McGee was a Closer but he's done it and he's coming off a vintage, if abbreviated, performance with the Dodgers in the shortened 2020 season.  McGee was selected out of HS in the 5'th round of the 2004 draft by the Rays.  Much to the frustration of many a fantasy baseball manager, the Rays kept him in the minors seemingly as long as they possibly could.  He made his MLB debut in 2010 and did not fully "arrive" in the majors until 2012 when he put up a 1.95 ERA in 69 relief appearances.  His peak season was 2014 with a 1.89 ERA and 19 Saves.  

He was traded to the Rockies along with German Marquez for Corey Dickerson before the 2016 season then signed a 3 year free agent contract with the Rockies for 2017-2019.  Well, let's face it.  Nobody can pitch with sustained success in Coors Field.  The Rockies declined his option for 2020 and he took a 1 year deal with the Dodgers.  That deal paid off for both him and the Dodgers as he put up a 2.66 ERA in 24 appearances with a 14.61 K/9 and a 1.33 BB/9, 33 K's and just 3 BB's in 20.1 IP.  

McGee has always relied heavily on his fastball, but threw it a crazy 97% of the time in 2020 with a average velocity of 95 mph, his highest since 2014.  Let's see.....Drew Pomeranz, Caleb Baragar, Jake McGee.   FZ may like pitchers who throw almost all sliders, but he also seems to like pitchers who throw almost all FB's.  The philosophy is if you have a best pitch, use it!  

The deal with the Giants is for 2 yr/$7 M, the first multi-year contract FZ has given pitcher.  McGee immediately moves to the top of the Giants lefty reliever depth chart and a top contender for the Closer role.  Doing a little rosterbating, assuming a 26 man roster with 13 pitchers and 5 SP's, the lefty reliever ranking would go 1. Jake McGee. 2.  Jarlin Garcia.  3.  Caleb Baragar.  4.  Wandy Peralta.  5.  Sam Selman.  On the righty side we have 1.  John Brebbia.  2. Tyler Rogers.  3.  Matt Wisler.  4.  Trevor Gott.

Reyes Moronta coming off injury would seem to be in the top 4 and possibly a Closer candidate if fully healthy.  Rule 5 draftee Dedniel Nunez is in the mix with Camilo Doval, Kervin Castro and Gregory Santos getting more salt in the minors. I can see the Giants carrying 4 lefties and 4 righties in the bullpen with room for additional upgrades before the season starts.  There may also be some trade opportunities to add prospects before FZ is done.

Sunday, February 7, 2021

Hot Stove Update: Evil Empire Strikes Back, Gets More Evil

Trevor Bauer RHP, the consensus top ranked free agent of the season, signed with the Dodgers, because of course he did.   In the process, Bauer becomes the highest paid player in the game for the next two years and breaks the $40 M/yr barrier.  Overall the deal is for 3 yr/$102 M but with $40 M due in 2021, $45 M in 2022 and just $17 M due in 2023 with a player opt out.  The latter number was likely determined as some type of CBT chicanery in that it is exactly half of the 3 year AAV of the contract.

You may recall Bauer as a successful college pitcher for UCLA with an unorthodox delivery that some compared to Tim Lincecum.  He was drafted #3 overall by the D'Backs in 2011 and broke into MLB in 2012.  He was traded that winter to the Indians in a 3-team deal which sent Didi Gregorius SS to the D'Backs.  Bauer's first full season in the major leagues was 2014.  His ERA ranged from 4.18 to 4.55 over the next 4 seasons.  He broke out in 2018 with a 2.21 ERA over 175 innings but then fell back to 4.48 over 213 IP with 2 teams in 2019.  The 2020 shortened season saw him throw down a 1.73 ERA in 73 IP with a 12.33 K/9 and a 2.10 BB/9.  His career MLB pitching line is 75-64, 3.90, 1190 IP, 10.81 K/9, 3.11 BB/9.  

$34 M/yr seems like a lot to pay for a guy with just two really good seasons out of 7, let alone $40 M and $45 M, but Bauer gives the already loaded Dodgers another frontline SP who might be an ace.  It also allows them to bring Dustin May RHP and Tony Gonsolin RHP out of the bullpen which bolsters another relatively weak spot for them.

