"When the Giants Come to Town..." is my blog intended to chronicle my thoughts on San Francisco Giants baseball. My special interest is in prospects and the farm system, but of course, will comment on all aspects of the San Francisco Giants. I will also comment on baseball in general, particularly from a fantasy baseball perspective. I hope you will find the site informative, and invite you to join in the discussion.
Saturday, June 6, 2020
Scouting the Draft: Where Do Stars Come From?
So, here's a bit of original "research" if you can call it that. I decided to look up the top batting and pitching performers by fWAR in MLB for 2019 and see where they came from in terms of the draft. Here's what I found:
Batters(Top 60): College- 22, High School-17, JC- 2, International- 19. Breaking it down into top 30 and #31-60, the ratios are essentially the same.
Pitchers(Top 60): College-26(including top 5), High School- 20, JC- 1, International- 13. If you take out the top 5, which is admittedly an extremely important subset, it's very close to even between college and high school.
There is likely a greater comfort level with college players since there is a longer observation period, but good scouts should be able to judge who is the best player regardless of whether they are HS or college.
Conclusion: Trust your scouts and draft the best player available!
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