Bauer does not come without controversy.  Ben Clemons wrote up a scathing take for Fangraphs calling out Bauer for his bullying behavior on social media and openly speculated that his dramatic jump in spin rates for the 2020 season was due to use of a foreign substance.  That's all OK with Giants fans who love to hate the Dodgers.  Now we have one more reason, or two or three, to hate them even more!

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In other Hot Stove news, Marcell Ozuna OF re-signed with the Braves for 4 yr/$65 M.  That's probably more than the Giants would or should offer, so good for him.

The A's replaced Marcus Semien SS by trading Kris Davis DH to the Rangers for Elvis Andrus SS in a 5-player trade.  It's a bit tough to see why the A's didn't just re-sign Semien if they were willing to make this trade.

Friday, February 5, 2021

Hot Stove Update: Giants Trade for Outfielder

 The Giants were rumored to be after a lefthanded hitting OF and were linked to names like Jackie Bradley Jr, Eddie Rosario and Joc Pederson.  Welp, yesterday the Giants got their man....LaMonte Wade Jr....wait...LaMonte who?  Going back to the same talent pool that produced Jaylin Davis, the Giants traded Shaun Anderson RHP for the lefthanded hitting and throwing outfielder from the Twins.   So, who is LaMonte Wade Jr?

Lamonte Wade Jr OF.  DOB:  1/1/1994.  B-L, T-L.  6'1", 205. 

Career(MiLB):  .276/.389/.407, 70 2B, 17 3B, 40 HR, 303 BB, 281 K, 1710 AB.

Career(MLB):  .211/.336/.347, 5 2B, 3B, 2 HR, 15 BB, 18 K 96 AB.

Apparently FZ has a near fetish for reversed K/BB's.  I can't find it now, but I read a quote that he just stared at Tommy La Stella's stat line for the longest time "which probably tells you more about me than him."  Wade Jr is cut out of the same cloth with his minor league line featuring BB% in the mid-teens and higher than his K% with limited power.  Despite a BA of just .211 in the majors, he's maintained a respectable OBP.  FZ also said the Giants were specifically looking for a lefthanded hitting OF with options so they could send him to Sacramento if needed for roster management. Some scouts think Wade Jr has power potential which the Giants coaching staff may be able to unlock.

As for Shaun Anderson, he was rapidly running out of chances with the Giants.  He does not quite have the stuff to blow hitters away and never developed enough command to get them out on pitchability.  Bullpen acquisitions obviously made him expendable.

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The Giants also finalized a 3 year contract with Tommy La Stella IF.  In a related move, they designate Luis Alexander Basabe for assignment to open a roster spot.  We'll see if they can get Basabe through waivers and keep him in the organization.

Thursday, February 4, 2021

Hot Stove Update: Giants Sign Two Relievers to Minor League Deals

 It's time to play Let's Make A Minor League Deal around the hot stove.  The Giants jumped in with a couple of deals for relief pitchers.  

James Sherfy RHP.  DOB:  12/27/1991.  6'0", 175 lbs.

2019 AAA:  2-3, 3.60, 35 IP, 12.60 K/9, 5.40 BB/9, 12 Saves.

2019 D'Backs:  1-0, 5.89, 18.1 IP, 10.80 K/9, 2.45 BB/9, 1 Save.

Jimmy Sherfy was an undersized college closer for Oregon selected in Round 10 of the 2013 draft by the D'Backs.  Made MBL debut in 2017 after consistently posting double digit K rates in the minors.  He continued to miss bats in the majors with mixed ERA results.  He has a 4-pitch mix but relies heavily on the slider for outs, which seems to be a pattern for FZ pitching acquisitions.  Catch here is he was released by the D'Backs on August of 2020 after an unspecified elbow injury.  Obviously, his success or failure with the Giants will likely depend heavily on the state of his health.

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Zack Littell RHP.  DOB:  10/5/1995.  6'4", 220 lbs.  

Career:  6-2, 4.52, 63.2 IP, 63.2 IP, 6.93 K/9, 3.71 BB/9.

Littell has more typical reliever size.  Drafted in round 11 by the Mariners in 2013, he made his MLB debut with the Twins in 2018.  He got blown out by 5 HR in 6.1 IP in 2020.  He relies on just a 94 MPH FB and a cutter which he throws with about equal frequency.  Maybe the Giants coaches can help him add an offspeed pitch to his arsenal?